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Dinamo Zagreb vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 97-61
29-15 16-18 21-7 31-21
Position#10
Record10-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#13
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
CroatiaPremijer ligaPremijer liga - Final· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dinamo Zagreb v Kastela
16 May 2026
DINA97
KAST61
07 May 2022
DINA72
KAST66
26 Sep 2021
DINA70
KAST55
28 Feb 2021
DINA80
KAST64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
79-99
79
99
-20
A29/03
Premijer liga
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
94-97
94
97
-3
H01/04
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H04/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A11/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H15/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A18/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A25/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H03/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
L
91-110
91
110
-19
A09/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
21-29
19-29
23-23
34-18
14-29
24-24
22-26
17-16
11-21
25-22
27-26
22-20
13-29
21-20
11-27
22-12
15-23
15-31
20-21
20-19
10-22
21-21
23-22
17-15
7-24
26-22
22-16
25-20
14-30
27-20
23-26
19-21
19-21
19-27
25-28
25-26
21-25
23-31
22-28
172.8Avg total
80.0Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.288.7171.8-5.530%
Season at home (16)85.287.9173.2-2.738%
Season away (17)81.289.4170.6-8.124%
Last 10 (10)80.092.8172.8-12.80%
Last 5 (5)81.692.8174.4-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)86.299.0185.2-12.818%
vs Similar (14)85.687.6173.1-2.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)80.679.4160.0+1.240%
This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#8
W
93-57
93
57
+36
H21/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A28/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H01/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A12/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
119-82
119
82
+37
H18/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H23/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A26/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A02/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H06/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A09/05
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
22-20
20-13
24-12
7-21
16-19
24-19
23-26
20-15
23-15
19-8
23-23
33-14
15-18
19-18
24-16
37-21
26-14
39-21
17-26
20-16
14-16
13-17
17-9
23-11
11-12
15-14
14-22
20-17
16-25
13-18
16-15
31-21
19-20
22-18
15-22
19-17
22-24
8-26
19-24
152.0Avg total
80.5Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.571.5152.0+9.070%
Last 5 (5)69.472.8142.2-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (5)71.882.0153.8-10.220%
vs Weaker (25)87.564.6152.1+22.888%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: -10.8-10.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
Dinamo ZagrebKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A29/03
Premijer liga
Manchester Basketball
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H01/04
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H04/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A11/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A25/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A09/05
Premijer liga
80.0Avg total
36.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.945.386.2-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.944.385.2-3.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.846.387.1-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)36.243.880.0-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.444.680.0-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.949.593.4-5.527%-
vs Similar (14)39.443.682.9-4.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.441.079.4-2.620%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H21/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A28/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A12/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H18/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H23/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A26/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A02/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H06/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/05
Prva Liga
76.9Avg total
42.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.234.177.3+9.177%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.134.181.2+12.987%-
Last 30 away (15)39.434.173.5+5.367%-
Last 10 (10)42.134.876.9+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.874.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (5)36.840.677.4-3.820%-
vs Weaker (25)44.532.877.3+11.788%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.9
51.1%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
34.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.516.7
74.2%
74.3%16.7
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.518.1
59.3%
53.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.1
36.3%
34.2%36.3
🏀 Free throws10.68.0
75.5%
74.3%8.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dinamo Zagreb
LLLLLLLLLL
Kastela
LWLWWWWWLW
#10
League position
#13
-14.5
Net rating
+11.0
91.2
Offensive rating
96.5
105.7
Defensive rating
85.5
51.5%
Effective FG%
56.8%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.17
34.7%
3-point %
36.3%
66.4%
Assist %
74.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 96.5Defence105.7 · 85.5Shooting51.5% · 56.8%3-point %34.7% · 36.3%Ball care17.6% · 18.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Dinamo Zagreb   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Dinamo Zagreb wins
0
Kastela wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26ASamobor91-110
03/05/26HDubrovnik82-97
29/04/26HSplit89-96
25/04/26AAlkar72-77
18/04/26AGKK Sibenka74-84
15/04/26HDubrava72-87
11/04/26AKvarner67-96
04/04/26HCedevita Junior80-85
01/04/26HManchester Basketball94-97
29/03/26AZadar79-99
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26ASkrljevo68-91
06/05/26HSkrljevo87-81
02/05/26ASkrljevo65-75
26/04/26AMladost63-59
23/04/26HMladost64-58
18/04/26HDakovo119-82
12/04/26ANovi Zagreb91-66
01/04/26HKK Zagreb85-61
28/03/26ASkrljevo70-85
21/03/26HCrikvenica93-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLLLLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %30%38%24%
Points / game83.285.281.2
Allowed / game88.787.989.4
Point differential-5.5-2.7-8.1
Avg total171.8173.2170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)20% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Kastela
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3531489%87.471.1+16.3
2 Split3426876%90.580.4+10.1
3 Cibona3426876%83.874.7+9.1
4 Dubrovnik35191654%79.380.9-1.6
5 Samobor35181751%86.184.9+1.1
6 Zabok34151944%79.480.5-1.1
7 Dubrava34151944%81.583.9-2.3
8 Cedevita Junior33122136%79.582.6-3.1
9 Alkar33122136%70.978.8-7.9
10 Kvarner35122334%78.183.4-5.3
11 Dinamo Zagreb33102330%83.288.7-5.5
12 GKK Sibenka3382524%76.687.6-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dinamo Zagreb2916213197
Kastela151872161
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