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Dubrovnik vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 64-83
13-16 8-21 20-25 23-21
Position#8
Record9-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record16-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game72.2
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 20· Sportska dvorana Gospino polje
Other2023-24
Meetings · Dubrovnik v Zadar
30 Oct 2026
DUBR71
ZAD105
25 May 2026
DUBR68
ZAD81
08 Feb 2026
DUBR67
ZAD79
22 Jan 2025
DUBR66
ZAD69
04 Feb 2024
DUBR64
ZAD83
06 Mar 2012
DUBR56
ZAD103
03 May 2009
DUBR81
ZAD101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubrovnik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
56-84
56
84
-28
44avg 67
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Skrljevo
#12
W
86-72
86
72
+14
79avg 67
A02/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
70avg 67
A09/12
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
108-87
108
87
+21
101avg 67
H17/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
62avg 67
A20/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 67
H07/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
88-77
88
77
+11
86avg 67
A13/01
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
66-84
66
84
-18
54avg 67
A21/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
65avg 67
H28/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
55-83
55
83
-28
41avg 67
A31/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
18-23
6-23
17-19
31-11
16-20
21-17
18-24
25-20
13-30
29-15
12-27
21-15
42-22
26-19
19-31
22-27
21-21
19-22
15-21
21-20
22-21
15-21
15-17
19-12
32-24
17-18
20-23
18-18
12-20
13-26
23-20
10-21
12-13
23-20
33-18
13-19
8-23
11-24
23-17
158.7Avg total
76.6Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.779.3156.9-1.647%
Season at home (9)79.377.1156.4+2.256%
Season away (10)76.281.2157.4-5.040%
Last 10 (10)76.682.1158.7-5.540%
Last 5 (5)72.079.0151.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.285.8156.0-15.60%
vs Similar (8)75.073.5148.5+1.575%
vs Weaker (12)82.166.8148.8+15.383%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
W
84-68
84
68
+16
83avg 79
H24/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
57-67
57
67
-10
49avg 79
H30/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
101-97
101
97
+4
104avg 79
A03/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 79
H09/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
L
78-86
78
86
-8
65avg 79
A13/01
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
79-58
79
58
+21
80avg 79
A15/01
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
70-53
70
53
+17
65avg 79
H19/01
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
105-64
105
64
+41
104avg 79
H21/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
65-67
65
67
-2
61avg 79
A26/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
87avg 79
A29/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
27-21
16-16
21-18
15-14
16-21
14-10
12-22
25-24
25-26
27-24
24-23
18-21
21-12
24-19
16-21
21-25
21-19
14-18
22-24
21-24
20-14
22-0
16-20
23-12
11-16
19-13
17-12
29-12
29-16
24-14
23-22
19-17
20-23
22-13
4-14
11-20
29-16
26-22
22-13
151.0Avg total
80.6Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)89.272.2161.4+16.989%
Season at home (9)92.270.8163.0+21.489%
Season away (9)86.173.7159.8+12.489%
Last 10 (10)80.670.4151.0+10.270%
Last 5 (5)81.462.6144.0+18.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.772.0143.7-0.333%
vs Similar (4)83.284.2167.5-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.571.8157.3+13.682%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
DubrovnikZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Skrljevo
#12
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A02/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A09/12
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
63-37
63
37
+26
H17/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A20/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H07/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A13/01
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A21/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H28/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A31/01
Premijer liga
79.0Avg total
39.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.876.7-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.037.577.5+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)36.339.876.1-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.979.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.438.271.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.645.681.1-10.022%-
vs Similar (8)34.838.573.2-3.838%-
vs Weaker (12)42.233.675.8+8.667%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H30/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A03/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H09/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A13/01
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A15/01
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H19/01
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H21/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A29/01
ABA League
78.7Avg total
42.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.537.479.9+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.534.978.4+8.675%-
Last 30 away (14)41.440.381.6+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)42.136.678.7+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.434.076.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.338.078.3+2.333%-
vs Similar (4)40.537.878.2+2.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.237.580.6+5.759%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.1
51.4%
53.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.5
30.0%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
73.4%13.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.620.2
60.1%
53.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.2
33.6%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.512.0
64.9%
73.4%12.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubrovnik
LWLWLLWLWL
Zadar
WLWWWLWWLW
#8
League position
#1
-8.7
Net rating
+14.2
104.1
Offensive rating
109.3
112.8
Defensive rating
95.1
48.6%
Effective FG%
55.7%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.0%
3-point %
33.6%
60.5%
Assist %
66.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 109.3Defence112.8 · 95.1Shooting48.6% · 55.7%3-point %30.0% · 33.6%Ball care16.4% · 18.2%Off. rebounds29.5% · 28.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Dubrovnik   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dubrovnik wins
6
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
29/11/23Zadar v Dubrovnik84-56
19/11/23Zadar v Dubrovnik98-59
06/03/12Dubrovnik v Zadar56-103
02/12/11Zadar v Dubrovnik101-64
06/05/09Zadar v Dubrovnik128-74
03/05/09Dubrovnik v Zadar81-101
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24ACibona55-83
28/01/24HDubrava78-72
21/01/24ADinamo Zagreb66-84
13/01/24AGKK Sibenka88-77
07/01/24HCedevita Junior73-79
20/12/23ASplit77-91
17/12/23HBosco108-87
09/12/23AZabok79-92
02/12/23ASkrljevo86-72
29/11/23AZadar56-84
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/24ACibona88-71
26/01/24ASplit65-67
21/01/24HBosco105-64
19/01/24HKK Krka Novo mesto70-53
15/01/24AZabok79-58
13/01/24AMornar Bar78-86
09/01/24HStudentski Centar79-73
03/01/24ACedevita Junior101-97
30/12/23HBuducnost57-67
24/12/23HPartizan84-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%56%40%
Points / game77.779.376.2
Allowed / game79.377.181.2
Point differential-1.6+2.2-5.0
Avg total156.9156.4157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%22%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWWWWL89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %89%89%89%
Points / game89.292.286.1
Allowed / game72.270.873.7
Point differential+16.9+21.4+12.4
Avg total161.4163.0159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%78%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Split2018290%86.670.8+15.8
2 Zadar1816289%89.272.2+16.9
3 Cibona2016480%80.274.2+6.0
4 Cedevita Junior1811761%84.881.4+3.4
5 Dinamo Zagreb2012860%84.076.5+7.5
6 Dubrovnik1991047%77.779.3-1.6
7 Zabok2091145%83.082.9+0.1
8 GKK Sibenka1881044%79.881.8-2.0
9 Dubrava1961332%80.584.5-4.0
10 Alkar1841422%75.785.6-9.8
11 Skrljevo1941521%81.592.5-11.0
12 Bosco191185%73.595.9-22.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dubrovnik138202364
Zadar1621252183
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