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Diamond Valley vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 May 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 87-75
17-19 18-21 28-19 24-16
Position#7
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#11
Record5-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game88.9
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Diamond Valley v Ballarat
06 May 2023
DIAM87
BALL75
04 Jul 2021
DIAM69
BALL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diamond Valley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Diamond ValleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#19
W
105-83
105
83
+22
H24/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H30/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
101-79
101
79
+22
A06/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A13/08
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H01/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
108-99
108
99
+9
H14/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A16/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A22/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A25/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
85-93
85
93
-8
H29/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
32-14
21-24
26-20
20-21
24-15
18-18
11-15
23-23
34-20
23-17
21-19
21-29
19-21
24-18
23-28
25-17
16-26
20-18
16-26
34-19
20-26
25-26
29-28
18-23
16-27
31-21
25-18
17-31
25-21
23-20
13-22
18-25
20-15
20-20
21-13
25-22
21-26
21-18
18-27
174.5Avg total
88.3Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.289.2175.3-3.050%
Season at home (3)90.093.0183.0-3.033%
Season away (3)82.385.3167.7-3.067%
Last 10 (10)88.386.2174.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)88.089.6177.6-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.893.0175.8-10.28%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.082.6167.6+2.475%
vs Weaker (6)86.381.2167.5+5.283%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#18
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A07/08
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
70-102
70
102
-32
A12/08
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H14/08
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H01/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
118-100
118
100
+18
H06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A14/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
76-104
76
104
-28
A15/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A21/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A22/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
97-88
97
88
+9
H29/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
18-23
20-28
13-10
16-28
25-30
17-24
12-20
28-18
21-18
19-25
30-27
25-13
18-23
23-18
26-14
34-33
29-23
30-23
25-21
24-33
26-23
15-28
27-11
24-35
22-22
12-28
18-19
27-16
16-24
27-14
24-29
29-25
14-25
19-21
32-13
24-24
18-21
29-14
26-29
180.7Avg total
90.9Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.788.9183.6+5.971%
Season at home (3)102.385.3187.7+17.0100%
Season away (4)89.091.5180.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)90.989.8180.7+1.160%
Last 5 (5)90.690.8181.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.886.8165.5-8.038%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.283.4165.6-1.143%
vs Weaker (8)92.084.2176.2+7.875%
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
Diamond ValleyBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#19
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H24/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H30/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A06/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/08
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H01/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H14/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A16/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A22/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A25/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H29/04
NBL1 South
90.0Avg total
45.4Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.144.786.7-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.243.386.5-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)40.946.187.0-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)45.444.690.0+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.847.089.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.147.886.9-8.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.042.586.5+1.558%-
vs Weaker (6)44.242.786.8+1.550%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#18
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/08
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A12/08
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H14/08
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H01/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A15/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A22/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H29/04
NBL1 South
94.7Avg total
46.5Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.145.088.1-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.142.988.0+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)41.446.988.2-5.525%-
Last 10 (10)46.548.294.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.849.694.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.545.588.0-3.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.644.585.1-3.936%-
vs Weaker (8)48.145.493.5+2.850%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Diamond Valley wins
2
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
06/08/22Ballarat v Diamond Valley79-101
04/07/21Diamond Valley v Ballarat69-88
29/06/19Ballarat v Diamond Valley79-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23HKeilor Thunder85-93
25/04/23AWaverley79-73
22/04/23AFrankston78-94
16/04/23ADandenong90-89
14/04/23HRingwood108-99
01/04/23HEltham77-87
13/08/22AFrankston87-96
06/08/22ABallarat101-79
30/07/22HEltham73-69
24/07/22HDandenong105-83
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23HDandenong97-88
22/04/23ANW Tasmania94-84
21/04/23AHobart Chargers94-83
15/04/23ANunawading76-104
14/04/23AKeilor Thunder92-95
06/04/23HBendigo Braves118-100
01/04/23HMelbourne Tigers92-68
14/08/22HBendigo Braves98-88
12/08/22AMt Gambier70-102
07/08/22AMelbourne Tigers78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Diamond Valley
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game86.290.082.3
Allowed / game89.293.085.3
Point differential-3.0-3.0-3.0
Avg total175.3183.0167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game94.7102.389.0
Allowed / game88.985.391.5
Point differential+5.9+17.0-2.5
Avg total183.6187.7180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier76186%103.789.1+14.6
2 Frankston75271%95.482.7+12.7
3 Eltham75271%88.678.0+10.6
4 Nunawading75271%91.483.3+8.1
5 Ballarat75271%94.788.9+5.9
6 Kilsyth74357%94.491.0+3.4
7 Hobart Chargers74357%87.086.1+0.9
8 Sandringham Sabres74357%87.491.6-4.1
9 Knox63350%82.073.8+8.2
10 Diamond Valley63350%86.289.2-3.0
11 Keilor Thunder63350%82.290.8-8.7
12 Melbourne Tigers73443%80.082.7-2.7
13 NW Tasmania73443%82.488.6-6.1
14 Ringwood62433%88.792.2-3.5
15 Geelong62433%85.892.2-6.3
16 Dandenong72529%87.690.1-2.6
17 Casey Cavaliers72529%76.783.6-6.9
18 Bendigo Braves82625%85.498.0-12.6
19 Waverley61517%78.787.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Diamond Valley1718282487
Ballarat1921191675
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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