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Duke vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 76-80
34-38 42-42
Position#32
Record13-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game66.1
vs
Position#69
Record10-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Duke v Pittsburgh
09 Jan 2027
DUKE v PITT
upcoming
07 Jan 2025
DUKE76
PITT47
20 Jan 2024
DUKE76
PITT80
09 Mar 2023
DUKE96
PITT69
11 Jan 2023
DUKE77
PITT69
29 Dec 2020
DUKE v PITT
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
DUKE79
PITT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#224
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A30/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H09/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H13/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H21/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
106-69
106
69
+37
H30/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H03/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A06/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
43-47
31-35
37-37
45-27
35-29
44-39
45-29
34-32
44-38
46-33
60-36
35-33
51-33
29-27
38-32
48-23
27-30
39-39
45-40
148.0Avg total
80.8Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.066.1148.1+15.981%
Season at home (11)86.666.2152.8+20.591%
Season away (5)71.865.8137.6+6.060%
Last 10 (10)80.867.2148.0+13.680%
Last 5 (5)83.665.2148.8+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.058.0121.0+5.050%
vs Similar (9)71.764.6136.2+7.178%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)80.565.7146.2+14.784%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#74
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H03/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
80-63
80
63
+17
A07/12
NCAA
Canisius
#264
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H09/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
86-50
86
50
+36
H16/12
NCAA
IPFW
#89
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A30/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
57-70
57
70
-13
H03/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A06/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
53-75
53
75
-22
H10/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-37
44-42
36-35
44-28
40-41
42-30
36-20
50-30
31-17
31-31
38-30
35-51
28-31
29-39
40-34
43-36
23-48
30-27
26-37
32-32
138.0Avg total
70.4Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.366.2142.5+10.159%
Season at home (14)75.865.1140.9+10.657%
Season away (3)78.771.3150.0+7.367%
Last 10 (10)70.467.6138.0+2.850%
Last 5 (5)64.873.0137.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)53.075.0128.0-22.00%
vs Similar (11)70.570.5141.1+0.036%
vs Weaker (18)81.867.8149.7+14.078%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +7.4+7.42nd half: +3.4+3.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +7.4+7.42nd half: +3.4+3.4
DukePittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#224
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A30/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H09/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H13/12
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H13/01
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.3Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.230.166.3+6.177%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.031.270.2+7.883%-
Last 30 away (12)31.928.460.3+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)38.332.170.4+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.070.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.525.055.5+5.550%-
vs Similar (9)34.230.164.3+4.189%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.730.668.3+7.174%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#74
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H03/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Canisius
#264
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H09/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H16/12
NCAA
IPFW
#89
W
31-17
31
17
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A30/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H10/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H17/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
32.4Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.133.469.6+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.231.268.4+5.963%-
Last 30 away (11)34.437.371.6-2.955%-
Last 10 (10)32.433.065.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.036.067.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)23.048.071.0-25.00%-
vs Similar (11)33.634.768.4-1.136%-
vs Weaker (18)38.431.870.2+6.678%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Duke wins
1
Pittsburgh wins
DateGameScore
10/01/24Pittsburgh v Duke53-75
09/03/23Duke v Pittsburgh96-69
12/01/23Duke v Pittsburgh77-69
02/03/22Pittsburgh v Duke56-86
20/01/21Pittsburgh v Duke79-73
29/01/20Duke v Pittsburgh79-67
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HGeorgia Tech84-79
10/01/24APittsburgh75-53
06/01/24ANotre Dame67-59
03/01/24HSyracuse86-66
30/12/23HQueens Royals106-69
21/12/23HBaylor78-70
13/12/23HHofstra89-68
09/12/23HCharlotte80-56
02/12/23AGeorgia Tech68-72
30/11/23AArkansas75-80
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HSyracuse58-69
10/01/24HDuke53-75
06/01/24ALouisville83-70
03/01/24HNorth Carolina57-70
30/12/23ASyracuse73-81
21/12/23HIPFW62-48
16/12/23HSouth Carolina St86-50
09/12/23HCanisius82-71
07/12/23AWest Virginia80-63
03/12/23HClemson70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %81%91%60%
Points / game82.086.671.8
Allowed / game66.166.265.8
Point differential+15.9+20.5+6.0
Avg total148.1152.8137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%73%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL59%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17143
Win %59%57%67%
Points / game76.375.878.7
Allowed / game66.265.171.3
Point differential+10.1+10.6+7.3
Avg total142.5140.9150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%57%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina1815383%83.469.3+14.1
2 Duke1613381%82.066.1+15.9
3 SMU Mustangs1813572%76.362.4+13.9
4 Wake Forest1813572%81.169.8+11.3
5 Clemson1813572%80.773.1+7.7
6 Virginia1813572%65.558.2+7.3
7 NC State1813572%77.370.2+7.1
8 Syracuse1813572%75.771.7+4.0
9 Miami (FL)1912763%81.472.8+8.6
10 Virginia Tech1811761%73.768.1+5.6
11 Boston College1811761%77.373.0+4.3
12 Florida State1811761%76.673.5+3.1
13 Pittsburgh1710759%76.366.2+10.1
14 Stanford179853%78.676.2+2.4
15 Georgia Tech189950%73.675.2-1.7
16 Notre Dame1871139%62.865.1-2.3
17 California1971237%75.676.6-0.9
18 Louisville1861233%73.177.8-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke344276
Pittsburgh384280
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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