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Duke vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 96-69
48-32 48-37
Position#39
Record23-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game63.8
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Pittsburgh
USA
Position#72
Record22-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game69.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Duke v Pittsburgh
09 Jan 2027
DUKE v PITT
upcoming
07 Jan 2025
DUKE76
PITT47
20 Jan 2024
DUKE76
PITT80
09 Mar 2023
DUKE96
PITT69
11 Jan 2023
DUKE77
PITT69
29 Dec 2020
DUKE v PITT
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
DUKE79
PITT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#142
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
62-69 OT
62
69
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H21/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H26/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H01/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-34
34-39
33-32
30-25
26-40
33-41
27-25
31-33
31-23
37-41
40-27
37-28
42-33
37-29
43-32
38-33
33-29
38-38
33-31
29-26
134.7Avg total
69.7Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)71.863.8135.6+8.074%
Season at home (17)76.560.9137.4+15.6100%
Season away (14)66.167.4133.4-1.343%
Last 10 (10)69.765.0134.7+4.780%
Last 5 (5)74.061.2135.2+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)67.768.3136.0-0.654%
vs Weaker (17)75.061.5136.5+13.588%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
91-57
91
57
+34
H08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A11/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H15/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A18/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H22/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
99-82
99
82
+17
H25/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-33
31-31
47-27
44-30
37-33
46-42
40-31
37-27
30-41
42-38
33-32
43-36
37-33
62-49
28-42
53-46
38-42
38-36
44-31
45-50
153.9Avg total
80.9Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.369.7146.0+6.769%
Season at home (19)77.468.9146.3+8.579%
Season away (13)74.870.8145.6+3.954%
Last 10 (10)80.973.0153.9+7.970%
Last 5 (5)84.279.4163.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.671.4144.1+1.257%
vs Weaker (16)80.668.2148.8+12.481%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +5.6+5.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +5.6+5.6
DukePittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#142
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A11/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H26/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H01/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A04/03
NCAA
65.5Avg total
34.9Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.832.067.8+3.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.230.068.2+8.288%-
Last 30 away (14)33.134.267.3-1.157%-
Last 10 (10)34.930.665.5+4.390%-
Last 5 (5)38.230.468.6+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.535.068.5-1.562%-
vs Weaker (17)37.529.667.2+7.982%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H08/03
NCAA
71.3Avg total
36.8Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.769.4+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.233.869.9+2.459%-
Last 30 away (13)34.933.768.6+1.262%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.571.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.072.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.334.568.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (16)36.833.169.9+3.869%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Duke wins
1
Pittsburgh wins
DateGameScore
12/01/23Duke v Pittsburgh77-69
02/03/22Pittsburgh v Duke56-86
20/01/21Pittsburgh v Duke79-73
29/01/20Duke v Pittsburgh79-67
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23ANorth Carolina62-57
01/03/23HNC State71-67
26/02/23HVirginia Tech81-65
21/02/23HLouisville79-62
18/02/23ASyracuse77-55
15/02/23HNotre Dame68-64
11/02/23AVirginia62-69 OT
07/02/23AMiami (FL)59-81
04/02/23HNorth Carolina63-57
01/02/23HWake Forest75-73
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/23HGeorgia Tech89-81
04/03/23AMiami (FL)76-78
02/03/23ANotre Dame81-88
25/02/23HSyracuse99-82
22/02/23HGeorgia Tech76-68
18/02/23AVirginia Tech72-79
15/02/23HBoston College77-58
11/02/23AFlorida State83-75
08/02/23HLouisville91-57
02/02/23ANorth Carolina65-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %74%100%43%
Points / game71.876.566.1
Allowed / game63.860.967.4
Point differential+8.0+15.6-1.3
Avg total135.6137.4133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%59%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW69%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWWLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %69%79%54%
Points / game76.377.474.8
Allowed / game69.768.970.8
Point differential+6.7+8.5+3.9
Avg total146.0146.3145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2923679%68.260.5+7.7
2 Duke3123874%71.863.8+8.0
3 NC State3223972%78.970.5+8.4
4 Clemson3122971%75.568.1+7.4
5 Pittsburgh32221069%76.369.7+6.7
6 North Carolina32201262%76.771.0+5.7
7 Miami (FL)63372659%76.573.1+3.4
8 Virginia Tech33191458%74.269.8+4.5
9 Wake Forest33191458%76.673.8+2.8
10 Syracuse32171553%74.172.9+1.2
11 Boston College33161748%66.670.2-3.6
12 Georgia Tech33151845%69.770.8-1.0
13 Stanford32141844%69.967.5+2.4
14 Notre Dame32112134%69.672.1-2.5
15 SMU Mustangs31102132%70.375.5-5.3
16 Florida State3292328%69.376.2-6.9
17 Louisville3242812%63.975.8-11.8
18 California323299%58.370.1-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke484896
Pittsburgh323769
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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