Diamond Valley vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 82-97

11-26 24-21 24-16 23-34

Position#19

Record-

FormLLWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Diamond Valley

Keilor Thunder 🏆

Position#15

Record-

FormLWLLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

NBL1 South

Other2025

Meetings · Diamond Valley v Keilor Thunder

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diamond Valley winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Keilor Thunder winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Diamond Valley Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Knox

93-89

A07/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

#12

97-102

102

-5

H15/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

81-96

-15

H16/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

82-74

H22/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

78-93

-15

A28/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

76-99

-23

A29/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

93-112

112

-19

A05/07

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

106-91

106

+15

A06/07

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

72-83

-11

H13/07

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

79-80

-1

H14/07

NBL1 South

20-21

18-24

23-19

32-25

22-30

26-21

25-24

24-27

20-24

14-30

18-23

29-19

18-16

25-9

11-25

28-24

21-24

20-27

16-22

21-20

14-23

26-27

20-29

16-20

19-29

11-31

28-27

35-25

22-25

25-15

32-26

27-25

21-23

15-14

13-25

23-21

19-26

17-25

20-16

23-13

177.6Avg total

85.7Scored

91.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	85.7	91.9	177.6	-6.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	93.0	178.2	-7.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	83.8	96.4	180.2	-12.6	25%
vs Similar (9)	86.9	88.7	175.6	-1.8	44%
vs Weaker (1)	97.0	85.0	182.0	+12.0	100%

This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Keilor Thunder Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

#16

76-65

+11

H25/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

82-69

+13

A01/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

64-80

-16

H07/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

77-70

A15/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

111-85

111

+26

A22/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

72-75

-3

H29/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

112-93

112

+19

H05/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

72-83

-11

A07/07

NBL1 South

Eltham

67-98

-31

H11/07

NBL1 South

Knox

68-104

104

-36

A13/07

NBL1 South

12-23

19-22

25-7

20-13

15-24

22-12

25-14

20-19

18-27

18-21

18-19

10-13

17-19

23-22

19-13

18-16

21-23

36-17

28-26

26-19

26-12

14-27

8-23

24-13

29-19

31-11

27-28

25-35

18-20

12-17

17-24

25-22

12-27

15-24

20-25

20-22

23-23

16-25

12-28

17-28

162.3Avg total

80.1Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	80.1	82.2	162.3	-2.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	90.6	168.8	-12.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	83.3	97.4	180.7	-14.1	20%
vs Similar (10)	87.5	84.8	172.3	+2.7	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	89.6	91.8	181.4	-2.2	60%

This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Diamond ValleyKeilor Thunder

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	25.1	45.8	-4.4	13%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	23.3	44.6	-2.0	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.3	26.5	46.8	-6.2	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	24.1	43.7	-4.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	25.2	44.2	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.8	25.8	45.5	-5.9	5%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.6	24.7	46.2	-3.1	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	16.0	48.0	+16.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	23.8	46.2	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	23.1	46.1	-0.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	24.4	46.3	-2.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.7	40.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	22.9	24.8	47.7	-1.9	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.4	23.5	44.9	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	23.3	44.5	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	21.9	42.7	-1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.4	24.4	45.8	-3.0	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.4	41.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.0	23.8	43.8	-3.8	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.3	22.3	44.7	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	33.0	24.0	57.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	23.4	44.5	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	22.6	42.1	-3.2	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.5	24.1	46.6	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.1	25.7	45.8	-5.7	13%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	20%	-

Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Knox

38-45

-7

A07/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

#12

48-51

-3

H15/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

34-54

-20

H16/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

43-25

+18

H22/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

41-51

-10

A28/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

40-50

-10

A29/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

30-60

-30

A05/07

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

47-40

A06/07

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

36-37

-1

H13/07

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

36-51

-15

H14/07

NBL1 South

85.7Avg total

39.3Scored

46.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	48.4	90.3	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.1	45.2	87.3	-3.2	15%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.7	50.9	92.6	-9.2	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	46.4	85.7	-7.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	47.6	85.4	-9.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	39.8	49.5	89.3	-9.7	10%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.9	47.0	90.9	-3.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	65.0	40.0	105.0	+25.0	100%	-

