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NW Tasmania vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Jun 2019
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 85-94
21-29 18-17 16-24 30-24
Position#14
Record5-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Geelong 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record8-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game79.5
AustraliaNBL 1
Other2019
Meetings · NW Tasmania v Geelong
25 Apr 2025
NW T82
GEEL86
13 May 2023
NW T72
GEEL98
03 Jul 2021
NW T70
GEEL98
01 Jun 2019
NW T85
GEEL94
01 Jul 2017
NW T85
GEEL92
23 Jul 2016
NW T72
GEEL104
18 Apr 2015
NW T81
GEEL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H06/04
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A13/04
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
76-93
76
93
-17
A27/04
NBL 1
Waverley
#10
W
121-116 OT
121
116
+5
A28/04
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
L
90-103
90
103
-13
A04/05
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
100-95
100
95
+5
A05/05
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
L
76-109
76
109
-33
H11/05
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H17/05
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
67-94
67
94
-27
A25/05
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H26/05
NBL 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
19-29
22-25
18-18
22-22
21-22
24-24
35-27
29-21
13-30
22-18
12-24
27-23
32-27
26-24
17-28
15-28
27-23
22-23
26-29
25-17
21-18
26-30
28-30
31-26
8-24
14-29
23-30
30-13
28-16
21-31
18-15
15-24
20-28
10-22
22-20
15-12
9-25
21-16
14-13
180.5Avg total
86.7Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.591.0178.5-3.545%
Season at home (5)81.481.0162.4+0.440%
Season away (6)92.799.3192.0-6.750%
Last 10 (10)86.793.8180.5-7.140%
Last 5 (5)79.887.8167.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.693.6173.3-14.018%
vs Similar (13)92.685.5178.2+7.177%
vs Weaker (6)91.572.3163.8+19.283%
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#17
W
103-72
103
72
+31
H20/04
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A25/04
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
L
78-95
78
95
-17
H27/04
NBL 1
Waverley
#10
W
92-62
92
62
+30
A05/05
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
104-103
104
103
+1
H11/05
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
80-96
80
96
-16
A12/05
NBL 1
Melbourne Tigers
#6
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A18/05
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#11
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H19/05
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H25/05
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A31/05
NBL 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
26-17
32-15
19-21
21-27
10-18
26-9
16-18
23-28
25-26
17-24
13-17
34-17
21-19
12-12
25-14
24-22
30-24
24-23
26-34
22-31
22-19
17-29
19-17
22-16
15-17
17-16
12-23
16-22
29-17
28-19
14-23
18-18
17-16
18-12
21-23
20-23
30-19
17-18
14-10
163.0Avg total
83.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.279.5161.7+2.662%
Season at home (7)86.383.6169.9+2.771%
Season away (6)77.374.8152.2+2.550%
Last 10 (10)83.879.2163.0+4.670%
Last 5 (5)77.677.6155.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.292.4171.6-13.20%
vs Similar (12)82.284.2166.4-2.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.278.2168.3+12.092%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
NW TasmaniaGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H06/04
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A13/04
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A27/04
NBL 1
Waverley
#10
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A28/04
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A04/05
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A05/05
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H11/05
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
58-29
58
29
+29
H17/05
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A25/05
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H26/05
NBL 1
87.5Avg total
42.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.386.7+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.742.885.5-0.154%-
Last 30 away (17)45.841.987.6+3.953%-
Last 10 (10)42.744.887.5-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.681.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.748.287.9-8.59%-
vs Similar (13)47.240.287.3+7.077%-
vs Weaker (6)47.236.083.2+11.283%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#17
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H20/04
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A25/04
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H27/04
NBL 1
Waverley
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A05/05
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H11/05
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A12/05
NBL 1
Melbourne Tigers
#6
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A18/05
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H19/05
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H25/05
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A31/05
NBL 1
86.6Avg total
45.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.187.1+0.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.641.085.6+3.675%-
Last 30 away (14)43.345.688.9-2.350%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.586.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.681.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.250.485.6-15.220%-
vs Similar (12)44.144.488.5-0.358%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.239.286.4+8.185%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
NW Tasmania wins
4
Geelong wins
DateGameScore
01/07/17NW Tasmania v Geelong85-92
26/05/17Geelong v NW Tasmania87-92
06/08/16Geelong v NW Tasmania93-74
23/07/16NW Tasmania v Geelong72-104
05/07/15Geelong v NW Tasmania86-76
18/04/15NW Tasmania v Geelong81-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/19HBA CoE59-66
25/05/19ABallarat67-94
17/05/19HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits97-75
11/05/19HDandenong76-109
05/05/19AEltham100-95
04/05/19AFrankston90-103
28/04/19AWaverley121-116 OT
27/04/19ABendigo Braves76-93
13/04/19AHobart Huskies102-95
06/04/19HNunawading79-92
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/19AHobart Huskies81-70
25/05/19HDandenong74-69
19/05/19HDiamond Valley87-81
18/05/19AMelbourne Tigers66-72
12/05/19ABendigo Braves80-96
11/05/19HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits104-103
05/05/19AWaverley92-62
27/04/19HKilsyth78-95
25/04/19ABA CoE73-72
20/04/19HEltham103-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania
NBL 1 2019
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game87.581.492.7
Allowed / game91.081.099.3
Point differential-3.5+0.4-6.7
Avg total178.5162.4192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Geelong
NBL 1 2019
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game82.286.377.3
Allowed / game79.583.674.8
Point differential+2.6+2.7+2.5
Avg total161.7169.9152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ballarat109190%94.674.1+20.5
2 Nunawading118373%91.281.1+10.1
3 Melbourne Tigers117464%84.984.0+0.9
4 Geelong138562%82.279.5+2.6
5 Kilsyth106460%88.185.4+2.7
6 Waverley106460%88.489.3-0.9
7 Frankston116555%89.989.3+0.6
8 Dandenong126650%87.483.6+3.8
9 BA CoE147750%83.082.6+0.4
10 Albury-Wodonga Bandits105550%91.595.6-4.1
11 Bendigo Braves115645%83.984.0-0.1
12 NW Tasmania115645%87.591.0-3.5
13 Hobart Huskies125742%88.591.4-2.9
14 Knox104640%80.282.8-2.6
15 Eltham114736%87.592.4-4.8
16 Diamond Valley124833%83.888.3-4.6
17 Ringwood103730%92.195.2-3.1
18 Southern Sabres112918%84.498.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NW Tasmania2118163085
Geelong2917242494
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