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Olimpia Milano vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-67
17-12 20-16 14-21 21-18
Position#1
Record10-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#7
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game72.6
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Varese
03 Jan 2027
MIL v VAR
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
MIL74
VAR84
02 Feb 2025
MIL119
VAR92
03 Mar 2024
MIL94
VAR63
26 Dec 2022
MIL96
VAR84
26 Mar 2022
MIL95
VAR77
05 Apr 2021
MIL81
VAR83
10 Sep 2020
MIL91
VAR77
03 Nov 2019
MIL93
VAR69
23 Dec 2018
MIL72
VAR67
08 Oct 2017
MIL74
VAR73
16 Oct 2016
MIL79
VAR71
11 Oct 2015
MIL90
VAR62
15 Mar 2015
MIL79
VAR69
20 Oct 2013
MIL84
VAR72
23 Dec 2012
MIL77
VAR83
09 Oct 2011
MIL89
VAR75
29 Dec 2010
MIL84
VAR80
31 Jan 2010
MIL74
VAR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
93-90
93
90
+3
121avg 117
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
103avg 117
A23/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#3
W
76-75
76
75
+1
136avg 117
H25/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A29/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
L
86-94
86
94
-8
118avg 117
H06/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
189avg 117
A09/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
112avg 117
A13/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
no box
A16/12
Lega A
Bayern
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
103avg 117
H19/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
86-83
86
83
+3
114avg 117
A21/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
20-17
26-25
20-22
25-24
17-29
12-21
26-16
11-20
18-15
27-20
20-20
23-18
8-22
27-20
20-23
22-20
18-28
23-23
23-23
18-18
26-18
20-16
37-22
21-15
19-25
18-27
27-25
21-18
24-23
23-22
23-28
16-15
24-26
17-17
21-22
21-23
26-17
17-16
22-27
173.7Avg total
87.0Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.681.8177.4+13.8100%
Season at home (4)96.581.2177.8+15.2100%
Season away (6)95.082.2177.2+12.8100%
Last 10 (10)87.086.7173.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)91.487.0178.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.088.2172.2-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.284.3170.5+1.970%
vs Weaker (15)90.979.6170.5+11.380%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
108avg 115
H11/11
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
89-71
89
71
+18
no box
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
82-79
82
79
+3
112avg 115
A18/11
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
91-66
91
66
+25
no box
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
W
85-67
85
67
+18
182avg 115
H25/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
66-61
66
61
+5
160avg 115
A09/12
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
109-74
109
74
+35
no box
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#13
W
77-60
77
60
+17
110avg 115
H16/12
Lega A
Sassari
#1
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
22-12
21-18
20-12
19-22
24-20
21-20
15-21
21-14
16-22
30-22
22-13
25-10
14-28
22-18
21-23
15-11
22-16
26-24
28-15
24-12
18-23
27-16
16-16
13-26
17-7
14-10
22-18
28-20
26-23
30-18
25-13
22-14
17-15
21-19
17-12
24-27
15-23
24-27
27-10
156.1Avg total
85.4Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.972.6149.5+4.370%
Season at home (6)82.273.5155.7+8.783%
Season away (4)69.071.2140.2-2.250%
Last 10 (10)85.470.7156.1+14.790%
Last 5 (5)85.469.8155.2+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.087.0177.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.973.1149.1+2.864%
vs Weaker (15)84.373.5157.9+10.880%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +6.0+6.0
Olimpia MilanoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A23/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H25/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A29/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A16/12
Lega A
Bayern
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H19/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/12
Euroleague
82.2Avg total
40.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.782.2+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.842.184.8+0.754%-
Last 30 away (17)42.337.880.1+4.571%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.782.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.682.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.539.082.5+4.575%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.841.382.1-0.550%-
vs Weaker (15)43.939.483.3+4.567%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/11
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A18/11
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H25/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A09/12
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H16/12
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
76.7Avg total
40.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.475.7+4.980%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.234.376.6+7.994%-
Last 30 away (14)38.136.674.7+1.464%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.276.7+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.078.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.050.089.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.435.273.6+3.279%-
vs Weaker (15)42.134.676.7+7.587%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.1
50.6%
51.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.9
38.2%
35.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.817.8
78.1%
72.3%17.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.4
53.2%
51.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.4
31.8%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws14.09.7
69.3%
72.3%9.7
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLLWLW
Varese
WWWWWWWWLW
#1
League position
#7
+0.4
Net rating
+7.4
113.3
Offensive rating
106.5
112.9
Defensive rating
99.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.0%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.21
38.2%
3-point %
31.8%
60.4%
Assist %
59.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 106.5Defence112.9 · 99.1Shooting53.4% · 50.7%3-point %38.2% · 31.8%Ball care16.5% · 15.0%Off. rebounds30.0% · 29.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Olimpia Milano wins
1
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/18APanathinaikos86-83
19/12/18HBayern78-80
16/12/18ASassari107-106 OT
13/12/18AFenerbahce85-92
09/12/18ACantu101-74
06/12/18HGran Canaria86-94
29/11/18AZalgiris Kaunas78-83
25/11/18HCremona76-75
23/11/18ABarcelona80-90
21/11/18HBaskonia93-90
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/18ASassari90-87
16/12/18HTorino77-60
12/12/18HAEK Larnaca109-74
09/12/18AVenezia66-61
25/11/18HBrindisi85-67
21/11/18HAlba Fehervar91-66
18/11/18ACremona82-79
14/11/18AFC Porto89-71
11/11/18HAvellino79-83
07/11/18HRilski Sportist86-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.696.595.0
Allowed / game81.881.282.2
Point differential+13.8+15.2+12.8
Avg total177.4177.8177.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game76.982.269.0
Allowed / game72.673.571.2
Point differential+4.3+8.7-2.2
Avg total149.5155.7140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano10100100%95.681.8+13.8
2 Venezia108280%82.868.6+14.2
3 Varese107370%76.972.6+4.3
4 Cremona117464%89.384.4+4.9
5 Avellino117464%83.583.5-0.1
6 Brindisi116555%77.876.5+1.4
7 Trieste105550%86.683.1+3.5
8 Brescia115645%79.377.8+1.5
9 Virtus Bologna115645%82.085.4-3.4
10 Pesaro104640%85.089.7-4.7
11 Sassari114736%85.284.4+0.8
12 Torino103730%77.982.2-4.3
13 Reggiana103730%78.583.7-5.2
14 Cantu103730%80.888.4-7.6
15 Trento103730%76.585.0-8.5
16 Pistoia103730%79.690.7-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1720142172
Varese1216211867
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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