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Dubrovnik vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 77-69
21-21 23-17 20-6 13-25
Position#5
Record18-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#4
Record18-16
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game85.1
CroatiaPremijer ligaPremijer liga - Quarter-finals· Sportska dvorana Gospino polje
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dubrovnik v Samobor
12 Feb 2027
DUBR v SAMO
upcoming
16 May 2026
DUBR77
SAMO69
10 Oct 2025
DUBR83
SAMO80
11 Dec 2022
DUBR103
SAMO72
13 Nov 2021
DUBR80
SAMO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubrovnik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
89-83
89
83
+6
85avg 75
H22/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
62-79
62
79
-17
55avg 75
A28/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
73-95
73
95
-22
68avg 75
H03/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
62avg 75
A10/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
71avg 75
H15/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
75-64
75
64
+11
69avg 75
A19/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 75
H25/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
97-82
97
82
+15
100avg 75
A03/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
87-70
87
70
+17
87avg 75
H09/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 75
A13/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
21-18
23-13
21-27
18-25
15-18
17-22
12-14
16-20
25-25
19-17
13-33
18-25
18-26
16-28
18-21
24-21
20-24
19-23
17-15
21-19
19-18
16-11
19-16
16-14
19-18
25-16
16-23
21-19
21-19
27-19
28-25
22-15
21-10
22-21
22-24
21-19
19-18
22-15
24-29
160.3Avg total
79.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)79.481.3160.7-1.953%
Season at home (17)81.978.0159.9+3.965%
Season away (17)76.984.6161.5-7.741%
Last 10 (10)79.580.8160.3-1.360%
Last 5 (5)84.273.6157.8+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.282.4154.6-10.125%
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.882.4164.2-0.656%
vs Weaker (6)81.775.5157.2+6.283%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
96avg 80
H23/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
75avg 80
A29/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 80
H03/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
69avg 80
A12/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 80
A19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
92-81
92
81
+11
89avg 80
H24/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
71avg 80
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
76-66
76
66
+10
80avg 80
A02/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
110-91
110
91
+19
103avg 80
H09/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
73avg 80
H13/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
28-16
29-18
26-21
13-25
24-20
27-27
25-10
26-26
18-16
19-23
20-24
16-27
24-21
23-15
18-31
16-23
21-26
19-14
19-25
19-18
19-22
28-18
26-23
28-20
14-24
23-20
19-24
23-21
15-17
21-13
17-15
26-25
25-21
31-23
28-22
19-21
18-19
15-22
29-24
171.4Avg total
87.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)86.685.1171.7+1.453%
Season at home (18)91.286.6177.8+4.661%
Season away (16)81.483.5164.9-2.144%
Last 10 (10)87.384.1171.4+3.250%
Last 5 (5)88.682.4171.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.694.9176.4-13.30%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.877.2165.0+10.575%
vs Weaker (15)89.584.4173.9+5.173%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
DubrovnikSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H22/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A28/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A10/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H15/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A19/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H25/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A03/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H09/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/05
Premijer liga
79.5Avg total
39.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.881.0+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.337.981.2+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)39.141.780.8-2.553%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.679.5+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.873.8+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.642.180.8-3.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.540.081.5+1.569%-
vs Weaker (6)43.836.280.0+7.783%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H23/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A29/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A12/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A02/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/05
Premijer liga
84.0Avg total
41.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.486.3+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.442.889.1+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)41.042.183.1-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.984.0-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.682.8-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.647.391.9-2.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.439.882.1+2.650%-
vs Weaker (15)44.341.685.9+2.753%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.2
55.8%
53.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.5%
34.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.414.2
69.6%
74.3%14.2
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.6
54.2%
53.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.2
36.3%
34.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.815.5
78.3%
74.3%15.5
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubrovnik
WWWWWLLLLW
Samobor
LWWLWLLLWW
#5
League position
#4
-1.6
Net rating
+4.5
96.6
Offensive rating
98.4
98.2
Defensive rating
93.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
54.3%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.5%
3-point %
36.3%
64.9%
Assist %
62.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 98.4Defence98.2 · 93.9Shooting54.8% · 54.3%3-point %35.5% · 36.3%Ball care16.9% · 15.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Dubrovnik   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Dubrovnik wins
2
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
13/05/26Samobor v Dubrovnik81-86
18/03/26Samobor v Dubrovnik107-76
03/01/26Samobor v Dubrovnik89-84
10/10/25Dubrovnik v Samobor83-80
11/03/23Samobor v Dubrovnik91-92
11/12/22Dubrovnik v Samobor103-72
12/02/22Samobor v Dubrovnik72-78
13/11/21Dubrovnik v Samobor80-66
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/26ASamobor86-81
09/05/26HAlkar87-70
03/05/26ADinamo Zagreb97-82
25/04/26HDubrava76-71
19/04/26AKvarner75-64
15/04/26HCedevita Junior80-83
10/04/26AZadar70-100
03/04/26HSplit73-95
28/03/26ACibona62-79
22/03/26HZabok89-83
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/26HDubrovnik81-86
09/05/26HDinamo Zagreb110-91
02/05/26ADubrava76-66
29/04/26HZadar84-88
24/04/26HKvarner92-81
19/04/26ACedevita Junior75-88
12/04/26ASplit81-94
03/04/26HCibona83-89
29/03/26AZabok89-82
23/03/26HGKK Sibenka102-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW53%
HomeWLLWW65%
AwayLLWWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %53%65%41%
Points / game79.481.976.9
Allowed / game81.378.084.6
Point differential-1.9+3.9-7.7
Avg total160.7159.9161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL53%
HomeLWLWL61%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %53%61%44%
Points / game86.691.281.4
Allowed / game85.186.683.5
Point differential+1.4+4.6-2.1
Avg total171.7177.8164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)57% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3531489%87.471.1+16.3
2 Split3426876%90.580.4+10.1
3 Cibona3426876%83.874.7+9.1
4 Samobor34181653%86.685.1+1.4
5 Dubrovnik34181653%79.481.3-1.9
6 Zabok34151944%79.480.5-1.1
7 Dubrava34151944%81.583.9-2.3
8 Cedevita Junior33122136%79.582.6-3.1
9 Alkar33122136%70.978.8-7.9
10 Kvarner35122334%78.183.4-5.3
11 Dinamo Zagreb33102330%83.288.7-5.5
12 GKK Sibenka3382524%76.687.6-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dubrovnik2123201377
Samobor211762569
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