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Alkar vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-100
18-19 12-28 28-28 21-25
Position#11
Record9-22
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#5
Record18-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game78.0
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 32· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb
22 Jan 2027
ALKA v DINA
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
ALKA77
DINA72
11 Oct 2025
ALKA74
DINA72
02 May 2025
ALKA63
DINA62
08 Dec 2024
ALKA88
DINA80
20 Apr 2024
ALKA79
DINA100
03 Dec 2023
ALKA53
DINA76
29 Mar 2023
ALKA75
DINA85
17 Dec 2022
ALKA74
DINA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
59avg 72
A02/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
73-62
73
62
+11
78avg 72
H09/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
64avg 72
A13/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
65-73
65
73
-8
59avg 72
H17/03
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
99-71
99
71
+28
94avg 72
A23/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 72
H30/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
121-78
121
78
+43
126avg 72
A03/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
64-83
64
83
-19
54avg 72
A06/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
101-109 OT
101
109
-8
85avg 72
H13/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
72-76
72
76
-4
64avg 72
A17/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
16-10
8-20
16-22
20-11
20-23
13-8
20-20
13-19
26-23
15-23
14-24
16-17
20-22
19-15
10-19
24-22
29-16
28-18
18-15
16-26
23-27
23-17
19-19
33-14
30-18
33-22
25-24
16-28
8-19
22-21
18-15
20-27
22-26
27-23
24-17
18-17
22-20
14-24
18-15
161.6Avg total
81.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.782.2159.9-4.529%
Season at home (15)75.481.6157.0-6.233%
Season away (16)79.882.8162.6-2.925%
Last 10 (10)81.280.4161.6+0.830%
Last 5 (5)87.887.0174.8+0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)70.284.2154.4-14.07%
vs Similar (8)77.179.8156.9-2.638%
vs Weaker (6)95.879.7175.5+16.267%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Alkar
#11
W
74-68
74
68
+6
65avg 82
H02/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
101-71
101
71
+30
94avg 82
A09/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
88avg 82
H13/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
102-76
102
76
+26
100avg 82
H16/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 82
A25/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 82
H28/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
51-74
51
74
-23
48avg 82
A02/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
73avg 82
H05/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
94avg 82
A14/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
97avg 82
H17/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
10-16
20-8
22-16
32-16
26-17
21-19
22-19
25-28
17-22
29-8
16-12
35-19
21-22
27-11
19-24
28-18
17-35
19-18
22-26
17-22
18-23
19-20
16-20
8-19
17-15
9-20
17-20
21-28
29-26
13-20
18-22
26-17
23-21
20-18
26-19
22-17
20-30
18-14
27-26
166.2Avg total
85.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.078.0162.0+6.058%
Season at home (16)85.377.3162.6+8.062%
Season away (15)82.778.7161.4+3.953%
Last 10 (10)85.181.1166.2+4.060%
Last 5 (5)80.285.8166.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.080.2146.2-14.20%
vs Similar (7)84.388.0172.3-3.714%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.976.9165.8+12.088%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
AlkarDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A02/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H09/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A13/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H17/03
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A23/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H30/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
63-32
63
32
+31
A03/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A06/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H13/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A17/04
Premijer liga
82.7Avg total
42.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.781.1-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.739.576.2-2.829%-
Last 30 away (16)41.843.685.4-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.782.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.486.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.943.079.9-6.120%-
vs Similar (8)38.441.179.5-2.850%-
vs Weaker (6)46.738.385.0+8.350%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H02/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A09/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H13/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H16/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A25/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H28/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A02/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H05/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A14/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H17/04
Premijer liga
87.3Avg total
43.4Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.183.1+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.343.786.0-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)41.738.480.1+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.443.987.3-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.683.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.041.076.0-6.017%-
vs Similar (7)40.347.087.3-6.714%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.438.482.9+6.069%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.6
54.0%
53.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.3
33.3%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.012.5
69.4%
73.4%12.5
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.9
51.5%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.5
37.5%
34.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.015.1
75.5%
73.4%15.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LLLWLWLLWL
Dinamo Zagreb
WWLLLLWWWW
#11
League position
#5
+1.2
Net rating
+5.4
104.7
Offensive rating
107.8
103.6
Defensive rating
102.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
53.6%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.3%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.3%
3-point %
37.5%
67.9%
Assist %
70.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 107.8Defence103.6 · 102.5Shooting52.5% · 53.6%3-point %33.3% · 37.5%Ball care17.7% · 18.3%Off. rebounds25.8% · 26.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Alkar   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alkar wins
6
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar74-68
03/12/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb53-76
25/04/23Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar99-72
29/03/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb75-85
17/12/22Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb74-86
01/10/22Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar91-83
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24ADubrovnik72-76
13/04/24HGKK Sibenka101-109 OT
06/04/24AZabok64-83
03/04/24ABosco121-78
30/03/24HDubrava81-89
23/03/24ASkrljevo99-71
17/03/24HZadar65-73
13/03/24ASplit68-89
09/03/24HCibona73-62
02/03/24ADinamo Zagreb68-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24HDubrava104-99 OT
14/04/24ASkrljevo95-75
05/04/24HZadar81-96
02/04/24ASplit51-74
28/03/24HCibona70-85
25/03/24ACedevita Junior86-97
16/03/24HBosco102-76
13/03/24HDubrovnik87-70
09/03/24AGKK Sibenka101-71
02/03/24HAlkar74-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game77.775.479.8
Allowed / game82.281.682.8
Point differential-4.5-6.2-2.9
Avg total159.9157.0162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%7%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW58%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayLWLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %58%62%53%
Points / game84.085.382.7
Allowed / game78.077.378.7
Point differential+6.0+8.0+3.9
Avg total162.0162.6161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%44%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3129294%88.571.8+16.6
2 Split3127487%86.671.7+14.9
3 Cibona3122971%79.875.0+4.8
4 Cedevita Junior31201165%87.280.3+6.9
5 Dinamo Zagreb31181358%84.078.0+6.0
6 Zabok31161552%83.082.1+0.9
7 Dubrovnik31141745%75.376.9-1.6
8 GKK Sibenka31121939%79.881.9-2.0
9 Dubrava31121939%79.583.5-3.9
10 Alkar3192229%77.782.2-4.5
11 Skrljevo3162519%81.993.0-11.1
12 Bosco311303%71.598.5-26.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1812282179
Dinamo Zagreb19282825100
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