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Kastela vs KK Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:45
Final 85-61
20-15 23-15 19-8 23-23
Position#2
Record18-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game66.6
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
KK Zagreb
Croatia
Position#7
Record13-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game77.9
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 24· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kastela v KK Zagreb
01 Apr 2026
KAST85
KK Z61
06 Apr 2025
KAST91
KK Z89
13 Jan 2024
KAST71
KK Z66
26 Apr 2023
KAST91
KK Z68
10 Dec 2022
KAST67
KK Z54
02 Oct 2021
KAST66
KK Z55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KK Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Kastela
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.2
91.8▲ 5.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 69.2
63.2▼ 6.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 60%
62%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 21.9
22.8▲ 0.9
🔥 Form · KK Zagreb
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.7
86.2▲ 5.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.9
75.0▼ 2.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
57%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.3
20.8▲ 1.5
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H24/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A01/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A07/02
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
95-38
95
38
+57
H14/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
87-60
87
60
+27
A22/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
135-62
135
62
+73
H07/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
74-52
74
52
+22
A15/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
93-57
93
57
+36
H21/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A28/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
15-22
17-16
22-11
24-10
16-20
26-21
18-8
29-14
19-17
29-11
17-22
26-29
18-14
21-21
26-25
27-14
15-5
24-13
29-6
27-14
16-21
25-14
19-11
33-4
28-29
37-12
37-17
19-20
13-8
26-13
16-11
27-12
22-20
20-13
24-12
7-21
16-19
24-19
23-26
153.7Avg total
90.3Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.766.6153.3+20.078%
Season at home (11)89.564.6154.1+24.882%
Season away (12)84.168.4152.5+15.775%
Last 10 (10)90.363.4153.7+26.990%
Last 5 (5)91.863.2155.0+28.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)69.581.5151.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)87.468.5155.9+19.079%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#6
L
73-89
73
89
-16
A25/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
H31/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
H07/02
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A14/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H21/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A28/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A07/03
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
106-73
106
73
+33
H14/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
106-73
106
73
+33
H21/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H28/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
19-26
13-25
22-16
22-18
18-30
14-15
23-14
19-21
23-19
22-26
13-28
18-12
21-11
18-24
17-10
23-22
24-21
17-27
27-10
17-13
17-24
21-19
17-19
23-22
24-14
13-21
19-27
27-10
33-17
24-23
22-23
34-14
14-16
34-23
24-20
19-18
21-19
10-21
18-12
161.8Avg total
83.3Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.577.9158.3+2.657%
Season at home (12)82.175.4157.5+6.767%
Season away (11)78.780.5159.3-1.845%
Last 10 (10)83.378.5161.8+4.840%
Last 5 (5)86.275.0161.2+11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.181.5157.6-5.527%
vs Similar (10)77.974.5152.4+3.460%
vs Weaker (9)91.978.2170.1+13.789%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +8.8+8.8Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +9.6+9.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +8.2+8.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
KastelaKK Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A01/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A07/02
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H14/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H07/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A15/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H21/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A28/03
Prva Liga
75.5Avg total
42.3Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.935.478.3+7.570%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.734.782.4+13.086%-
Last 30 away (16)38.736.174.8+2.656%-
Last 10 (10)42.333.275.5+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)41.633.675.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)28.539.568.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.935.179.1+8.875%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A25/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H31/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H07/02
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A14/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H21/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A28/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A07/03
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
60-27
60
27
+33
H14/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H21/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/03
Prva Liga
80.4Avg total
43.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.437.680.0+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.635.980.5+8.780%-
Last 30 away (15)40.339.379.5+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)43.536.980.4+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)45.833.479.2+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.740.877.5-4.127%-
vs Similar (10)42.334.777.0+7.690%-
vs Weaker (9)49.636.886.3+12.8100%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.9
58.7%
53.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.112.7
39.6%
32.7%38.1
🏀 Free throws15.512.4
80.0%
71.6%12.4
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.125.0
59.4%
53.0%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.0
28.9%
32.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.211.9
62.0%
71.6%11.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
LWWWWWWWWW
KK Zagreb
LWWLLWWLLL
#2
League position
#7
+32.1
Net rating
+4.8
106.9
Offensive rating
90.1
74.8
Defensive rating
85.3
59.0%
Effective FG%
53.5%
43.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
19.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.6%
3-point %
28.9%
70.6%
Assist %
63.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 90.1Defence74.8 · 85.3Shooting59.0% · 53.5%3-point %39.6% · 28.9%Ball care14.7% · 19.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Kastela   ■ KK Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Kastela wins
3
KK Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
20/12/25KK Zagreb v Kastela70-65
06/04/25Kastela v KK Zagreb91-89
15/01/25KK Zagreb v Kastela71-69
06/04/24KK Zagreb v Kastela81-65
13/01/24Kastela v KK Zagreb71-66
26/04/23Kastela v KK Zagreb91-68
25/03/23KK Zagreb v Kastela61-73
12/03/23KK Zagreb v Kastela73-77
10/12/22Kastela v KK Zagreb67-54
19/12/21KK Zagreb v Kastela76-83
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26ASkrljevo70-85
21/03/26HCrikvenica93-57
15/03/26AMladost74-52
07/03/26HOsijek135-62
22/02/26AOmis87-60
14/02/26HAmfora95-38
07/02/26AJazine91-89
04/02/26HSonik Puntamika94-64
01/02/26AMarsonia84-59
24/01/26HGorica80-68
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HCrikvenica68-70
21/03/26HOsijek106-73
14/03/26HAmfora106-73
07/03/26ASonik Puntamika79-84
28/02/26AMladost72-75
21/02/26HGorica91-80
14/02/26ANovi Zagreb74-57
07/02/26HSkrljevo77-94
31/01/26HOmis87-90 OT
25/01/26AJazine73-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %78%82%75%
Points / game86.789.584.1
Allowed / game66.664.668.4
Point differential+20.0+24.8+15.7
Avg total153.3154.1152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%64%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %57%67%45%
Points / game80.582.178.7
Allowed / game77.975.480.5
Point differential+2.6+6.7-1.8
Avg total158.3157.5159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo2421388%95.575.6+19.9
2 Kastela2318578%86.766.6+20.0
3 Mladost2317674%82.174.4+7.7
4 Omis2315865%83.176.8+6.3
5 Gorica23131057%83.480.4+3.0
6 KK Zagreb23131057%80.577.9+2.6
7 Crikvenica23121152%75.576.9-1.4
8 Dakovo23111248%87.185.2+2.0
9 Jazine23111248%82.882.4+0.4
10 Novi Zagreb24111346%76.275.9+0.4
11 Marsonia2391439%74.375.3-1.0
12 Sonik Puntamika2371630%75.380.9-5.6
13 Amfora2341917%71.686.6-15.0
14 Osijek230230%64.0104.3-40.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela2023192385
KK Zagreb151582361
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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