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Varese vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-67
24-12 18-23 27-16 16-16
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game76.9
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Brindisi
Italy
Position#5
Record5-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game75.7
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Varese v Brindisi
10 Mar 2024
VAR81
BRI73
19 Apr 2023
VAR93
BRI86
07 Nov 2021
VAR71
BRI84
04 Feb 2021
VAR76
BRI74
27 Oct 2019
VAR102
BRI78
25 Nov 2018
VAR85
BRI67
29 Apr 2018
VAR69
BRI65
23 Oct 2016
VAR91
BRI81
20 Mar 2016
VAR80
BRI69
28 Mar 2015
VAR82
BRI93
17 Nov 2013
VAR71
BRI85
20 Jan 2013
VAR83
BRI71
14 Nov 2010
VAR73
BRI60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
123avg 109
H21/10
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
84-75
84
75
+9
no box
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
78-66
78
66
+12
109avg 109
H28/10
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#14
L
68-74
68
74
-6
164avg 109
A04/11
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
108avg 109
H11/11
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
89-71
89
71
+18
no box
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
82-79
82
79
+3
112avg 109
A18/11
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
91-66
91
66
+25
no box
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
22-13
28-25
20-27
27-19
22-25
17-16
18-15
21-17
25-23
21-15
11-11
19-19
18-16
18-22
22-28
21-16
12-17
14-19
21-22
23-17
22-12
21-18
20-12
19-22
24-20
21-20
15-21
21-14
16-22
30-22
22-13
25-10
14-28
22-18
21-23
15-11
22-16
26-24
28-15
157.0Avg total
82.7Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.376.9154.1+0.457%
Season at home (4)82.878.5161.2+4.275%
Season away (3)70.074.7144.7-4.733%
Last 10 (10)82.774.3157.0+8.470%
Last 5 (5)85.471.6157.0+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.375.7154.0+2.760%
vs Weaker (14)81.774.5156.2+7.271%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
65-69
65
69
-4
88avg 113
A29/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
75-72
75
72
+3
103avg 113
H06/05
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
85-98
85
98
-13
115avg 113
A09/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
92-103
92
103
-11
113avg 113
A07/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
88-73
88
73
+15
126avg 113
H14/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
105avg 113
H21/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-74
90
74
+16
118avg 113
A28/10
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
76-59
76
59
+17
108avg 113
H04/11
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
72-66
72
66
+6
106avg 113
A11/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
72-65
72
65
+7
131avg 113
H18/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-8
14-17
10-24
28-20
22-17
22-13
16-24
15-18
28-23
22-27
17-20
18-28
24-25
24-22
20-34
24-22
20-22
22-10
22-18
24-23
17-22
23-25
20-17
24-26
28-16
21-22
12-19
29-17
22-5
21-28
23-10
10-16
13-13
19-18
20-20
20-15
14-20
21-12
27-16
10-17
156.8Avg total
79.9Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.075.7157.7+6.371%
Season at home (4)80.071.8151.8+8.275%
Season away (3)84.781.0165.7+3.767%
Last 10 (10)79.976.9156.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)78.870.8149.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.186.3163.4-9.320%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.877.0158.8+4.870%
vs Weaker (5)78.071.0149.0+7.060%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
VareseBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H21/10
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H28/10
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A04/11
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/11
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A18/11
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
76.8Avg total
41.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.935.776.6+5.280%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.134.577.5+8.693%-
Last 30 away (15)38.737.075.7+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.776.8+5.490%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.474.6+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.036.078.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.137.178.1+4.080%-
vs Weaker (14)40.634.374.9+6.479%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A29/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H06/05
Lega A
Cantu
#9
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A09/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A07/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H14/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A28/10
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H04/11
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A11/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H18/11
Lega A
77.5Avg total
41.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.377.6-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.337.578.8+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)35.441.176.5-5.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.577.5+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.276.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.040.976.9-4.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.639.380.9+2.350%-
vs Weaker (5)39.034.473.4+4.680%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.3
51.5%
51.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.4
31.1%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.710.6
67.5%
72.3%10.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.8
52.4%
51.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.4
32.3%
35.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.913.5
71.4%
72.3%13.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWLWLLWWW
Brindisi
WWWWLWLLWL
#7
League position
#5
-1.8
Net rating
+4.2
102.7
Offensive rating
104.3
104.5
Defensive rating
100.0
49.3%
Effective FG%
51.0%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.1%
3-point %
32.3%
57.8%
Assist %
58.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 104.3Defence104.5 · 100.0Shooting49.3% · 51.0%3-point %31.1% · 32.3%Ball care16.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds28.8% · 23.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
6
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
29/04/18Varese v Brindisi69-65
02/01/18Brindisi v Varese95-90 OT
12/02/17Brindisi v Varese80-58
23/10/16Varese v Brindisi91-81 OT
20/03/16Varese v Brindisi80-69
29/11/15Brindisi v Varese80-74
28/03/15Varese v Brindisi82-93
06/12/14Brindisi v Varese69-71
02/03/14Brindisi v Varese96-70
17/11/13Varese v Brindisi71-85
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/18HAlba Fehervar91-66
18/11/18ACremona82-79
14/11/18AFC Porto89-71
11/11/18HAvellino79-83
07/11/18HRilski Sportist86-59
04/11/18AReggiana68-74
30/10/18AAlba Fehervar77-85
28/10/18HTrieste78-66
24/10/18HFC Porto84-75
21/10/18HTrento93-85
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18HBrescia72-65
11/11/18ATorino72-66
04/11/18HCantu76-59
28/10/18APistoia90-74
21/10/18HSassari84-90
14/10/18HPesaro88-73
07/10/18AOlimpia Milano92-103
09/05/18ACantu85-98
06/05/18HReggiana75-72
29/04/18AVarese65-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game77.382.870.0
Allowed / game76.978.574.7
Point differential+0.4+4.2-4.7
Avg total154.1161.2144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brindisi
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game82.080.084.7
Allowed / game75.771.881.0
Point differential+6.3+8.2+3.7
Avg total157.7151.8165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano880100%93.579.8+13.8
2 Venezia87188%87.170.1+17.0
3 Brindisi75271%82.075.7+6.3
4 Avellino85362%85.881.2+4.5
5 Cremona85362%85.681.6+4.0
6 Varese74357%77.376.9+0.4
7 Virtus Bologna74357%82.986.3-3.4
8 Trieste84450%84.885.0-0.2
9 Sassari73443%85.984.3+1.6
10 Pesaro73443%82.086.7-4.7
11 Cantu83538%83.987.8-3.9
12 Brescia72529%78.179.4-1.3
13 Torino72529%79.682.6-3.0
14 Reggiana82625%81.287.8-6.5
15 Pistoia82625%81.594.5-13.0
16 Trento71614%77.491.1-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2418271685
Brindisi1223161667
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