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Dubrava vs Samobor Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#11
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game83.4
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 22· Sportska dvorana Dubrava
Other2026-27
Meetings · Dubrava v Samobor
12 Mar 2027
DUBR v SAMO
upcoming
02 May 2026
DUBR66
SAMO76
18 Jan 2026
DUBR91
SAMO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubrava win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubravaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A13/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H16/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A19/05
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H26/09
Premijer liga
CIU
#12
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H29/09
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A02/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
62-86
62
86
-24
H10/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H24/10
Premijer liga
Syntainics MBC
#2
L
79-101
79
101
-22
A28/10
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
12-30
18-23
17-18
21-22
18-22
24-29
23-11
26-23
23-23
17-24
21-22
16-25
20-15
17-18
19-23
18-26
28-20
13-18
28-18
15-21
23-19
12-17
34-32
15-19
17-18
16-21
14-28
16-23
18-19
7-24
21-19
26-19
10-24
21-24
23-17
15-23
11-29
28-21
25-28
165.2Avg total
77.2Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.085.0157.0-13.00%
Season at home (3)71.383.7155.0-12.30%
Season away (2)73.087.0160.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)77.288.0165.2-10.820%
Last 5 (5)73.489.0162.4-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.186.2166.3-6.136%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.183.5166.6-0.531%
vs Weaker (3)84.374.0158.3+10.3100%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
110-91
110
91
+19
H09/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H13/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A16/05
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#18
L
83-103
83
103
-20
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#18
L
65-98
65
98
-33
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#10
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
H23/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
25-21
31-23
28-22
19-21
18-19
15-22
29-24
21-21
17-23
6-20
25-13
25-28
24-24
17-27
17-24
14-24
20-13
15-26
10-18
16-18
19-20
11-29
19-31
17-21
22-16
16-26
29-21
21-23
11-22
21-13
11-15
16-21
14-14
21-13
21-31
27-25
23-16
16-21
12-27
164.4Avg total
77.2Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.883.4156.2-10.60%
Season at home (3)77.785.7163.3-8.00%
Season away (2)65.580.0145.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)77.287.2164.4-10.010%
Last 5 (5)74.086.8160.8-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.689.5166.1-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.279.0161.2+3.256%
vs Weaker (10)89.282.2171.4+7.070%
This opponent (Dubrava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
DubravaSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubravaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A13/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A19/05
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H26/09
Premijer liga
CIU
#12
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H29/09
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A02/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H24/10
Premijer liga
Syntainics MBC
#2
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A28/10
ENBL
81.9Avg total
37.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.779.3-2.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.040.480.4-0.436%-
Last 30 away (16)37.340.978.2-3.619%-
Last 10 (10)37.444.581.9-7.110%-
Last 5 (5)33.242.876.0-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.142.479.5-5.214%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.040.281.2+0.838%-
vs Weaker (3)34.735.069.7-0.333%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A16/05
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#18
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#18
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H23/10
Premijer liga
81.0Avg total
39.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.983.2-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.342.687.9+2.659%-
Last 30 away (13)36.240.877.1-4.615%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.581.0-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.276.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.743.784.5-3.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.840.280.0-0.433%-
vs Weaker (10)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
This opponent (Dubrava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubravatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrava: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.816.0
50.3%
54.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.2
34.1%
34.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.514.3
77.3%
71.8%14.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.5
48.4%
54.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.2
31.5%
34.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.315.4
72.3%
71.8%15.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubrava
LLLLLWLLWL
Samobor
LLLLLLLLLW
#12
League position
#11
-12.3
Net rating
-11.3
91.6
Offensive rating
87.1
103.9
Defensive rating
98.4
50.7%
Effective FG%
48.0%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.1%
3-point %
31.5%
63.7%
Assist %
65.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence91.6 · 87.1Defence103.9 · 98.4Shooting50.7% · 48.0%3-point %34.1% · 31.5%Ball care16.6% · 18.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Dubrava   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dubrava wins
2
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
02/05/26Dubrava v Samobor66-76
18/01/26Dubrava v Samobor91-77
02/11/25Samobor v Dubrava103-63
Dubravalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ASyntainics MBC79-101
24/10/26HDubrovnik80-84
17/10/26ADinamo Zagreb62-85
10/10/26HSplit62-86
02/10/26ACedevita Junior84-89
29/09/26HCIU87-82
26/09/26HSkrljevo72-81
19/05/26ACibona87-92
16/05/26HCibona86-84
13/05/26ACibona73-96
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26HSkrljevo78-89
17/10/26AZabok72-79
09/10/26HCibona64-73
04/10/26HAlkar91-95 OT
30/09/26ABC Prievidza65-98
27/09/26AZadar59-81
23/09/26HBC Prievidza83-103
16/05/26ADubrovnik69-77
13/05/26HDubrovnik81-86
09/05/26HDinamo Zagreb110-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubrava
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.071.373.0
Allowed / game85.083.787.0
Point differential-13.0-12.3-14.0
Avg total157.0155.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samobor
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.877.765.5
Allowed / game83.485.780.0
Point differential-10.6-8.0-14.5
Avg total156.2163.3145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar660100%91.864.8+27.0
2 Cibona550100%90.276.4+13.8
3 Split54180%82.072.0+10.0
4 Dinamo Zagreb64267%76.781.2-4.5
5 Kvarner53260%89.479.4+10.0
6 Skrljevo53260%83.285.2-2.0
7 Cedevita Junior53260%78.288.0-9.8
8 Dubrovnik62433%79.888.3-8.5
9 Zabok51420%78.286.8-8.6
10 Alkar61517%79.084.5-5.5
11 Samobor5050%72.883.4-10.6
12 Dubrava5050%72.085.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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