PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Leiden vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 101-72
19-21 31-10 28-22 23-19
Position#10
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game76.2
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#7
Record4-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game75.2
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 7· Sportcomplex
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leiden v Donar Groningen
31 Oct 2026
LEI83
DGR96
08 Nov 2025
LEI101
DGR72
20 Apr 2025
LEI79
DGR81
19 Nov 2023
LEI85
DGR77
29 May 2023
LEI82
DGR81
25 May 2023
LEI55
DGR64
21 May 2023
LEI91
DGR94
22 Jan 2023
LEI76
DGR63
17 Nov 2022
LEI84
DGR68
11 Jun 2022
LEI71
DGR70
22 Jan 2022
LEI69
DGR71
20 Mar 2021
LEI96
DGR91
16 Jan 2021
LEI98
DGR67
01 Feb 2020
LEI81
DGR73
23 Nov 2019
LEI72
DGR80
14 May 2019
LEI63
DGR93
09 May 2019
LEI76
DGR77
09 Apr 2019
LEI82
DGR85
16 Mar 2019
LEI78
DGR79
03 Jan 2019
LEI83
DGR77
29 May 2018
LEI66
DGR73
24 May 2018
LEI71
DGR78
10 Mar 2018
LEI61
DGR85
07 Oct 2017
LEI75
DGR63
02 Mar 2017
LEI57
DGR74
10 Dec 2016
LEI67
DGR68
10 May 2016
LEI73
DGR43
05 May 2016
LEI76
DGR93
30 Apr 2016
LEI72
DGR69
14 Apr 2016
LEI69
DGR67
09 Jan 2016
LEI74
DGR80
12 May 2015
LEI85
DGR56
07 May 2015
LEI69
DGR79
02 May 2015
LEI86
DGR80
28 Feb 2015
LEI76
DGR72
20 Dec 2014
LEI72
DGR81
08 May 2014
LEI66
DGR72
03 May 2014
LEI62
DGR59
25 Jan 2014
LEI63
DGR78
05 Oct 2013
LEI69
DGR63
07 May 2013
LEI68
DGR64
01 May 2013
LEI75
DGR52
20 Feb 2013
LEI66
DGR68
01 Dec 2012
LEI70
DGR48
14 Mar 2012
LEI55
DGR58
19 Nov 2011
LEI70
DGR58
29 May 2011
LEI96
DGR95
22 May 2011
LEI75
DGR64
19 May 2011
LEI68
DGR63
14 May 2011
LEI107
DGR89
10 Feb 2011
LEI69
DGR79
30 Oct 2010
LEI62
DGR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
81avg 72
A28/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
60avg 72
A01/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
63-90
63
90
-27
46avg 72
H03/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
51avg 72
A05/06
DBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
83-64
83
64
+19
76avg 72
A27/09
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
111-68
111
68
+43
109avg 72
H04/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
87-60
87
60
+27
85avg 72
A12/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
108-89
108
89
+19
110avg 72
H18/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 72
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
83-108
83
108
-25
68avg 72
A01/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
25-26
22-23
20-21
26-23
16-24
13-19
17-19
18-32
18-21
11-20
16-17
22-21
12-25
22-19
11-21
25-12
23-17
18-20
17-15
33-15
34-17
24-17
20-19
22-12
32-18
15-14
18-16
21-21
28-23
26-23
33-22
20-21
29-13
25-18
10-16
23-23
21-31
26-28
13-26
165.1Avg total
84.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.776.2168.8+16.583%
Season at home (2)109.578.5188.0+31.0100%
Season away (4)84.275.0159.2+9.275%
Last 10 (10)84.880.3165.1+4.560%
Last 5 (5)94.678.6173.2+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.285.0156.2-13.818%
vs Similar ◀ (4)80.075.5155.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (15)88.475.9164.3+12.580%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#9
L
88-92
88
92
-4
84avg 74
H23/09
ENBL
Belfius Mons
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
87avg 74
A27/09
BNXT League
Tal Tech
#14
W
93-71
93
71
+22
92avg 74
H01/10
ENBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
85-61
85
61
+24
79avg 74
H04/10
BNXT League
Bristol Flyers
#19
W
70-69
70
69
+1
62avg 74
A08/10
ENBL
Oostende
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
70avg 74
A11/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
94avg 74
H18/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
75avg 74
A24/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
86-59
86
59
+27
84avg 74
H28/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
91-97
91
97
-6
93avg 74
A04/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
20-21
19-21
35-28
19-22
21-18
28-32
25-15
27-14
29-24
20-16
17-17
17-24
17-10
22-17
29-10
23-16
21-21
11-13
15-19
25-22
15-24
16-20
20-20
17-19
19-25
27-17
22-17
17-21
21-7
20-27
18-25
18-15
21-15
29-19
18-10
23-33
21-17
23-20
24-27
162.3Avg total
84.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.575.2158.7+8.367%
Season at home (3)85.366.0151.3+19.3100%
Season away (3)81.784.3166.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)84.378.0162.3+6.360%
Last 5 (5)82.880.0162.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.884.2160.0-8.433%
vs Similar ◀ (3)93.373.0166.3+20.3100%
vs Weaker (8)85.073.5158.5+11.575%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.5+3.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.5+3.5
LeidenDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A28/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A01/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H03/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A05/06
DBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A27/09
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
67-32
67
32
+35
H04/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A12/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H18/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A01/11
BNXT League
88.1Avg total
47.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.641.585.1+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.043.288.2+1.858%-
Last 30 away (18)42.640.483.1+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)47.141.088.1+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)52.638.891.4+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.545.683.1-8.227%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)46.040.286.2+5.875%-
vs Weaker (15)47.438.986.3+8.573%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/09
ENBL
Belfius Mons
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/09
BNXT League
Tal Tech
#14
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H01/10
ENBL
BAL Weert
#18
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H04/10
BNXT League
Bristol Flyers
#19
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A08/10
ENBL
Oostende
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A11/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H18/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A24/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H28/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
ENBL
79.5Avg total
40.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.579.6-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.038.477.4+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)39.242.381.5-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.079.5+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.679.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.842.380.2-4.539%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)42.037.779.7+4.367%-
vs Weaker (8)40.936.977.8+4.050%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.822.7
53.0%
54.3%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.311.8
68.2%
72.4%11.8
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.3
54.7%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.8
35.3%
34.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.815.3
73.6%
72.4%15.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWWWWWLLLW
Donar Groningen
LWLWLWWWWL
#10
League position
#7
+5.0
Net rating
+7.9
106.6
Offensive rating
108.3
101.6
Defensive rating
100.4
52.9%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
17.9%
Turnover %
22.2%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.2%
3-point %
35.3%
57.5%
Assist %
66.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 108.3Defence101.6 · 100.4Shooting52.9% · 53.9%3-point %35.2% · 35.3%Ball care17.9% · 22.2%Off. rebounds28.8% · 34.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Leiden   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Leiden wins
4
Donar Groningen wins
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25AOkapi Aalst83-108
25/10/25ADen Helder84-68
18/10/25HLWD Basket108-89
12/10/25ASpirou Charleroi87-60
04/10/25HRotterdam111-68
27/09/25ABAL Weert83-64
05/06/25ADen Bosch67-86
03/06/25HDen Bosch63-90
01/06/25ADen Bosch72-85
28/05/25ALWD Basket90-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25AVoluntari91-97
28/10/25HRotterdam86-59
24/10/25AKortrijk76-80
18/10/25HOkapi Aalst85-78
11/10/25AOostende76-86
08/10/25ABristol Flyers70-69
04/10/25HBAL Weert85-61
01/10/25HTal Tech93-71
27/09/25ABelfius Mons93-87
23/09/25HValmiera Glass Via88-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game92.7109.584.2
Allowed / game76.278.575.0
Point differential+16.5+31.0+9.2
Avg total168.8188.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game83.585.381.7
Allowed / game75.266.084.3
Point differential+8.3+19.3-2.7
Avg total158.7151.3166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen550100%86.271.0+15.2
2 Oostende770100%91.678.7+12.9
3 Antwerp Giants76186%98.673.6+25.0
4 Leiden65183%92.776.2+16.5
5 Donar Groningen64267%83.575.2+8.3
6 Den Bosch64267%85.882.8+3.0
7 Belfius Mons64267%90.090.7-0.7
8 Okapi Aalst85362%92.888.1+4.6
9 Limburg74357%87.678.4+9.1
10 Spirou Charleroi74357%83.388.4-5.1
11 Brussels Basketball63350%87.386.7+0.7
12 Kortrijk62433%81.388.7-7.3
13 Leuven Bears62433%79.088.8-9.8
14 Zwolle72529%77.781.4-3.7
15 Den Helder71614%79.689.7-10.1
16 LWD Basket7070%86.9103.9-17.0
17 Rotterdam6060%71.792.7-21.0
18 BAL Weert6060%66.788.0-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden19312823101
Donar Groningen2110221972
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.