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Varese vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-71
37-18 17-19 18-17 17-17
Position#7
Record7-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game72.5
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record3-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game88.8
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Varese v Cantu
07 Feb 2027
VAR v KAN
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
VAR91
KAN82
11 Oct 2020
VAR80
KAN90
04 Sep 2020
VAR84
KAN77
05 Apr 2020
VAR v KAN
upcoming
25 Dec 2018
VAR89
KAN71
16 Oct 2017
VAR95
KAN64
03 Dec 2016
VAR82
KAN92
03 Jan 2016
VAR79
KAN66
12 Oct 2014
VAR93
KAN84
15 Dec 2013
VAR77
KAN82
29 Oct 2012
VAR77
KAN73
30 Dec 2011
VAR67
KAN83
22 May 2011
VAR69
KAN75
16 Jan 2011
VAR82
KAN65
09 Jan 2010
VAR81
KAN66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
108avg 114
H11/11
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
89-71
89
71
+18
no box
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
82-79
82
79
+3
112avg 114
A18/11
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
91-66
91
66
+25
no box
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
W
85-67
85
67
+18
182avg 114
H25/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
66-61
66
61
+5
160avg 114
A09/12
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
109-74
109
74
+35
no box
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#13
W
77-60
77
60
+17
110avg 114
H16/12
Lega A
Sassari
#1
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-72
67
72
-5
93avg 114
A23/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
24-20
21-20
15-21
21-14
16-22
30-22
22-13
25-10
14-28
22-18
21-23
15-11
22-16
26-24
28-15
24-12
18-23
27-16
16-16
13-26
17-7
14-10
22-18
28-20
26-23
30-18
25-13
22-14
17-15
21-19
17-12
24-27
15-23
24-27
27-10
12-17
16-20
21-14
18-21
155.5Avg total
83.5Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.072.5148.5+3.564%
Season at home (6)82.273.5155.7+8.783%
Season away (5)68.671.4140.0-2.840%
Last 10 (10)83.572.0155.5+11.580%
Last 5 (5)81.870.8152.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.087.0177.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (14)74.972.9147.8+1.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.373.5157.9+10.880%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
116avg 116
H14/10
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
96-79
96
79
+17
127avg 116
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
101-95
101
95
+6
135avg 116
H28/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
59-76
59
76
-17
83avg 116
A04/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
81-90
81
90
-9
113avg 116
A11/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
87-90
87
90
-3
146avg 116
H19/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
82-102
82
102
-20
137avg 116
A25/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-101
74
101
-27
120avg 116
H09/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
63-81
63
81
-18
154avg 116
A16/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
96avg 116
H23/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
19-23
19-14
18-11
30-21
21-8
23-19
22-31
29-25
20-20
21-27
31-23
5-22
28-21
10-23
16-10
26-17
16-30
18-19
21-24
17-26
28-21
27-18
15-25
21-24
24-26
15-39
22-13
18-18
18-26
16-20
22-37
14-25
15-18
22-17
12-21
20-29
16-18
17-23
18-23
167.7Avg total
79.8Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.988.8168.7-8.927%
Season at home (5)83.490.2173.6-6.840%
Season away (6)77.087.7164.7-10.717%
Last 10 (10)79.887.9167.7-8.130%
Last 5 (5)75.493.4168.8-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.792.2170.9-13.518%
vs Similar (13)83.886.2170.0-2.346%
vs Weaker (6)85.577.8163.3+7.767%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
VareseCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/11
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A18/11
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H25/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A09/12
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H16/12
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A23/12
Lega A
75.8Avg total
38.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.835.575.3+4.277%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.134.476.5+7.793%-
Last 30 away (15)37.436.774.1+0.760%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.075.8+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.476.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.050.089.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (14)37.335.572.8+1.871%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.134.676.7+7.587%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H14/10
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H28/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A04/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A11/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H19/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A25/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H09/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A16/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H23/12
Lega A
85.5Avg total
41.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.144.186.2-2.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.743.885.5-2.127%-
Last 30 away (15)42.544.586.9-2.027%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.285.5-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)38.246.284.4-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.845.785.5-5.918%-
vs Similar (13)41.545.887.4-4.38%-
vs Weaker (6)47.337.584.8+9.883%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
51.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.7
30.4%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws13.39.2
69.2%
72.3%9.2
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.023.1
50.2%
51.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.35.9
29.1%
35.1%17.7
🏀 Free throws21.915.1
68.9%
72.3%15.1
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWWWWWWWWL
Cantu
LLLLLLLWWW
#7
League position
#8
+6.0
Net rating
-10.3
104.6
Offensive rating
100.9
98.6
Defensive rating
111.2
49.5%
Effective FG%
48.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
19.5%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.4%
3-point %
29.1%
55.9%
Assist %
52.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 100.9Defence98.6 · 111.2Shooting49.5% · 48.2%3-point %30.4% · 29.1%Ball care15.9% · 19.5%Off. rebounds31.1% · 32.8%Free throws0.20 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
05/02/18Cantu v Varese85-89
16/10/17Varese v Cantu95-64
02/04/17Cantu v Varese72-85
03/12/16Varese v Cantu82-92
04/05/16Cantu v Varese89-79
03/01/16Varese v Cantu79-66
26/01/15Cantu v Varese91-83
12/10/14Varese v Cantu93-84
29/03/14Cantu v Varese84-68
15/12/13Varese v Cantu77-82
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/18AOlimpia Milano67-72
19/12/18ASassari90-87
16/12/18HTorino77-60
12/12/18HAEK Larnaca109-74
09/12/18AVenezia66-61
25/11/18HBrindisi85-67
21/11/18HAlba Fehervar91-66
18/11/18ACremona82-79
14/11/18AFC Porto89-71
11/11/18HAvellino79-83
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/18HVenezia71-93
16/12/18ABrescia63-81
09/12/18HOlimpia Milano74-101
25/11/18ATrieste82-102
19/11/18HPesaro87-90
11/11/18AVirtus Bologna81-90
04/11/18ABrindisi59-76
28/10/18HReggiana101-95
20/10/18ACremona96-79
14/10/18HTrento84-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%83%40%
Points / game76.082.268.6
Allowed / game72.573.571.4
Point differential+3.5+8.7-2.8
Avg total148.5155.7140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game79.983.477.0
Allowed / game88.890.287.7
Point differential-8.9-6.8-10.7
Avg total168.7173.6164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano11110100%93.580.5+13.0
2 Venezia119282%83.768.8+14.9
3 Cremona117464%89.384.4+4.9
4 Varese117464%76.072.5+3.5
5 Avellino117464%83.583.5-0.1
6 Trieste116555%86.482.0+4.4
7 Brindisi116555%77.876.5+1.4
8 Brescia115645%79.377.8+1.5
9 Virtus Bologna115645%82.085.4-3.4
10 Sassari114736%85.284.4+0.8
11 Torino114736%78.682.0-3.4
12 Pesaro114736%83.288.5-5.4
13 Trento114736%76.583.2-6.6
14 Reggiana113827%77.883.7-5.9
15 Cantu113827%79.988.8-8.9
16 Pistoia113827%79.690.3-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese3717181789
Cantu1819171771
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