Geelong vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Jun 2019

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 79-74

14-25 25-11 20-18 20-20

Position#4

Record9-6

FormWWWWL

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game79.0

Geelong 🏆

NW Tasmania

Position#14

Record6-7

FormWLLLW

Points / game86.4

Allowed / game88.4

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Geelong v NW Tasmania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

NW Tasmania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

78-95

-17

H27/04

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

92-62

+30

A05/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

104-103

104

103

H11/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

80-96

-16

A12/05

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

66-72

-6

A18/05

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

87-81

H19/05

NBL 1

Dandenong

74-69

H25/05

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

81-70

+11

A31/05

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

94-85

A01/06

NBL 1

Ballarat

62-66

-4

H15/06

NBL 1

23-28

25-26

17-24

13-17

34-17

21-19

12-12

25-14

24-22

30-24

24-23

26-34

22-31

22-19

17-29

19-17

22-16

15-17

17-16

12-23

16-22

29-17

28-19

14-23

18-18

17-16

18-12

21-23

20-23

30-19

17-18

14-10

29-21

17-18

24-16

24-30

14-18

21-20

12-17

15-11

161.7Avg total

81.8Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	81.6	79.0	160.6	+2.6	60%
Season at home (8)	83.2	81.4	164.6	+1.9	62%
Season away (7)	79.7	76.3	156.0	+3.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	79.9	161.7	+1.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	74.2	153.8	+5.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	76.3	88.0	164.3	-11.7	0%
vs Similar (12)	82.2	84.2	166.4	-2.1	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	91.3	77.7	169.0	+13.7	100%

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo Braves

76-93

-17

A27/04

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

121-116 OT

121

116

A28/04

NBL 1

Frankston

90-103

103

-13

A04/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

100-95

100

A05/05

NBL 1

Dandenong

76-109

109

-33

H11/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

97-75

+22

H17/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

67-94

-27

A25/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

59-66

-7

H26/05

NBL 1

Geelong

85-94

-9

H01/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

75-54

+21

H15/06

NBL 1

29-21

13-30

22-18

12-24

27-23

32-27

26-24

17-28

15-28

27-23

22-23

26-29

25-17

21-18

26-30

28-30

31-26

8-24

14-29

23-30

30-13

28-16

21-31

18-15

15-24

20-28

10-22

22-20

15-12

9-25

21-16

14-13

21-29

18-17

16-24

30-24

13-9

17-10

26-13

19-22

174.5Avg total

84.6Scored

89.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	86.4	88.4	174.8	-2.0	46%
Season at home (7)	81.0	79.0	160.0	+2.0	43%
Season away (6)	92.7	99.3	192.0	-6.7	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	89.9	174.5	-5.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	76.6	153.2	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	80.1	93.7	173.8	-13.6	17%
vs Similar (13)	92.2	83.7	175.8	+8.5	77%
vs Weaker (5)	93.0	69.4	162.4	+23.6	100%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongNW Tasmania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	22.3	45.0	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.5	42.1	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.9	24.1	48.0	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	27.0	45.7	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.4	23.2	45.6	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	25.0	19.2	44.2	+5.8	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	21.1	44.7	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.3	21.5	43.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.7	20.8	45.4	+3.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.2	42.3	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	22.2	24.5	46.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	24.2	18.3	42.5	+5.8	69%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.4	20.2	45.6	+5.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.5	42.2	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.0	40.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.5	21.3	37.8	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.7	21.2	42.9	+0.4	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.5	18.9	40.4	+2.6	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	21.0	43.1	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.8	41.1	-2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.5	23.5	41.0	-6.0	17%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.6	19.9	41.5	+1.7	69%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.2	14.2	39.4	+11.0	100%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

48-54

-6

H27/04

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

55-36

+19

A05/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

54-46

H11/05

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

44-50

-6

A12/05

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

37-33

A18/05

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

45-39

H19/05

NBL 1

Dandenong

35-34

H25/05

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

50-42

A31/05

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

46-39

A01/06

NBL 1

Ballarat

35-38

-3

H15/06

NBL 1

86.0Avg total

44.9Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	42.7	85.9	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	40.2	83.3	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	45.1	88.6	-1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	41.1	86.0	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	38.4	80.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.2	48.3	83.5	-13.2	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	44.1	44.4	88.5	-0.3	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	46.5	38.1	84.6	+8.4	83%	-

