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Mornar Bar vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-78
25-21 19-21 18-14 24-22
Position#13
Record1-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#6
Record8-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 16· Topolica Sport Hall
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Zadar
23 Dec 2024
MBA55
ZAD81
13 Jan 2024
MBA86
ZAD78
09 Oct 2022
MBA100
ZAD91
27 Mar 2022
MBA86
ZAD84
04 Mar 2021
MBA77
ZAD71
13 Jan 2019
MBA89
ZAD81
27 Oct 2017
MBA80
ZAD70
13 Nov 2016
MBA104
ZAD110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#10
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 64
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
58avg 64
A20/11
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
68-103
68
103
-35
52avg 64
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#8
L
76-93
76
93
-17
66avg 64
H26/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
48avg 64
A02/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
62avg 64
H09/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 64
A16/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 64
H23/12
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
76-98
76
98
-22
65avg 64
H30/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
92avg 64
A05/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
20-23
19-28
22-24
17-29
22-23
21-26
15-17
7-28
22-24
19-33
20-18
21-18
22-23
14-23
19-29
13-22
17-25
13-18
21-19
16-18
20-22
23-22
15-24
16-28
14-16
21-16
20-19
19-19
22-22
11-20
23-16
18-22
14-22
24-23
20-31
20-23
26-25
22-20
18-18
167.0Avg total
75.5Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.990.2164.1-16.37%
Season at home (7)73.389.0162.3-15.714%
Season away (8)74.591.2165.8-16.80%
Last 10 (10)75.591.5167.0-16.00%
Last 5 (5)79.288.6167.8-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)74.790.0164.6-15.311%
vs Similar (1)86.083.0169.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
79-73
79
73
+6
69avg 79
A03/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
79-80
79
80
-1
75avg 79
H08/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 79
H10/12
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
92-77
92
77
+15
88avg 79
A15/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
85-68
85
68
+17
81avg 79
H17/12
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
84-70
84
70
+14
86avg 79
A20/12
Premijer liga
Partizan
#3
W
84-68
84
68
+16
83avg 79
H24/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
57-67
57
67
-10
49avg 79
H30/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
101-97
101
97
+4
104avg 79
A03/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 79
H09/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
18-14
19-22
24-20
16-19
21-21
29-21
13-19
18-22
18-21
17-25
26-15
23-26
21-22
26-14
22-15
27-20
27-18
11-14
20-16
18-17
17-21
21-11
28-21
20-13
27-21
16-16
21-18
15-14
16-21
14-10
12-22
25-24
25-26
27-24
24-23
18-21
21-12
24-19
16-21
157.5Avg total
81.9Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.378.1159.5+3.253%
Season at home (7)79.470.0149.4+9.457%
Season away (8)83.085.2168.2-2.250%
Last 10 (10)81.975.6157.5+6.370%
Last 5 (5)81.075.0156.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.079.8151.8-7.825%
vs Similar (5)81.685.0166.6-3.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.072.9161.9+16.190%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
Mornar BarZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A20/11
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A02/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H09/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/12
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H30/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A05/01
ABA League
81.5Avg total
36.1Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.444.682.0-7.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.944.582.4-6.625%-
Last 30 away (14)36.944.881.6-7.929%-
Last 10 (10)36.145.481.5-9.310%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.480.4-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)37.844.081.8-6.329%-
vs Similar (1)42.050.092.0-8.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A03/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H08/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H10/12
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A15/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H17/12
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A20/12
Premijer liga
Partizan
#3
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H30/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A03/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H09/01
ABA League
79.9Avg total
40.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.680.3+5.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.734.978.6+8.875%-
Last 30 away (14)41.740.682.4+1.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.079.9+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.078.4+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.840.078.8-1.225%-
vs Similar (5)40.238.478.6+1.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.237.181.3+7.160%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.2
49.7%
54.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.9
30.0%
34.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.712.4
74.3%
73.8%12.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.5
59.7%
54.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.8
28.1%
34.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.715.3
67.4%
73.8%15.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLLLLLLLL
Zadar
WWLWWWWLLW
#13
League position
#6
-21.1
Net rating
+8.9
97.2
Offensive rating
108.0
118.3
Defensive rating
99.1
47.8%
Effective FG%
52.0%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.0%
3-point %
28.1%
58.7%
Assist %
66.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 108.0Defence118.3 · 99.1Shooting47.8% · 52.0%3-point %30.0% · 28.1%Ball care16.4% · 17.9%Off. rebounds23.9% · 32.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Mornar Bar wins
2
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
13/10/23Zadar v Mornar Bar92-57
15/01/23Zadar v Mornar Bar97-77
09/10/22Mornar Bar v Zadar100-91
27/03/22Mornar Bar v Zadar86-84
12/12/21Zadar v Mornar Bar71-76
04/03/21Mornar Bar v Zadar77-71
09/10/20Zadar v Mornar Bar66-82
13/01/19Mornar Bar v Zadar89-81
21/10/18Zadar v Mornar Bar83-93
22/01/18Zadar v Mornar Bar77-93
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24ABuducnost100-103 OT
30/12/23HPartizan76-98
23/12/23HFMP Beograd75-77
16/12/23ABorac Mozzart71-79
09/12/23HCedevita Olimpija74-86
02/12/23AIgokea64-84
26/11/23HSplit76-93
22/11/23ABahcesehir Kol.68-103
20/11/23ACrvena zvezda75-95
15/11/23HNymburk76-97
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24HStudentski Centar79-73
03/01/24ACedevita Junior101-97
30/12/23HBuducnost57-67
24/12/23HPartizan84-68
20/12/23AAlkar84-70
17/12/23HGKK Sibenka85-68
15/12/23AFMP Beograd92-77
10/12/23HCibona79-83
08/12/23HBorac Mozzart79-80
03/12/23ACedevita Olimpija79-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %7%14%0%
Points / game73.973.374.5
Allowed / game90.289.091.2
Point differential-16.3-15.7-16.8
Avg total164.1162.3165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Zadar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeLLWLW57%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game81.379.483.0
Allowed / game78.170.085.2
Point differential+3.2+9.4-2.2
Avg total159.5149.4168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1513287%88.573.7+14.8
2 Partizan1511473%93.775.1+18.5
3 Cedevita Olimpija1611569%86.084.9+1.1
4 Buducnost1510567%83.678.1+5.5
5 Igokea159660%81.280.5+0.7
6 Mega Basket158753%85.981.2+4.7
7 Zadar158753%81.378.1+3.2
8 Studentski Centar157847%85.785.9-0.2
9 Borac Mozzart157847%79.383.7-4.4
10 Split167944%76.380.6-4.2
11 Cibona156940%79.584.7-5.3
12 FMP Beograd1551033%79.386.8-7.5
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1531220%75.786.2-10.5
14 Mornar Bar151147%73.990.2-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2519182486
Zadar2121142278
← all games of the day
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