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Duke vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-69
32-43 45-26
Position#39
Record12-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game62.5
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#72
Record11-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game68.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Duke v Pittsburgh
09 Jan 2027
DUKE v PITT
upcoming
07 Jan 2025
DUKE76
PITT47
20 Jan 2024
DUKE76
PITT80
09 Mar 2023
DUKE96
PITT69
11 Jan 2023
DUKE77
PITT69
29 Dec 2020
DUKE v PITT
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
DUKE79
PITT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#46
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A25/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A27/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H01/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H03/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H10/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A20/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H31/12
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A05/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-34
31-30
35-46
21-29
39-29
42-43
35-23
40-36
37-31
37-31
39-21
43-34
30-39
40-42
42-25
44-42
22-44
38-40
37-33
28-31
140.3Avg total
72.0Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.462.5134.9+9.975%
Season at home (9)79.956.9136.8+23.0100%
Season away (7)62.969.7132.6-6.943%
Last 10 (10)72.068.3140.3+3.770%
Last 5 (5)72.670.2142.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)68.471.6140.0-3.157%
vs Weaker (23)78.466.2144.7+12.283%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#280
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H26/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
87-58
87
58
+29
A29/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A03/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A08/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
91-66
91
66
+25
H10/12
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H17/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A21/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H30/12
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
47-27
37-28
50-30
33-28
35-32
34-34
40-41
41-36
50-30
39-25
43-31
41-33
43-49
34-40
42-34
23-33
45-32
40-38
34-37
145.9Avg total
78.4Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.268.2143.4+7.069%
Season at home (11)74.867.7142.5+7.173%
Season away (5)76.069.2145.2+6.860%
Last 10 (10)78.467.5145.9+10.980%
Last 5 (5)76.870.4147.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)59.472.6132.0-13.225%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.069.2140.2+1.858%
vs Weaker (6)80.766.2146.8+14.583%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +8.6+8.6
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +8.6+8.6
DukePittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#46
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A25/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A27/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H01/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H03/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H07/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H10/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A20/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H31/12
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A05/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A07/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
35.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.732.370.0+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.631.871.4+7.980%-
Last 30 away (10)33.933.467.3+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)35.632.568.1+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)34.032.466.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.436.369.7-2.943%-
vs Weaker (23)39.031.170.1+8.083%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#280
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H26/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A29/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A03/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A08/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H10/12
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A21/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H30/12
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H04/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/01
NCAA
68.7Avg total
35.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.733.963.6-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.535.666.1-5.128%-
Last 30 away (12)28.431.459.8-3.042%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.268.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.869.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)23.834.858.6-10.917%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.133.565.6-1.442%-
vs Weaker (6)36.533.269.7+3.350%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Duke wins
1
Pittsburgh wins
DateGameScore
02/03/22Pittsburgh v Duke56-86
20/01/21Pittsburgh v Duke79-73
29/01/20Duke v Pittsburgh79-67
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23ABoston College65-64
05/01/23ANC State60-84
31/12/22HFlorida State86-67
20/12/22AWake Forest70-81
10/12/22HMd.-East. Shore82-55
07/12/22HIowa74-62
03/12/22HBoston College75-59
01/12/22HOhio State81-72
27/11/22APurdue56-75
25/11/22AXavier71-64
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23HClemson74-75
04/01/23HVirginia68-65
30/12/22HNorth Carolina76-74
21/12/22ASyracuse84-82
17/12/22HNorth Florida82-56
10/12/22HSacred Heart91-66
08/12/22AVanderbilt74-75
03/12/22ANC State68-60
29/11/22ANorthwestern87-58
26/11/22HWilliam & Mary80-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %75%100%43%
Points / game72.479.962.9
Allowed / game62.556.969.7
Point differential+9.9+23.0-6.9
Avg total134.9136.8132.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%89%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %69%73%60%
Points / game75.274.876.0
Allowed / game68.267.769.2
Point differential+7.0+7.1+6.8
Avg total143.4142.5145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%55%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson1613381%75.466.7+8.7
2 Virginia1512380%69.759.5+10.2
3 NC State1713476%79.467.8+11.6
4 Duke1612475%72.462.5+9.9
5 Virginia Tech1611569%74.364.8+9.6
6 Pittsburgh1611569%75.268.2+7.0
7 Wake Forest1611569%76.172.2+3.9
8 North Carolina1711665%80.073.7+6.3
9 Miami (FL)31201165%76.471.4+5.0
10 Syracuse1610662%74.669.3+5.3
11 Notre Dame179853%69.569.5+0.1
12 Georgia Tech168850%71.169.4+1.8
13 Boston College168850%64.767.3-2.6
14 SMU Mustangs1661038%67.872.1-4.2
15 Stanford1551033%68.366.7+1.5
16 Florida State1651131%69.073.4-4.4
17 California1631319%61.566.6-5.1
18 Louisville1621412%62.674.4-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke324577
Pittsburgh432669
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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