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Alkar vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-72
15-17 24-7 22-26 16-22
Position#9
Record11-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game78.4
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#10
Record10-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game87.8
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 31· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb
22 Jan 2027
ALKA v DINA
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
ALKA77
DINA72
11 Oct 2025
ALKA74
DINA72
02 May 2025
ALKA63
DINA62
08 Dec 2024
ALKA88
DINA80
20 Apr 2024
ALKA79
DINA100
03 Dec 2023
ALKA53
DINA76
29 Mar 2023
ALKA75
DINA85
17 Dec 2022
ALKA74
DINA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A14/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
54-77
54
77
-23
H09/03
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H14/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A18/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H21/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A29/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H04/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A11/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H15/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A19/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
18-16
12-22
31-24
19-25
18-18
9-14
8-20
23-11
16-11
16-24
14-19
17-28
14-18
22-21
26-22
19-14
12-25
20-14
14-17
18-23
20-16
9-21
17-20
7-19
14-15
17-18
20-17
17-20
13-23
20-12
12-25
16-23
22-14
18-13
21-19
21-21
15-20
13-23
20-21
145.3Avg total
67.8Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.278.4148.5-8.237%
Season at home (15)71.173.9145.1-2.847%
Season away (15)69.282.8152.0-13.627%
Last 10 (10)67.877.5145.3-9.720%
Last 5 (5)66.076.6142.6-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)68.680.9149.5-12.321%
vs Similar (5)73.873.2147.0+0.680%
vs Weaker (1)74.072.0146.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A09/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H13/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A18/03
Premijer liga
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A25/03
ENBL
Zadar
#1
L
79-99
79
99
-20
A29/03
Premijer liga
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
94-97
94
97
-3
H01/04
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H04/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A11/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H15/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A18/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
22-29
25-15
27-28
20-23
24-24
23-21
20-12
16-24
22-20
19-22
13-22
19-20
21-31
27-12
17-23
16-18
21-29
19-29
23-23
34-18
14-29
24-24
22-26
17-16
11-21
25-22
27-26
22-20
13-29
21-20
11-27
22-12
15-23
15-31
20-21
20-19
10-22
21-21
23-22
170.2Avg total
80.6Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.187.8170.9-4.734%
Season at home (14)85.286.7171.9-1.543%
Season away (15)81.288.8170.0-7.627%
Last 10 (10)80.689.6170.2-9.020%
Last 5 (5)77.489.8167.2-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)87.499.3186.7-11.920%
vs Similar (14)84.687.4172.0-2.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.379.8163.2+3.550%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -8.4-8.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
AlkarDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A14/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H09/03
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H14/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A18/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H21/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H04/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A11/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/04
Premijer liga
72.8Avg total
33.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.840.575.3-5.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.238.673.8-3.433%-
Last 30 away (15)34.542.376.8-7.927%-
Last 10 (10)33.938.972.8-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.638.871.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)33.141.674.7-8.512%-
vs Similar (5)41.035.076.0+6.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H13/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A18/03
Premijer liga
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A25/03
ENBL
Zadar
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A29/03
Premijer liga
Manchester Basketball
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H01/04
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H04/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A11/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/04
Premijer liga
83.3Avg total
38.4Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.745.386.0-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.843.984.7-3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.646.787.3-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)38.444.983.3-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.877.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.350.194.4-5.830%-
vs Similar (14)39.144.383.4-5.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.339.778.0-1.333%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 67.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.4
46.6%
53.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.1
31.3%
34.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
74.3%11.7
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.9
47.5%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.4
37.3%
34.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.017.4
69.6%
74.3%17.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LWLLLLLWLL
Dinamo Zagreb
LLLLLLLLWW
#9
League position
#10
-11.0
Net rating
-10.3
81.3
Offensive rating
91.1
92.3
Defensive rating
101.4
46.8%
Effective FG%
50.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.40
31.3%
3-point %
37.3%
62.9%
Assist %
59.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence81.3 · 91.1Defence92.3 · 101.4Shooting46.8% · 50.6%3-point %31.3% · 37.3%Ball care18.5% · 17.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Alkar   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alkar wins
6
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar76-81
11/10/25Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb74-72
02/05/25Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb63-62
01/03/25Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar96-86
08/12/24Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb88-80
20/04/24Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb79-100
02/03/24Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar74-68
03/12/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb53-76
25/04/23Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar99-72
29/03/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb75-85
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26ADubrava69-85
15/04/26HKvarner77-69
11/04/26ACedevita Junior62-80
04/04/26HZadar58-69
29/03/26ASplit64-80
21/03/26HCibona65-70
18/03/26AZabok79-89
14/03/26HSamobor69-65
09/03/26HZadar54-77
14/02/26AZabok81-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26AGKK Sibenka74-84
15/04/26HDubrava72-87
11/04/26AKvarner67-96
04/04/26HCedevita Junior80-85
01/04/26HManchester Basketball94-97
29/03/26AZadar79-99
25/03/26AManchester Basketball84-86
18/03/26ACibona70-88
13/03/26HZabok87-80
09/03/26ASplit99-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL37%
HomeLWLLW47%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %37%47%27%
Points / game70.271.169.2
Allowed / game78.473.982.8
Point differential-8.2-2.8-13.6
Avg total148.5145.1152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL34%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %34%43%27%
Points / game83.185.281.2
Allowed / game87.886.788.8
Point differential-4.7-1.5-7.6
Avg total170.9171.9170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)20% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3026487%86.070.8+15.2
2 Split2922776%90.280.4+9.8
3 Cibona3123874%83.275.0+8.2
4 Samobor30161453%86.485.5+0.9
5 Dubrava30151550%83.384.3-1.0
6 Zabok30141647%80.280.6-0.4
7 Dubrovnik30141647%78.482.0-3.6
8 Cedevita Junior30111937%80.183.0-2.9
9 Alkar30111937%70.278.4-8.2
10 Kvarner31112035%78.482.8-4.4
11 Dinamo Zagreb29101934%83.187.8-4.7
12 GKK Sibenka3072323%76.585.6-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1524221677
Dinamo Zagreb177262272
← all games of the day
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