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Dubrovnik vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 68-81
15-25 22-19 18-18 13-19
Position#5
Record19-17
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record32-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game70.7
CroatiaPremijer ligaPremijer liga - Semi-finals· Sportska dvorana Gospino polje
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dubrovnik v Zadar
30 Oct 2026
DUBR71
ZAD105
25 May 2026
DUBR68
ZAD81
08 Feb 2026
DUBR67
ZAD79
22 Jan 2025
DUBR66
ZAD69
04 Feb 2024
DUBR64
ZAD83
06 Mar 2012
DUBR56
ZAD103
03 May 2009
DUBR81
ZAD101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubrovnik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
73-95
73
95
-22
68avg 73
H03/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
62avg 73
A10/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
71avg 73
H15/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
75-64
75
64
+11
69avg 73
A19/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 73
H25/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
97-82
97
82
+15
100avg 73
A03/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
87-70
87
70
+17
87avg 73
H09/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 73
A13/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
77-69
77
69
+8
81avg 73
H16/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
57-83
57
83
-26
42avg 73
A22/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
25-25
19-17
13-33
18-25
18-26
16-28
18-21
24-21
20-24
19-23
17-15
21-19
19-18
16-11
19-16
16-14
19-18
25-16
16-23
21-19
21-19
27-19
28-25
22-15
21-10
22-21
22-24
21-19
19-18
22-15
24-29
21-21
23-17
20-6
13-25
13-17
12-20
25-23
7-23
157.6Avg total
77.8Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)78.781.0159.7-2.353%
Season at home (18)81.677.5159.1+4.167%
Season away (18)75.884.5160.3-8.739%
Last 10 (10)77.879.8157.6-2.060%
Last 5 (5)80.877.0157.8+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.584.9154.4-15.412%
vs Similar (17)81.581.6163.1-0.159%
vs Weaker (5)83.676.6160.2+7.080%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
73avg 79
H19/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
70-75
70
75
-5
68avg 79
A23/04
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
L
59-73
59
73
-14
54avg 79
A27/04
ABA League
Samobor
#4
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 79
A29/04
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
68-86
68
86
-18
62avg 79
A30/04
ABA League
Split
#2
W
90-67
90
67
+23
91avg 79
H03/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
113-71
113
71
+42
119avg 79
H10/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
90-70
90
70
+20
87avg 79
H13/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
96-72
96
72
+24
95avg 79
A16/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
83-57
83
57
+26
80avg 79
H22/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
20-16
14-18
17-18
18-17
10-21
20-22
22-15
5-26
20-15
21-19
13-13
20-28
24-14
20-23
24-19
14-22
18-15
25-27
11-22
16-17
27-15
15-23
32-12
25-23
37-13
21-17
30-18
21-5
16-27
24-22
29-16
20-13
25-26
28-24
23-9
17-13
20-12
23-25
23-7
156.8Avg total
83.6Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)87.270.7158.0+16.589%
Season at home (19)89.867.6157.4+22.2100%
Season away (17)84.474.2158.6+10.276%
Last 10 (10)83.673.2156.8+10.470%
Last 5 (5)94.467.4161.8+27.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)68.470.7139.1-2.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.870.3157.0+16.590%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +7.5+7.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +7.5+7.5
DubrovnikZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A10/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H15/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A19/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H25/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A03/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H09/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A22/05
Premijer liga
77.5Avg total
39.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.481.2+0.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.338.782.0+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)38.342.180.3-3.847%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.577.5+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.073.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.443.479.8-7.025%-
vs Similar (17)41.639.981.5+1.871%-
vs Weaker (5)45.037.282.2+7.880%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H19/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A23/04
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A27/04
ABA League
Samobor
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/04
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A30/04
ABA League
Split
#2
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H10/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H13/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A16/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H22/05
Premijer liga
76.4Avg total
40.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.836.076.8+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.536.180.5+8.480%-
Last 30 away (15)37.135.973.0+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.376.4+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.832.877.6+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)33.736.870.4-3.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.835.779.5+8.186%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.7
54.3%
53.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.7
34.5%
34.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
74.3%15.3
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.718.1
57.1%
53.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.4
34.1%
34.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.816.1
77.4%
74.3%16.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubrovnik
LWWWWWWLLL
Zadar
WWWWWLWLLW
#5
League position
#1
-2.2
Net rating
+13.9
94.3
Offensive rating
100.2
96.5
Defensive rating
86.3
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.5%
3-point %
34.1%
65.0%
Assist %
69.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 100.2Defence96.5 · 86.3Shooting53.3% · 54.2%3-point %34.5% · 34.1%Ball care17.5% · 14.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Dubrovnik   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dubrovnik wins
10
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
22/05/26Zadar v Dubrovnik83-57
10/04/26Zadar v Dubrovnik100-70
08/02/26Dubrovnik v Zadar67-79
23/11/25Zadar v Dubrovnik83-64
09/05/25Zadar v Dubrovnik91-61
22/01/25Dubrovnik v Zadar66-69
04/11/24Zadar v Dubrovnik90-79
02/04/24Zadar v Dubrovnik88-70
04/02/24Dubrovnik v Zadar64-83
29/11/23Zadar v Dubrovnik84-56
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/26AZadar57-83
16/05/26HSamobor77-69
13/05/26ASamobor86-81
09/05/26HAlkar87-70
03/05/26ADinamo Zagreb97-82
25/04/26HDubrava76-71
19/04/26AKvarner75-64
15/04/26HCedevita Junior80-83
10/04/26AZadar70-100
03/04/26HSplit73-95
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/26HDubrovnik83-57
16/05/26AKvarner96-72
13/05/26HKvarner90-70
10/05/26HGKK Sibenka113-71
03/05/26HSplit90-67
30/04/26ASpartak Subotica68-86
29/04/26ASamobor88-84
27/04/26AStudentski Centar59-73
23/04/26ACibona70-75
19/04/26HZabok79-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL53%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWWWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %53%67%39%
Points / game78.781.675.8
Allowed / game81.077.584.5
Point differential-2.3+4.1-8.7
Avg total159.7159.1160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%28%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %89%100%76%
Points / game87.289.884.4
Allowed / game70.767.674.2
Point differential+16.5+22.2+10.2
Avg total158.0157.4158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%95%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3632489%87.270.7+16.5
2 Split3728976%90.280.7+9.5
3 Cibona38281074%83.975.7+8.2
4 Dubrovnik36191753%78.781.0-2.3
5 Samobor35181751%86.184.9+1.1
6 Dubrava36162044%81.884.1-2.3
7 Zabok35152043%79.881.0-1.2
8 Cedevita Junior33122136%79.582.6-3.1
9 Alkar33122136%70.978.8-7.9
10 Dinamo Zagreb35122334%84.187.7-3.6
11 Kvarner35122334%78.183.4-5.3
12 GKK Sibenka3382524%76.687.6-11.0
13 Kastela2020%71.599.0-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dubrovnik1522181368
Zadar2519181981
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