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Duke vs Boston College Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-49
42-27 25-22
Position#8
Record20-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game64.3
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Boston College
USA
Position#308
Record9-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game68.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Duke v Boston College
03 Feb 2026
DUKE67
BOST49
10 Feb 2024
DUKE80
BOST65
03 Dec 2022
DUKE75
BOST59
09 Mar 2021
DUKE86
BOST51
06 Jan 2021
DUKE83
BOST82
31 Dec 2019
DUKE88
BOST49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston College winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#63
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A03/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A07/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H10/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A15/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
80-50
80
50
+30
A17/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H24/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
83-52
83
52
+31
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-36
35-46
39-43
46-36
42-42
49-45
38-47
46-26
41-35
41-40
37-30
34-26
35-19
45-31
42-31
48-38
38-28
45-24
40-31
32-27
150.0Avg total
81.9Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.064.3149.2+20.795%
Season at home (13)86.664.3150.9+22.392%
Season away (8)82.264.2146.5+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.968.1150.0+13.890%
Last 5 (5)79.257.0136.2+22.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)67.066.0133.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)84.865.5150.2+19.393%
This opponent (Boston College) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CollegeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H23/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H28/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A03/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H07/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A10/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
50-74
50
74
-24
A14/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
81-73 OT
81
73
+8
H17/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-33
47-28
30-29
42-35
24-27
29-38
32-40
39-39
34-30
28-45
27-37
23-37
28-33
36-31
28-22
37-40
35-24
29-44
32-27
34-46
135.0Avg total
65.6Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)68.168.4136.5-0.343%
Season at home (15)69.866.7136.5+3.153%
Season away (6)63.872.7136.5-8.817%
Last 10 (10)65.669.4135.0-3.840%
Last 5 (5)65.270.0135.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)68.474.4142.8-5.921%
vs Similar (11)69.364.2133.5+5.164%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +8.2+8.22nd half: -3.9-3.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +8.2+8.22nd half: -3.9-3.9
DukeBoston College
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#63
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H10/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A15/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
35-19
35
19
+16
A17/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A31/01
NCAA
74.0Avg total
39.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.632.273.8+9.477%-
Last 30 at home (21)42.431.273.7+11.281%-
Last 30 away (9)39.634.474.0+5.167%-
Last 10 (10)39.834.274.0+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.427.866.2+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)36.024.060.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)41.832.574.2+9.376%-
This opponent (Boston College) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CollegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H23/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H28/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A03/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H07/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H31/01
NCAA
59.7Avg total
29.5Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.732.663.3-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (19)32.131.063.1+1.158%-
Last 30 away (11)28.435.463.7-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)29.530.259.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)30.028.658.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.935.666.5-4.637%-
vs Similar (11)30.327.557.7+2.864%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Duke wins
0
Boston College wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25Boston College v Duke63-88
10/02/24Duke v Boston College80-65
07/01/23Boston College v Duke64-65
03/12/22Duke v Boston College75-59
12/02/22Boston College v Duke61-72
09/03/21Duke v Boston College86-51
07/01/21Duke v Boston College83-82
05/02/20Boston College v Duke55-63
31/12/19Duke v Boston College88-49
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AVirginia Tech72-58
27/01/26HLouisville83-52
24/01/26HWake Forest90-69
17/01/26AStanford80-50
15/01/26ACalifornia71-56
10/01/26HSMU Mustangs82-75
07/01/26ALouisville84-73
03/01/26AFlorida State91-87
31/12/25HGeorgia Tech85-79
21/12/25HTexas Tech81-82
Boston Collegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HVirginia66-73
24/01/26ANotre Dame64-68
22/01/26HPittsburgh65-62
17/01/26HSyracuse81-73 OT
14/01/26AClemson50-74
10/01/26ALouisville62-75
07/01/26HNC State71-79
03/01/26AGeorgia Tech53-65
28/12/25HLe Moyne72-64
23/12/25HFairleigh Dickinson72-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %95%92%100%
Points / game85.086.682.2
Allowed / game64.364.364.2
Point differential+20.7+22.3+18.0
Avg total149.2150.9146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%69%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston College
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWLWWL53%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21156
Win %43%53%17%
Points / game68.169.863.8
Allowed / game68.466.772.7
Point differential-0.3+3.1-8.8
Avg total136.5136.5136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %19%20%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2120195%85.064.3+20.7
2 North Carolina2218482%83.170.6+12.5
3 Clemson2218482%76.564.5+11.9
4 Virginia2218482%82.771.0+11.7
5 Miami (FL)2217577%84.770.1+14.6
6 NC State2216673%85.972.0+14.0
7 California2216673%78.370.6+7.7
8 Louisville2115671%86.170.5+15.6
9 SMU Mustangs2115671%86.677.5+9.1
10 Virginia Tech2316770%80.074.0+6.0
11 Stanford2214864%75.973.5+2.4
12 Syracuse23131057%75.870.7+5.1
13 Wake Forest22111150%80.077.6+2.5
14 Notre Dame22111150%74.072.2+1.8
15 Georgia Tech22111150%74.574.0+0.5
16 Florida State22101245%80.879.6+1.2
17 Boston College2191243%68.168.4-0.3
18 Pittsburgh2291341%72.071.1+1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke422567
Boston College272249
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