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Donar Groningen vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 67-73
13-13 22-22 17-22 15-16
Position#16
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game72.5
Donar Groningen
vs
Varese 🏆
Position#4
Record7-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game74.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A24/11
DBL
Den Helder
#6
W
110-83
110
83
+27
H27/11
DBL
Zwolle
#2
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H06/12
DBL
Dordrecht
#5
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A09/12
DBL
Sassari
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Grasshoppers
#15
W
112-68
112
68
+44
A13/12
NBB Cup
Rotterdam
#8
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A15/12
DBL
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
78-56
78
56
+22
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Leiden
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A03/01
DBL
Amsterdam
#7
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A05/01
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
14-24
16-18
16-18
33-25
22-23
24-16
31-19
24-21
19-17
20-26
21-26
19-20
20-20
24-14
13-21
15-22
14-16
21-22
28-24
–
–
–
–
21-16
21-20
18-18
19-23
18-17
19-18
22-13
19-8
20-24
26-23
17-18
14-18
23-23
20-20
23-18
19-12
160.6Avg total
84.4Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.672.5151.1+6.175%
Season at home (4)83.280.2163.5+3.075%
Season away (4)74.064.8138.8+9.275%
Last 10 (10)84.476.2160.6+8.260%
Last 5 (5)86.271.4157.6+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)72.783.0155.7-10.333%
vs Similar (9)76.677.2153.8-0.744%
vs Weaker (16)87.366.2153.6+21.188%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
91-66
91
66
+25
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H25/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A09/12
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
109-74
109
74
+35
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#13
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H16/12
Lega A
Sassari
#1
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A23/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H25/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
98-78
98
78
+20
A30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A06/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
22-16
26-24
28-15
24-12
18-23
27-16
16-16
13-26
17-7
14-10
22-18
28-20
26-23
30-18
25-13
22-14
17-15
21-19
17-12
24-27
15-23
24-27
27-10
12-17
16-20
21-14
18-21
37-18
17-19
18-17
17-17
25-22
24-20
28-15
21-21
17-23
18-13
16-16
14-19
154.4Avg total
83.7Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.174.1164.2+16.088%
Season at home (4)92.568.5161.0+24.0100%
Season away (4)87.879.8167.5+8.075%
Last 10 (10)83.770.7154.4+13.080%
Last 5 (5)81.875.8157.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.087.0177.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (13)73.671.8145.5+1.854%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.673.9158.5+10.875%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +4.3+4.3
Donar GroningenVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A24/11
DBL
Den Helder
#6
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H27/11
DBL
Zwolle
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H06/12
DBL
Dordrecht
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A09/12
DBL
Sassari
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Rotterdam
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A15/12
DBL
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Leiden
#1
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A03/01
DBL
Amsterdam
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A05/01
DBL
81.0Avg total
40.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.135.877.9+6.366%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.434.477.7+9.071%-
Last 30 away (15)40.937.278.1+3.760%-
Last 10 (9)40.840.281.0+0.644%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.879.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.741.075.7-6.333%-
vs Similar (9)41.438.880.2+2.756%-
vs Weaker (16)44.232.776.9+11.681%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H25/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A09/12
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H16/12
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A23/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H25/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A06/01
Lega A
77.6Avg total
40.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.535.875.3+3.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.535.077.5+7.593%-
Last 30 away (15)36.536.573.1+0.053%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.977.6+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.481.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.050.089.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (13)36.235.271.4+0.969%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.335.377.6+7.081%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.7
52.3%
52.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.2
32.6%
34.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.110.2
72.3%
73.3%10.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Donar Groningen wins
0
Varese wins
No previous meetings.
Donar Groningenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/19AAmsterdam85-73
03/01/19ALeiden77-83
19/12/18AAEK Larnaca78-56
15/12/18ARotterdam79-77
13/12/18AGrasshoppers112-68
12/12/18HSassari78-84
09/12/18ADordrecht76-75
06/12/18HZwolle84-90
27/11/18HDen Helder110-83
24/11/18ADen Bosch65-73
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19APistoia65-71
30/12/18APesaro98-78
25/12/18HCantu89-71
23/12/18AOlimpia Milano67-72
19/12/18ASassari90-87
16/12/18HTorino77-60
12/12/18HAEK Larnaca109-74
09/12/18AVenezia66-61
25/11/18HBrindisi85-67
21/11/18HAlba Fehervar91-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game78.683.274.0
Allowed / game72.580.264.8
Point differential+6.1+3.0+9.2
Avg total151.1163.5138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game90.192.587.8
Allowed / game74.168.579.8
Point differential+16.0+24.0+8.0
Avg total164.2161.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears98189%100.976.1+24.8
2 Saratov98189%93.878.9+14.9
3 Varese87188%90.174.1+16.0
4 Sassari119282%93.778.5+15.3
5 s.Oliver Wurzburg97278%85.974.6+11.3
6 Donar Groningen86275%78.672.5+6.1
7 Alba Fehervar118373%85.478.9+6.5
8 Nes Ziona139469%90.882.6+8.2
9 Karsiyaka96367%84.276.4+7.8
10 Balkan117464%79.575.9+3.5
11 Leiden106460%75.079.0-4.0
12 Lukoil Levski95456%80.281.4-1.2
13 Szolnoki Olaj95456%80.783.0-2.3
14 Z-Mobile Prishtina95456%83.287.9-4.7
15 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
16 Sakarya BB63350%80.075.2+4.8
17 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
18 Aris63350%74.072.0+2.0
19 Minsk63350%82.882.2+0.7
20 Kataja126650%80.984.1-3.2
21 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
22 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
23 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
24 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
25 AEK Larnaca94544%74.282.6-8.3
26 Cherkaski Mavpy104640%80.184.3-4.2
27 Szombathely62433%74.384.5-10.2
28 BC Dnipro103730%71.776.9-5.2
29 Istanbul BB103730%72.279.4-7.2
30 Rilski Sportist82625%79.187.9-8.8
31 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
32 FC Porto61517%79.285.5-6.3
33 CSM Oradea61517%75.584.5-9.0
34 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%71.386.5-15.2
35 Leicester Riders6060%74.587.7-13.2
36 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
37 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
38 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
39 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donar Groningen1322171567
Varese1322221673
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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