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Varese vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 77-60
22-14 17-15 21-19 17-12
Position#7
Record6-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game74.0
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Torino
Italy
Position#13
Record3-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game82.8
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Varese v Torino
16 Dec 2018
VAR77
TOR60
14 Jan 2018
VAR89
TOR92
07 Jan 2017
VAR79
TOR86
08 Nov 2015
VAR92
TOR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Alba Fehervar
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#14
L
68-74
68
74
-6
164avg 114
A04/11
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
108avg 114
H11/11
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
89-71
89
71
+18
no box
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
82-79
82
79
+3
112avg 114
A18/11
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
91-66
91
66
+25
no box
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
W
85-67
85
67
+18
182avg 114
H25/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
66-61
66
61
+5
160avg 114
A09/12
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
109-74
109
74
+35
no box
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
18-16
18-22
22-28
21-16
12-17
14-19
21-22
23-17
22-12
21-18
20-12
19-22
24-20
21-20
15-21
21-14
16-22
30-22
22-13
25-10
14-28
22-18
21-23
15-11
22-16
26-24
28-15
24-12
18-23
27-16
16-16
13-26
17-7
14-10
22-18
28-20
26-23
30-18
25-13
155.1Avg total
83.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.974.0150.9+2.967%
Season at home (5)83.276.2159.4+7.080%
Season away (4)69.071.2140.2-2.250%
Last 10 (10)83.271.9155.1+11.370%
Last 5 (5)86.669.4156.0+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)75.873.7149.5+2.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.574.5158.0+9.173%
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
L
104-105
104
105
-1
128avg 109
H31/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
95avg 109
H04/11
Lega A
Frankfurt
#16
L
75-85
75
85
-10
94avg 109
H06/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#5
L
66-72
66
72
-6
90avg 109
H11/11
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#22
L
83-86
83
86
-3
111avg 109
A14/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
A18/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
91avg 109
H21/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#12
L
76-83
76
83
-7
103avg 109
A25/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
120avg 109
H08/12
Lega A
Rytas
#11
L
96-101 OT
96
101
-5
no box
H11/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
24-29
27-26
29-17
17-16
19-27
21-14
14-36
21-24
15-25
19-23
20-13
13-13
18-19
20-20
15-20
21-20
19-25
20-20
23-21
15-26
27-18
16-17
21-21
20-14
17-16
8-27
27-25
22-28
13-22
23-17
18-16
23-15
20-27
22-27
21-15
22-29
14-18
21-22
29-17
168.1Avg total
80.8Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.982.8162.7-2.933%
Season at home (4)77.280.8158.0-3.550%
Season away (5)82.084.4166.4-2.420%
Last 10 (10)80.887.3168.1-6.510%
Last 5 (5)81.886.4168.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)81.287.0168.2-5.812%
vs Similar (10)81.886.5168.3-4.720%
vs Weaker (2)81.585.0166.5-3.50%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
VareseTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A04/11
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/11
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A18/11
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H25/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A09/12
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
74.8Avg total
39.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.275.0+4.577%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.534.777.1+7.893%-
Last 30 away (15)37.035.872.8+1.260%-
Last 10 (10)39.735.174.8+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.275.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)37.935.673.5+2.373%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.534.976.4+6.780%-
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H31/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H04/11
Lega A
Frankfurt
#16
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H06/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H11/11
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#22
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#2
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H21/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#12
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A25/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H08/12
Lega A
Rytas
#11
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H11/12
Eurocup
82.8Avg total
38.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.743.180.8-5.327%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.142.279.3-5.131%-
Last 30 away (14)38.444.182.5-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)38.444.482.8-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.681.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.642.879.4-6.218%-
vs Similar (10)39.043.582.5-4.540%-
vs Weaker (2)40.050.090.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.6
52.3%
51.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.8
31.0%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.510.7
69.0%
72.3%10.7
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.1
52.0%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.37.3
36.0%
35.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.614.5
74.0%
72.3%14.5
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWWWWLWLL
Torino
LWLLLLLLLL
#7
League position
#13
+4.1
Net rating
-9.6
105.2
Offensive rating
104.9
101.0
Defensive rating
114.5
49.8%
Effective FG%
52.6%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.0%
3-point %
36.0%
59.9%
Assist %
53.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 104.9Defence101.0 · 114.5Shooting49.8% · 52.6%3-point %31.0% · 36.0%Ball care15.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.2% · 24.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Varese   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
4
Torino wins
DateGameScore
09/05/18Torino v Varese92-83
14/01/18Varese v Torino89-92
07/05/17Torino v Varese89-76
07/01/17Varese v Torino79-86
28/02/16Torino v Varese72-84
08/11/15Varese v Torino92-78
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/18HAEK Larnaca109-74
09/12/18AVenezia66-61
25/11/18HBrindisi85-67
21/11/18HAlba Fehervar91-66
18/11/18ACremona82-79
14/11/18AFC Porto89-71
11/11/18HAvellino79-83
07/11/18HRilski Sportist86-59
04/11/18AReggiana68-74
30/10/18AAlba Fehervar77-85
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/18HRytas96-101 OT
08/12/18HTrento86-84
25/11/18ABrescia76-83
21/11/18HUnics Kazan72-82
18/11/18AVirtus Bologna79-82
14/11/18AMornar Bar83-86
11/11/18HBrindisi66-72
06/11/18HFrankfurt75-85
04/11/18HOlimpia Milano71-93
31/10/18HUnicaja104-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game76.983.269.0
Allowed / game74.076.271.2
Point differential+2.9+7.0-2.2
Avg total150.9159.4140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Torino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game79.977.282.0
Allowed / game82.880.884.4
Point differential-2.9-3.5-2.4
Avg total162.7158.0166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano10100100%95.681.8+13.8
2 Venezia97278%84.269.7+14.6
3 Cremona96367%85.881.2+4.6
4 Avellino96367%85.381.2+4.1
5 Varese96367%76.974.0+2.9
6 Brindisi95456%78.776.7+2.0
7 Trieste94544%84.085.2-1.2
8 Pesaro94544%82.786.1-3.4
9 Virtus Bologna94544%82.286.6-4.3
10 Sassari104640%85.984.2+1.7
11 Brescia104640%78.176.8+1.3
12 Torino93633%79.982.8-2.9
13 Pistoia93633%80.691.8-11.2
14 Reggiana103730%78.583.7-5.2
15 Cantu103730%80.888.4-7.6
16 Trento103730%76.585.0-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2217211777
Torino1415191260
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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