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo Braves

42-51

-9

A27/04

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

59-50

A28/04

NBL 1

Frankston

42-51

-9

A04/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

46-35

+11

A05/05

NBL 1

Dandenong

39-50

-11

H11/05

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

58-29

+29

H17/05

NBL 1

Ballarat

35-52

-17

A25/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

24-37

-13

H26/05

NBL 1

Geelong

39-46

-7

H01/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

30-19

+11

H15/06

NBL 1

83.4Avg total

41.4Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	41.5	85.6	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	41.2	82.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.8	41.8	88.5	+5.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	42.0	83.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	36.6	73.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	39.7	48.0	87.7	-8.3	8%	-
vs Similar (13)	45.8	38.2	84.0	+7.5	77%	-
vs Weaker (5)	50.6	34.4	85.0	+16.2	100%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.3	40.3	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	19.3	42.1	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.3	38.5	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.5	19.8	42.3	+2.7	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	21.1	41.1	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	21.1	41.4	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	23.0	43.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.2	17.2	36.4	+2.0	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.4	40.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.2	38.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.3	21.3	39.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.3	19.8	42.1	+2.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.3	44.7	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.6	24.0	48.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	23.5	44.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.2	24.2	45.5	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	23.3	22.2	45.5	+1.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.2	17.8	41.0	+5.4	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	39.7	81.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	39.6	82.9	+3.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	39.8	79.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	38.8	75.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	35.8	73.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.2	39.7	80.8	+1.5	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.1	39.8	77.9	-1.8	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	44.8	39.6	84.4	+5.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	43.3	86.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	41.4	81.5	-1.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.9	45.1	90.0	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	46.5	87.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	40.0	79.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	40.4	45.7	86.1	-5.2	17%	-
vs Similar (13)	44.9	44.4	89.3	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.4	35.0	77.4	+7.4	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

NW Tasmania wins

Date	Game	Score
01/06/19	NW Tasmania v Geelong	85-94
01/07/17	NW Tasmania v Geelong	85-92
26/05/17	Geelong v NW Tasmania	87-92
06/08/16	Geelong v NW Tasmania	93-74
23/07/16	NW Tasmania v Geelong	72-104
05/07/15	Geelong v NW Tasmania	86-76
18/04/15	NW Tasmania v Geelong	81-75

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/06/19	H	Ballarat	62-66
01/06/19	A	NW Tasmania	94-85
31/05/19	A	Hobart Huskies	81-70
25/05/19	H	Dandenong	74-69
19/05/19	H	Diamond Valley	87-81
18/05/19	A	Melbourne Tigers	66-72
12/05/19	A	Bendigo Braves	80-96
11/05/19	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	104-103
05/05/19	A	Waverley	92-62
27/04/19	H	Kilsyth	78-95

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/06/19	H	Hobart Huskies	75-54
01/06/19	H	Geelong	85-94
26/05/19	H	BA CoE	59-66
25/05/19	A	Ballarat	67-94
17/05/19	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	97-75
11/05/19	H	Dandenong	76-109
05/05/19	A	Eltham	100-95
04/05/19	A	Frankston	90-103
28/04/19	A	Waverley	121-116 OT
27/04/19	A	Bendigo Braves	76-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	60%
Home	LWWWL	62%
Away	WLLWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	60%	62%	57%
Points / game	81.6	83.2	79.7
Allowed / game	79.0	81.4	76.3
Point differential	+2.6	+1.9	+3.4
Avg total	160.6	164.6	156.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	25%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

NW Tasmania

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	46%
Home	LWLLW	43%
Away	LWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	46%	43%	50%
Points / game	86.4	81.0	92.7
Allowed / game	88.4	79.0	99.3
Point differential	-2.0	+2.0	-6.7
Avg total	174.8	160.0	192.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	43%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	13	11	2	85%	91.8	74.5	+17.2
2	Nunawading	13	10	3	77%	90.8	80.8	+10.0
3	Kilsyth	13	8	5	62%	88.2	82.9	+5.2
4	Melbourne Tigers	13	8	5	62%	86.0	84.3	+1.7
5	Geelong	15	9	6	60%	81.6	79.0	+2.6
6	Waverley	12	7	5	58%	87.4	89.3	-1.9
7	Frankston	14	8	6	57%	90.1	88.5	+1.6
8	Dandenong	14	7	7	50%	90.0	86.9	+3.1
9	Bendigo Braves	14	7	7	50%	84.6	82.4	+2.1
10	BA CoE	15	7	8	47%	82.7	83.7	-1.1
11	NW Tasmania	13	6	7	46%	86.4	88.4	-2.0
12	Diamond Valley	14	6	8	43%	84.7	87.4	-2.7
13	Knox	13	5	8	38%	79.4	82.4	-3.0
14	Hobart Huskies	13	5	8	38%	85.8	90.2	-4.3
15	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	13	5	8	38%	89.8	96.2	-6.3
16	Eltham	14	5	9	36%	85.1	89.2	-4.1
17	Ringwood	13	4	9	31%	88.6	93.7	-5.1
18	Southern Sabres	13	3	10	23%	87.6	101.2	-13.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	14	25	20	20	79
NW Tasmania	25	11	18	20	74

← all games of the day

Geelong vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature