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Duke vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-47
34-24 42-23
Position#7
Record12-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game59.2
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#173
Record12-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game68.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Duke v Pittsburgh
09 Jan 2027
DUKE v PITT
upcoming
07 Jan 2025
DUKE76
PITT47
20 Jan 2024
DUKE76
PITT80
09 Mar 2023
DUKE96
PITT69
11 Jan 2023
DUKE77
PITT69
29 Dec 2020
DUKE v PITT
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
DUKE79
PITT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#88
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A23/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H27/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
70-48
70
48
+22
H30/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H05/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A08/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
72-46
72
46
+26
H11/12
NCAA
George Mason
#31
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
82-56
82
56
+26
A21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H31/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
35-28
39-41
33-34
37-25
33-23
43-36
41-42
33-37
43-28
28-21
44-25
25-16
43-31
41-36
41-20
37-27
51-38
41-32
48-30
136.7Avg total
77.0Scored
59.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.359.2139.5+21.186%
Season at home (10)80.859.1139.9+21.780%
Season away (4)79.059.5138.5+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)77.059.7136.7+17.390%
Last 5 (5)79.855.2135.0+24.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)74.866.0140.8+8.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)78.461.7140.1+16.780%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#250
W
93-48
93
48
+45
H19/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A22/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A24/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
A29/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
57-90
57
90
-33
A05/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
110-78
110
78
+32
H21/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H01/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-20
54-28
27-28
47-35
34-27
41-54
39-48
38-29
25-47
32-43
28-36
36-23
39-36
57-20
52-40
58-38
38-42
48-32
38-30
45-38
153.6Avg total
82.9Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.168.4152.4+15.786%
Season at home (9)90.763.8154.4+26.9100%
Season away (5)72.276.6148.8-4.460%
Last 10 (10)82.970.7153.6+12.280%
Last 5 (5)87.867.0154.8+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)77.578.5156.0-1.050%
vs Similar (12)77.971.9149.8+6.067%
vs Weaker (16)80.365.2145.5+15.194%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +11.3+11.32nd half: +11.6+11.6
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +11.3+11.32nd half: +11.6+11.6
DukePittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#88
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A23/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H11/12
NCAA
George Mason
#31
W
25-16
25
16
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H31/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/01
NCAA
65.6Avg total
35.8Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.728.965.6+7.883%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.927.264.2+9.685%-
Last 30 away (10)36.232.268.4+4.080%-
Last 10 (10)35.829.865.6+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)34.426.460.8+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)34.032.266.2+1.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)37.228.265.4+9.088%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#250
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H19/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A22/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A24/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A29/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A05/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H21/12
NCAA
California
#268
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H04/01
NCAA
71.3Avg total
35.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.432.468.8+4.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.830.469.2+8.481%-
Last 30 away (14)33.634.668.2-1.157%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.471.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.875.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.030.566.5+5.5100%-
vs Similar (12)36.234.871.0+1.567%-
vs Weaker (16)36.530.967.4+5.669%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Duke wins
2
Pittsburgh wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Duke v Pittsburgh76-80
10/01/24Pittsburgh v Duke53-75
09/03/23Duke v Pittsburgh96-69
12/01/23Duke v Pittsburgh77-69
02/03/22Pittsburgh v Duke56-86
20/01/21Pittsburgh v Duke79-73
29/01/20Duke v Pittsburgh79-67
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ASMU Mustangs89-62
31/12/24HVirginia Tech88-65
21/12/24AGeorgia Tech82-56
18/12/24HGeorge Mason68-47
11/12/24HIncarnate Word72-46
08/12/24ALouisville76-65
05/12/24HAuburn84-78
30/11/24HSeattle70-48
27/11/24HKansas72-75
23/11/24AArizona69-55
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HStanford83-68
01/01/25HCalifornia86-74
21/12/24HSam Houston St.110-78
12/12/24HEastern Kentucky96-56
07/12/24AVirginia Tech64-59
05/12/24AMississippi St.57-90
29/11/24AOhio State91-90 OT
24/11/24AWisconsin75-81
22/11/24ALSU74-63
19/11/24HVMI93-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %86%80%100%
Points / game80.380.879.0
Allowed / game59.259.159.5
Point differential+21.1+21.7+19.5
Avg total139.5139.9138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%70%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %86%100%60%
Points / game84.190.772.2
Allowed / game68.463.876.6
Point differential+15.7+26.9-4.4
Avg total152.4154.4148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1412286%80.359.2+21.1
2 Pittsburgh1412286%84.168.4+15.7
3 Clemson1512380%78.566.9+11.7
4 SMU Mustangs1411379%85.472.1+13.3
5 Wake Forest1511473%69.164.9+4.1
6 Florida State1410471%79.169.5+9.6
7 Louisville1510567%77.870.1+7.7
8 Stanford149564%76.971.9+4.9
9 North Carolina159660%84.679.2+5.4
10 Boston College159660%71.372.3-1.1
11 NC State148657%72.866.9+5.9
12 Virginia148657%61.461.5-0.1
13 Georgia Tech158753%77.372.6+4.7
14 Notre Dame147750%75.670.9+4.7
15 California147750%77.876.9+0.9
16 Virginia Tech146843%71.173.5-2.4
17 Syracuse146843%76.679.7-3.1
18 Miami (FL)1441029%78.475.1+3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke344276
Pittsburgh242347
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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