Dinamo Zagreb, the favourite, will host Samobor in the Premijer liga on 14 November 2026, with the Pythia model expecting a decisive win for the home side; Dinamo's overall record of 4-3 and a 68% chance of victory contrast sharply with Samobor's 1-6 record and 32% win probability. Dinamo have gone undefeated at home, 4-0, averaging 86 points and allowing 75, while Samobor have struggled on the road, 1-2, scoring 76 and conceding 83; both teams have lost three of their last five games. Their head-to-head history shows Samobor leading 3-2, most recently defeating Dinamo 110-91 on 9 May 2026. Pythia projects a final score of 86-81, with a total of 167.6 points, and the home team's line of -5.0 carries a 52% chance of covering. The over/under at 164.5 points has a 57% probability of going over, and there is a 5% chance the game will extend into overtime. The next encounter will hinge on Dinamo's ability to translate their home dominance into a win.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 76.4 | 82.1 | 158.6 | -5.7 | 57% |
| Season at home (4) | 86.0 | 75.0 | 161.0 | +11.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 63.7 | 91.7 | 155.3 | -28.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.4 | 82.8 | 165.2 | -0.4 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.2 | 82.4 | 154.6 | -10.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 80.6 | 97.6 | 178.3 | -17.0 | 18% |
| vs Similar ◀ (12) | 84.4 | 88.4 | 172.8 | -4.0 | 42% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 86.6 | 76.1 | 162.7 | +10.4 | 71% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 76.9 | 84.0 | 160.9 | -7.1 | 14% |
| Season at home (4) | 77.5 | 84.8 | 162.2 | -7.2 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 76.0 | 83.0 | 159.0 | -7.0 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.5 | 86.6 | 162.1 | -11.1 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.6 | 82.4 | 160.0 | -4.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 76.7 | 88.8 | 165.5 | -12.2 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (8) | 83.5 | 80.8 | 164.2 | +2.8 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 89.2 | 82.2 | 171.4 | +7.0 | 70% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.5 | 45.1 | 84.6 | -5.7 | 27% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 40.1 | 42.6 | 82.6 | -2.5 | 43% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 38.9 | 47.4 | 86.3 | -8.4 | 12% | 69% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.4 | 42.7 | 84.1 | -1.3 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 40.6 | 76.4 | -4.8 | 40% | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 38.7 | 49.3 | 88.0 | -10.5 | 9% | 73% |
| vs Similar ◀ (12) | 39.7 | 44.1 | 83.8 | -4.4 | 25% | 67% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 40.3 | 40.4 | 80.7 | -0.1 | 57% | 29% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.9 | 42.2 | 84.2 | -0.3 | 37% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 45.4 | 43.4 | 88.8 | +2.1 | 53% | 71% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 37.4 | 40.8 | 78.2 | -3.4 | 15% | 54% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.8 | 41.0 | 80.8 | -1.2 | 30% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.6 | 40.4 | 81.0 | +0.2 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 40.6 | 44.0 | 84.6 | -3.4 | 25% | 67% |
| vs Similar ◀ (8) | 42.0 | 40.8 | 82.8 | +1.2 | 25% | 62% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 43.5 | 41.3 | 84.8 | +2.2 | 60% | 60% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 157.5 | 72.4% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +12.0pp | Won |
| Over 158.5 | 70.3% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | +11.9pp | Lost |
| Over 156.5 | 74.4% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +11.4pp | Won |
| Samobor over 75.5 | 70.6% | 1.48 | 1.60 | 1.43 | 1.41 | - | - | +9.5pp | Lost |
| Samobor over 74.5 | 73.9% | 1.42 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.36 | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Samobor over 73.5 | 76.9% | 1.34 | 1.42 | 1.31 | 1.30 | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Samobor over 72.5 | 79.8% | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 74.5 | 87.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 79.5 | 75.0% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.37 | 1.32 | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Over 155.5 | 76.3% | 1.35 | 1.42 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 75.5 | 85.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| Samobor over 69.5 | 87.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 77.5 | 80.8% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 73.5 | 89.6% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Samobor over 70.5 | 84.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 80.5 | 71.7% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.38 | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Samobor +14.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 78.5 | 78.0% | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Samobor over 68.5 | 89.1% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 71.5 | 92.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Samobor +12.5 | 74.2% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Samobor +13.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Samobor over 71.5 | 82.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 69.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 68.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Samobor over 66.5 | 92.3% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Samobor over 64.