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Samobor vs Dubrovnik Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 81-86
19-21 18-19 15-22 29-24
Position#4
Record18-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#5
Record17-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game81.3
CroatiaPremijer ligaPremijer liga - Quarter-finals· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samobor v Dubrovnik
20 Nov 2026
SAMO v DUBR
upcoming
13 May 2026
SAMO81
DUBR86
18 Mar 2026
SAMO107
DUBR76
03 Jan 2026
SAMO89
DUBR84
11 Mar 2023
SAMO91
DUBR92
12 Feb 2022
SAMO72
DUBR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrovnik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
W
107-76
107
76
+31
113avg 81
H18/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
96avg 81
H23/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
75avg 81
A29/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 81
H03/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
69avg 81
A12/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 81
A19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
92-81
92
81
+11
89avg 81
H24/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
71avg 81
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
76-66
76
66
+10
80avg 81
A02/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
110-91
110
91
+19
103avg 81
H09/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
29-22
20-18
24-15
19-21
28-16
29-18
26-21
13-25
24-20
27-27
25-10
26-26
18-16
19-23
20-24
16-27
24-21
23-15
18-31
16-23
21-26
19-14
19-25
19-18
19-22
28-18
26-23
28-20
14-24
23-20
19-24
23-21
15-17
21-13
17-15
26-25
25-21
31-23
28-22
173.0Avg total
89.9Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)86.785.1171.8+1.655%
Season at home (17)91.886.6178.4+5.165%
Season away (16)81.483.5164.9-2.144%
Last 10 (10)89.983.1173.0+6.860%
Last 5 (5)87.482.8170.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.495.4176.8-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)88.776.0164.7+12.786%
vs Weaker (15)89.584.4173.9+5.173%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Samobor
#4
L
76-107
76
107
-31
69avg 75
A18/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
89-83
89
83
+6
85avg 75
H22/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
62-79
62
79
-17
55avg 75
A28/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
73-95
73
95
-22
68avg 75
H03/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
62avg 75
A10/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
71avg 75
H15/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
75-64
75
64
+11
69avg 75
A19/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 75
H25/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
97-82
97
82
+15
100avg 75
A03/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
87-70
87
70
+17
87avg 75
H09/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-34
22-29
18-20
15-24
24-25
21-18
23-13
21-27
18-25
15-18
17-22
12-14
16-20
25-25
19-17
13-33
18-25
18-26
16-28
18-21
24-21
20-24
19-23
17-15
21-19
19-18
16-11
19-16
16-14
19-18
25-16
16-23
21-19
21-19
27-19
28-25
22-15
21-10
22-21
22-24
161.9Avg total
78.5Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.281.3160.5-2.152%
Season at home (17)81.978.0159.9+3.965%
Season away (16)76.384.8161.1-8.538%
Last 10 (10)78.583.4161.9-4.950%
Last 5 (5)83.074.0157.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.282.4154.6-10.125%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.382.4164.7-0.156%
vs Weaker (6)81.775.5157.2+6.283%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -4.1-4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -4.1-4.1
SamoborDubrovnik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H18/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H23/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A29/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A12/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A02/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/05
Premijer liga
86.9Avg total
43.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.786.2+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.743.389.0+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)41.042.183.1-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)43.743.286.9+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.484.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.247.589.8-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.139.782.9+3.457%-
vs Weaker (15)44.341.685.9+2.753%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#4
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A18/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H22/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A28/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A10/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H15/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A19/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H25/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A03/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H09/05
Premijer liga
82.4Avg total
40.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.181.5+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.337.981.2+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)39.542.381.8-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.282.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.476.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.642.180.8-3.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.840.682.4+1.262%-
vs Weaker (6)43.836.280.0+7.783%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.5
56.3%
53.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.7
37.9%
34.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.814.8
78.7%
74.3%14.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.9
55.0%
53.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.5
36.0%
34.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
74.3%13.2
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWLWLLLWWW
Dubrovnik
WWWWLLLLWL
#4
League position
#5
+8.6
Net rating
-6.0
101.6
Offensive rating
95.6
93.0
Defensive rating
101.6
56.6%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.9%
3-point %
36.0%
63.0%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 95.6Defence93.0 · 101.6Shooting56.6% · 54.6%3-point %37.9% · 36.0%Ball care15.3% · 17.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Samobor   ■ Dubrovnik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Samobor wins
5
Dubrovnik wins
DateGameScore
18/03/26Samobor v Dubrovnik107-76
03/01/26Samobor v Dubrovnik89-84
10/10/25Dubrovnik v Samobor83-80
11/03/23Samobor v Dubrovnik91-92
11/12/22Dubrovnik v Samobor103-72
12/02/22Samobor v Dubrovnik72-78
13/11/21Dubrovnik v Samobor80-66
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26HDinamo Zagreb110-91
02/05/26ADubrava76-66
29/04/26HZadar84-88
24/04/26HKvarner92-81
19/04/26ACedevita Junior75-88
12/04/26ASplit81-94
03/04/26HCibona83-89
29/03/26AZabok89-82
23/03/26HGKK Sibenka102-76
18/03/26HDubrovnik107-76
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26HAlkar87-70
03/05/26ADinamo Zagreb97-82
25/04/26HDubrava76-71
19/04/26AKvarner75-64
15/04/26HCedevita Junior80-83
10/04/26AZadar70-100
03/04/26HSplit73-95
28/03/26ACibona62-79
22/03/26HZabok89-83
18/03/26ASamobor76-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWLWLW65%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %55%65%44%
Points / game86.791.881.4
Allowed / game85.186.683.5
Point differential+1.6+5.1-2.1
Avg total171.8178.4164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeWLLWW65%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %52%65%38%
Points / game79.281.976.3
Allowed / game81.378.084.8
Point differential-2.1+3.9-8.5
Avg total160.5159.9161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3329488%87.071.1+15.9
2 Split3325876%90.680.4+10.3
3 Cibona3325876%83.574.8+8.7
4 Samobor33181555%86.785.1+1.6
5 Dubrovnik33171652%79.281.3-2.1
6 Zabok33151845%79.480.3-0.9
7 Dubrava33151845%81.883.5-1.7
8 Cedevita Junior33122136%79.582.6-3.1
9 Kvarner33122136%78.582.8-4.2
10 Alkar33122136%70.978.8-7.9
11 Dinamo Zagreb33102330%83.288.7-5.5
12 GKK Sibenka3382524%76.687.6-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor1918152981
Dubrovnik2119222486
← all games of the day
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