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Split vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 74-51
19-8 15-17 20-9 20-17
Position#2
Record24-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game71.5
Split 🏆
Croatia
vs
Dinamo Zagreb
Croatia
Position#5
Record16-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game76.8
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 28· Dvorana KK Split
Other2023-24
Meetings · Split v Dinamo Zagreb
11 Dec 2026
SPL v DINA
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
SPL94
DINA99
31 May 2025
SPL89
DINA69
25 May 2025
SPL82
DINA86
09 Apr 2025
SPL94
DINA86
06 Mar 2025
SPL79
DINA61
02 Apr 2024
SPL74
DINA51
15 Oct 2023
SPL74
DINA60
01 Nov 2022
SPL96
DINA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Bosco
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
88avg 77
A03/03
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
84avg 77
H08/03
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
93-68
93
68
+25
99avg 77
A10/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
89-68
89
68
+21
91avg 77
H13/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
89-80
89
80
+9
85avg 77
A16/03
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
72avg 77
A18/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
76-83
76
83
-7
77avg 77
H22/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
88-68
88
68
+20
95avg 77
H25/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
77avg 77
A29/03
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#4
L
78-92
78
92
-14
61avg 77
A31/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
38-17
25-17
13-17
24-19
26-24
17-11
20-21
21-14
21-15
26-16
25-23
19-13
23-26
23-15
24-14
29-27
19-17
22-18
19-18
14-15
24-20
19-16
23-25
24-17
17-26
21-18
14-22
23-10
17-20
21-26
27-12
20-23
21-17
26-17
13-8
25-22
17-27
19-25
17-18
160.3Avg total
85.1Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.871.5158.3+15.389%
Season at home (13)85.467.8153.2+17.692%
Season away (14)88.174.9163.1+13.286%
Last 10 (10)85.175.2160.3+9.980%
Last 5 (5)80.476.8157.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.178.8153.9-3.744%
vs Similar (5)81.882.0163.8-0.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.775.8164.5+12.993%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
W
100-89
100
89
+11
99avg 82
A31/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
79avg 82
H02/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
65avg 82
A09/02
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
95-102
95
102
-7
90avg 82
A13/02
Croatian Cup
Alkar
#11
W
74-68
74
68
+6
65avg 82
H02/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
101-71
101
71
+30
94avg 82
A09/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
88avg 82
H13/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
102-76
102
76
+26
100avg 82
H16/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 82
A25/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 82
H28/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
26-25
26-14
20-31
19-31
30-25
24-23
16-18
26-13
13-19
16-22
18-23
18-35
21-21
25-26
31-20
22-28
10-16
20-8
22-16
32-16
26-17
21-19
22-19
25-28
17-22
29-8
16-12
35-19
21-22
27-11
19-24
28-18
17-35
19-18
22-26
17-22
18-23
19-20
16-20
170.9Avg total
87.7Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.276.8161.0+7.459%
Season at home (14)84.374.4158.7+9.964%
Season away (13)84.279.4163.5+4.854%
Last 10 (10)87.783.2170.9+4.550%
Last 5 (5)89.279.8169.0+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)65.880.2146.0-14.40%
vs Similar (7)84.388.0172.3-3.714%
vs Weaker (17)89.173.5162.6+15.688%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
SplitDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosco
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A03/03
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H08/03
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A10/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H13/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A16/03
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A18/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H22/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H25/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/03
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A31/03
ABA League
83.2Avg total
43.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.282.9+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.040.384.3+3.783%-
Last 30 away (18)41.740.281.9+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.583.2+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.479.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.943.083.9-2.144%-
vs Similar (5)38.439.878.2-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.439.084.4+6.487%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A31/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H02/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A09/02
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A13/02
Croatian Cup
Alkar
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H02/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A09/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H13/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H16/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A25/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H28/03
Premijer liga
90.3Avg total
44.9Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.982.6+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.540.984.4+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.938.980.8+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)44.945.490.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.491.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.441.475.8-7.020%-
vs Similar (7)40.347.087.3-6.714%-
vs Weaker (17)45.236.581.7+8.876%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.822.8
57.3%
53.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.5
36.5%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.313.1
75.7%
73.4%13.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.1
53.6%
53.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.7
36.5%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.914.4
72.4%
73.4%14.4
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LWWLWWWWWW
Dinamo Zagreb
LLWWWWLLLW
#2
League position
#5
+13.3
Net rating
+5.2
114.5
Offensive rating
109.3
101.1
Defensive rating
104.2
56.3%
Effective FG%
54.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.3%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.5%
3-point %
36.5%
67.7%
Assist %
68.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 109.3Defence101.1 · 104.2Shooting56.3% · 54.1%3-point %36.5% · 36.5%Ball care17.9% · 18.3%Off. rebounds31.1% · 29.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Split   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Split wins
0
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Dinamo Zagreb v Split66-82
15/10/23Split v Dinamo Zagreb74-60
29/01/23Dinamo Zagreb v Split73-88
01/11/22Split v Dinamo Zagreb96-62
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24AMega Basket78-92
29/03/24ADubrovnik80-65
25/03/24HGKK Sibenka88-68
22/03/24HCibona76-83
18/03/24AKK Krka Novo mesto80-76
16/03/24AZabok89-80
13/03/24HAlkar89-68
10/03/24ADubrava93-68
08/03/24HMornar Bar87-75
03/03/24ABosco91-77
Dinamo Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24HCibona70-85
25/03/24ACedevita Junior86-97
16/03/24HBosco102-76
13/03/24HDubrovnik87-70
09/03/24AGKK Sibenka101-71
02/03/24HAlkar74-68
13/02/24ACedevita Junior95-102
09/02/24AZadar73-77
02/02/24HCibona89-97
31/01/24ADubrava100-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %89%92%86%
Points / game86.885.488.1
Allowed / game71.567.874.9
Point differential+15.3+17.6+13.2
Avg total158.3153.2163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%85%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeLWWWL64%
AwayLWLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%64%54%
Points / game84.284.384.2
Allowed / game76.874.479.4
Point differential+7.4+9.9+4.8
Avg total161.0158.7163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%50%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2826293%88.171.7+16.4
2 Split2724389%86.871.5+15.3
3 Cibona2721678%79.873.6+6.2
4 Cedevita Junior28181064%86.580.3+6.2
5 Dinamo Zagreb27161159%84.276.8+7.4
6 Zabok27131448%82.883.8-1.0
7 Dubrovnik28121643%75.878.1-2.3
8 GKK Sibenka26101638%79.181.5-2.4
9 Dubrava2791833%79.885.4-5.6
10 Alkar2781930%75.981.6-5.6
11 Skrljevo2752219%83.093.7-10.7
12 Bosco271264%71.896.5-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1915202074
Dinamo Zagreb81791751
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