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 72.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Samobor +15.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 70.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb +14.5 | 95.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb over 76.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb +19.5 | 97.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Samobor over 65.5 | 93.6% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Samobor over 67.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 84.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Samobor +20.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Over 140.5 | 95.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb +9.5 | 89.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 90.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Samobor +11.5 | 71.3% | 1.35 | 1.42 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb +4.5 | 79.0% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb under 96.5 | 84.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb under 98.5 | 88.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb +3.5 | 76.2% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Under 190.5 | 91.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb under 97.5 | 86.3% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Samobor under 93.5 | 87.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb under 92.5 | 72.7% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb under 95.5 | 81.5% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Won |
| Samobor under 91.5 | 83.8% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb +2.5 | 73.7% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb under 94.5 | 78.8% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Samobor under 92.5 | 86.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Under 185.5 | 86.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb under 93.5 | 75.8% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
| Samobor under 89.5 | 78.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Samobor under 90.5 | 81.5% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
| Under 180.5 | 78.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -1.0pp | Won |
| Samobor under 87.5 | 73.1% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | -1.0pp | Won |
| Samobor under 88.5 | 76.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -1.7pp | Won |
| Dinamo Zagreb +1.5 | 70.1% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | -2.9pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.1 | 20.4 | 54.8% | 40.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.7 | 9.2 | 34.2% | 27.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.3 | 14.4 | 71.7% | 14.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.2 | 18.6 | 54.8% | 37.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.2 | 7.8 | 34.2% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.1 | 15.1 | 71.7% | 15.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 | Samobor v Dinamo Zagreb | 110-91 |
| 15/02/26 | Samobor v Dinamo Zagreb | 101-87 |
| 07/12/25 | Dinamo Zagreb v Samobor | 106-110 OT |
| 27/01/22 | Dinamo Zagreb v Samobor | 72-62 |
| 02/10/21 | Samobor v Dinamo Zagreb | 76-101 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Split | 77-82 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Cedevita Junior | 97-89 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Skrljevo | 78-89 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Zabok | 72-79 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Cibona | 64-73 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Alkar | 91-95 OT |
| 30/09/26 | A | BC Prievidza | 65-98 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Zadar | 59-81 |
| 23/09/26 | H | BC Prievidza | 83-103 |
| 16/05/26 | A | Dubrovnik | 69-77 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 57% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 57% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 76.4 | 86.0 | 63.7 |
| Allowed / game | 82.1 | 75.0 | 91.7 |
| Point differential | -5.7 | +11.0 | -28.0 |
| Avg total | 158.6 | 161.0 | 155.3 |
| Over 163.75 | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWL | 14% |
| Home | LLLL | 0% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Points / game | 76.9 | 77.5 | 76.0 |
| Allowed / game | 84.0 | 84.8 | 83.0 |
| Point differential | -7.1 | -7.2 | -7.0 |
| Avg total | 160.9 | 162.2 | 159.0 |
| Over 163.75 | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 94.3 | 67.0 | +27.3 | |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 90.3 | 76.9 | +13.4 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 81.9 | 76.1 | +5.8 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 88.9 | 83.9 | +5.0 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 76.4 | 82.1 | -5.7 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 83.2 | 83.6 | -0.4 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 79.8 | 88.9 | -9.1 | |
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 80.7 | 82.7 | -2.0 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 78.7 | 88.7 | -10.0 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 77.6 | 83.0 | -5.4 | |
| 11 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 76.9 | 84.0 | -7.1 | |
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 74.6 | 85.0 | -10.4 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 28 | 17 | 12 | 83 | |
| 21 | 13 | 18 | 23 | 75 |
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