This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

#16

31-45

-14

H25/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

37-36

A01/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

36-48

-12

H07/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

40-41

-1

A15/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

57-40

+17

A22/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

40-39

H29/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

60-30

+30

H05/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

30-37

-7

A07/07

NBL1 South

Eltham

27-51

-24

H11/07

NBL1 South

Knox

39-48

-9

A13/07

NBL1 South

81.2Avg total

39.7Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	47.2	90.7	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	45.8	88.2	-3.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.4	48.4	92.9	-4.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	41.5	81.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.0	80.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	43.0	50.5	93.5	-7.5	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.5	44.7	88.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	45.0	42.2	87.2	+2.8	40%	-

This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	23.9	44.6	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	24.4	43.6	-5.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	23.6	44.2	-3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	24.6	47.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	21.3	24.2	45.5	-2.9	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.3	22.9	43.2	-2.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	11.0	27.0	38.0	-16.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	23.0	44.6	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	23.1	45.6	-0.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	23.0	43.7	-2.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	25.6	42.4	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.8	24.6	43.4	-5.8	13%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.6	20.5	45.1	+4.1	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	23.8	23.4	47.2	+0.4	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.3	44.0	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.0	20.3	43.3	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.4	22.1	44.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	21.9	47.7	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	20.8	45.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	22.8	22.6	45.4	+0.1	45%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.7	18.8	41.4	+3.9	78%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	21.1	41.9	-0.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	22.9	43.4	-2.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	24.0	46.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.5	22.3	43.8	-0.7	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	20.8	26.2	47.0	-5.4	20%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	45.3	88.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.2	44.7	86.9	-2.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	44.2	45.7	89.9	-1.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	45.5	91.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	45.4	92.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	44.0	46.9	90.9	-2.9	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.0	41.7	84.7	+1.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	45.0	77.0	-13.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	45.1	87.3	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	44.1	87.6	-0.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.2	45.9	87.1	-4.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	40.7	81.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	49.6	88.6	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	40.3	46.9	87.2	-6.5	13%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.0	40.1	84.1	+3.9	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	44.6	49.6	94.2	-5.0	20%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Diamond Valley wins

Keilor Thunder wins

Date	Game	Score
05/07/24	Keilor Thunder v Diamond Valley	112-93
09/04/24	Diamond Valley v Keilor Thunder	106-110
24/06/23	Keilor Thunder v Diamond Valley	89-91
29/04/23	Diamond Valley v Keilor Thunder	85-93
23/07/22	Keilor Thunder v Diamond Valley	76-79

Diamond Valleylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/07/24	H	Kilsyth	79-80
13/07/24	H	Geelong	72-83
06/07/24	A	Casey Cavaliers	106-91
05/07/24	A	Keilor Thunder	93-112
29/06/24	A	Hobart Chargers	76-99
28/06/24	A	NW Tasmania	78-93
22/06/24	H	Ringwood	82-74
16/06/24	H	Mt Gambier	81-96
15/06/24	H	Waverley	97-102
07/06/24	A	Knox	93-89

Keilor Thunderlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/07/24	A	Knox	68-104
11/07/24	H	Eltham	67-98
07/07/24	A	Sandringham Sabres	72-83
05/07/24	H	Diamond Valley	112-93
29/06/24	H	Dandenong	72-75
22/06/24	A	Bendigo Braves	111-85
15/06/24	A	Ringwood	77-70
07/06/24	H	Mt Gambier	64-80
01/06/24	A	Melbourne Tigers	82-69
25/05/24	H	Kilsyth	76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Diamond Valley

NBL1 South 2025

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Keilor Thunder

NBL1 South 2025

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	1	1	0	100%	108.0	58.0	+50.0
2	Ballarat	1	1	0	100%	109.0	75.0	+34.0
3	Casey Cavaliers	1	1	0	100%	87.0	80.0	+7.0
4	Dandenong	1	0	1	0%	80.0	87.0	-7.0
5	Bendigo Braves	1	0	1	0%	75.0	109.0	-34.0
6	Geelong	1	0	1	0%	58.0	108.0	-50.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Diamond Valley	11	24	24	23	82
Keilor Thunder	26	21	16	34	97

← all games of the day

Diamond Valley vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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