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Duke vs Houston Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 00:49
Final 67-70
34-28 33-42
Position#7
Record35-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game62.6
Duke
USA
vs
Houston 🏆
USA
Position#9
Record34-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game58.3
USANCAANCAA - Semi-finals· Alamodome
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#177
W
100-65
100
65
+35
H02/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
93-60
93
60
+33
H04/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A08/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H16/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
93-49
93
49
+44
H21/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H23/03
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
100-93
100
93
+7
H28/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H30/03
NCAA
1H
2H
47-30
53-35
40-27
53-33
43-42
39-27
26-31
52-39
45-24
29-47
33-38
40-24
54-28
39-21
47-30
42-36
48-42
52-51
46-37
39-28
153.7Avg total
86.7Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)83.762.6146.2+21.192%
Season at home (26)84.262.8147.0+21.492%
Season away (12)82.562.2144.7+20.392%
Last 10 (10)86.767.0153.7+19.7100%
Last 5 (5)88.067.0155.0+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)84.363.0147.3+21.397%
This opponent (Houston) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HoustonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#159
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H04/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A09/03
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H13/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H14/03
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H15/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
78-40
78
40
+38
H20/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H23/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H29/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H30/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-25
36-39
30-27
35-32
26-29
39-32
38-33
39-35
41-20
33-34
28-33
44-31
52-24
26-16
35-27
46-49
29-31
33-29
34-15
35-35
131.2Avg total
71.6Scored
59.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)74.058.3132.3+15.889%
Season at home (27)74.756.2130.9+18.589%
Season away (11)72.463.3135.6+9.191%
Last 10 (10)71.659.6131.2+12.0100%
Last 5 (5)72.458.0130.4+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (4)74.869.5144.2+5.275%
vs Weaker (26)72.456.5129.0+15.9100%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +10.0+10.01st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: +9.7+9.72nd half: +3.4+3.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +10.0+10.01st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: +9.7+9.72nd half: +3.4+3.4
DukeHouston
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#177
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H02/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H04/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H14/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H16/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H21/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H23/03
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H28/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/03
NCAA
75.8Avg total
42.9Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.930.571.4+10.487%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.629.369.8+11.384%-
Last 30 away (11)41.432.674.0+8.791%-
Last 10 (10)42.932.975.8+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.635.080.6+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)40.930.571.4+10.487%-
This opponent (Houston) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HoustonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#159
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H01/03
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A09/03
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H13/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H14/03
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H15/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H20/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H23/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H29/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
34-15
34
15
+19
H30/03
NCAA
61.4Avg total
35.0Scored
26.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.826.462.3+9.477%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.025.462.4+11.585%-
Last 30 away (10)33.628.462.0+5.260%-
Last 10 (10)35.026.461.4+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)35.626.061.6+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (4)34.830.064.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker (26)36.025.961.9+10.177%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Duke wins
0
Houston wins
DateGameScore
30/03/24Houston v Duke51-54
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HAlabama85-65
28/03/25HArizona100-93
23/03/25HBaylor89-66
21/03/25HMount St. Mary's93-49
16/03/25HLouisville73-62
14/03/25HNorth Carolina74-71
13/03/25HGeorgia Tech78-70
08/03/25ANorth Carolina82-69
04/03/25HWake Forest93-60
02/03/25HFlorida State100-65
Houstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HTennessee69-50
29/03/25HPurdue62-60
23/03/25HGonzaga81-76
20/03/25HSiu Edwardsville78-40
15/03/25HArizona72-64
14/03/25HBrigham Young74-54
13/03/25HColorado77-68
09/03/25ABaylor65-61
04/03/25HKansas65-59
01/03/25HCincinnati73-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382612
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game83.784.282.5
Allowed / game62.662.862.2
Point differential+21.1+21.4+20.3
Avg total146.2147.0144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%73%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Houston
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382711
Win %89%89%91%
Points / game74.074.772.4
Allowed / game58.356.263.3
Point differential+15.8+18.5+9.1
Avg total132.3130.9135.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%59%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %11%7%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3835392%83.762.6+21.1
2 Clemson3427779%76.165.8+10.3
3 Louisville3527877%78.569.5+9.0
4 SMU Mustangs33231070%80.071.1+8.9
5 Wake Forest32211166%70.268.0+2.2
6 North Carolina37231462%80.774.7+6.1
7 Stanford33201361%73.070.6+2.4
8 Pittsburgh32171553%75.970.8+5.0
9 Florida State32171553%74.572.5+2.0
10 Georgia Tech33171652%73.472.4+0.9
11 Virginia32151747%64.866.8-2.0
12 Notre Dame33151845%72.672.5+0.2
13 California33141942%75.676.8-1.2
14 Syracuse33141942%74.777.8-3.1
15 Virginia Tech32131941%69.273.2-4.0
16 NC State31121939%69.570.3-0.8
17 Boston College31121939%70.475.8-5.4
18 Miami (FL)3172423%74.080.6-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3834489%74.058.3+15.8
2 Texas Tech3728976%80.968.5+12.4
3 Brigham Young36261072%81.472.6+8.9
4 Iowa State35251071%80.368.3+12.0
5 Arizona37241365%82.573.3+9.2
6 Kansas34211362%76.169.6+6.5
7 West Virginia32191359%68.264.8+3.3
8 Baylor35201557%76.169.8+6.3
9 Cincinnati33181555%70.565.7+4.8
10 UCF Knights33171652%79.380.1-0.8
11 Utah Utes32161650%75.372.2+3.1
12 TCU32161650%67.668.7-1.2
13 Kansas State33161748%70.869.6+1.2
14 Oklahoma State32151747%72.676.5-3.9
15 Colorado34142041%69.971.5-1.6
16 Arizona State32131941%73.976.5-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke343367
Houston284270
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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