PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Duke vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 93-60
40-27 53-33
Position#7
Record26-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game61.1
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Wake Forest
USA
Position#87
Record20-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Duke v Wake Forest
24 Jan 2026
DUKE90
WAKE69
03 Mar 2025
DUKE93
WAKE60
12 Feb 2024
DUKE77
WAKE69
31 Jan 2023
DUKE75
WAKE73
15 Feb 2022
DUKE76
WAKE74
09 Jan 2021
DUKE79
WAKE68
11 Jan 2020
DUKE90
WAKE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H28/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
83-54
83
54
+29
A06/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H13/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
106-70
106
70
+36
H15/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
110-67
110
67
+43
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
97-60
97
60
+37
A26/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
100-65
100
65
+35
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
41-27
47-25
40-45
37-23
46-31
41-35
30-42
38-23
40-34
49-34
57-36
43-29
37-33
54-37
56-30
47-32
50-28
47-30
53-35
153.2Avg total
88.6Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.261.1144.3+22.090%
Season at home (18)83.660.9144.4+22.789%
Season away (11)82.561.5144.1+21.091%
Last 10 (10)88.664.6153.2+24.090%
Last 5 (5)98.664.8163.4+33.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)82.561.6144.2+20.987%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#7
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A29/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A06/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H13/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H27/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
22-35
34-28
21-45
38-27
34-36
42-38
40-37
39-36
31-29
45-37
35-21
35-51
32-34
45-32
34-40
39-45
33-44
42-39
25-30
49-41
144.0Avg total
71.5Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.068.0139.0+2.969%
Season at home (17)72.365.8138.1+6.582%
Season away (12)69.171.2140.2-2.150%
Last 10 (10)71.572.5144.0-1.050%
Last 5 (5)73.875.4149.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)63.470.6134.0-7.129%
vs Similar (12)70.766.6137.2+4.175%
vs Weaker (11)75.668.4144.0+7.382%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.1+13.11st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +10.9+10.92nd half: +3.4+3.4
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +13.1+13.11st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +10.9+10.92nd half: +3.4+3.4
DukeWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A06/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A08/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H13/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H15/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A26/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H02/03
NCAA
74.1Avg total
43.6Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.329.069.3+11.390%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.127.767.8+12.489%-
Last 30 away (11)40.531.371.8+9.391%-
Last 10 (10)43.630.574.1+13.190%-
Last 5 (5)48.032.480.4+15.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)40.329.069.3+11.390%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#7
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A29/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A06/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H13/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H27/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H01/03
NCAA
65.8Avg total
30.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.633.466.0-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.632.666.2+1.044%-
Last 30 away (12)31.134.565.6-3.442%-
Last 10 (10)30.735.165.8-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)31.833.865.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)27.436.964.3-9.40%-
vs Similar (12)31.931.863.7+0.233%-
vs Weaker (11)36.632.969.5+3.782%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Duke wins
3
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Wake Forest v Duke56-63
24/02/24Wake Forest v Duke83-79
13/02/24Duke v Wake Forest77-69
01/02/23Duke v Wake Forest75-73
20/12/22Wake Forest v Duke81-70
16/02/22Duke v Wake Forest76-74
13/01/22Wake Forest v Duke64-76
18/02/21Wake Forest v Duke60-84
09/01/21Duke v Wake Forest79-68
26/02/20Wake Forest v Duke113-101 OT
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HFlorida State100-65
26/02/25AMiami (FL)97-60
23/02/25AIllinois110-67
18/02/25AVirginia80-62
15/02/25HStanford106-70
13/02/25HCalifornia78-57
08/02/25AClemson71-77
06/02/25ASyracuse83-54
01/02/25HNorth Carolina87-70
28/01/25HNC State74-64
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HNotre Dame74-71
27/02/25HVirginia75-83
22/02/25ANC State73-85
15/02/25ASMU Mustangs77-66
13/02/25HFlorida State70-72
08/02/25ACalifornia76-66
06/02/25AStanford79-73
01/02/25HPittsburgh76-74
29/01/25ALouisville59-72
25/01/25HDuke56-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %90%89%91%
Points / game83.283.682.5
Allowed / game61.160.961.5
Point differential+22.0+22.7+21.0
Avg total144.3144.4144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%78%82%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW69%
HomeLWLLW82%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %69%82%50%
Points / game71.072.369.1
Allowed / game68.065.871.2
Point differential+2.9+6.5-2.1
Avg total139.0138.1140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%41%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)83% (6)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2926390%83.261.1+22.0
2 Clemson2924583%77.466.2+11.2
3 Louisville2923679%79.569.2+10.3
4 SMU Mustangs2921872%81.771.9+9.7
5 Wake Forest2920969%71.068.0+2.9
6 Stanford29191066%74.370.9+3.4
7 North Carolina30191163%81.876.5+5.3
8 Pittsburgh29161355%76.571.5+5.0
9 Florida State29161355%75.473.2+2.2
10 Georgia Tech29151452%74.272.7+1.5
11 Virginia29141548%64.966.6-1.6
12 California29131645%74.575.4-0.9
13 Virginia Tech29131645%70.172.5-2.4
14 Notre Dame29121741%73.072.3+0.7
15 Syracuse29121741%75.478.8-3.4
16 Boston College29121741%70.675.1-4.6
17 NC State29111838%69.470.5-1.1
18 Miami (FL)2962321%74.180.7-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke405393
Wake Forest273360
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.