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East Tennessee St vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-82 (OT)
37-38 31-30 4-14
Position#61
Record19-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game67.6
East Tennessee St
USA
vs
Samford 🏆
USA
Position#149
Record14-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · East Tennessee St v Samford
14 Feb 2026
EAST72
SAMF82
08 Feb 2025
EAST66
SAMF59
27 Jan 2024
EAST72
SAMF75
18 Jan 2023
EAST59
SAMF69
12 Feb 2022
EAST73
SAMF77
15 Jan 2020
EAST88
SAMF63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Tennessee St winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H10/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A17/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A22/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
84-55
84
55
+29
H24/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H30/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A02/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
H05/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A07/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
48-26
35-36
33-36
38-31
38-44
29-30
38-36
49-27
35-28
35-49
53-41
41-39
45-33
23-35
38-26
40-33
47-37
32-27
41-34
148.2Avg total
79.0Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.667.6146.2+11.073%
Season at home (15)82.664.7147.3+17.987%
Season away (11)73.171.5144.6+1.555%
Last 10 (10)79.069.2148.2+9.880%
Last 5 (5)81.872.8154.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)71.671.4143.0+0.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.566.4144.9+12.180%
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H15/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A21/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H06/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H07/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-49
51-39
40-40
33-37
31-38
44-38
41-38
37-50
32-32
43-32
33-35
40-43
41-39
47-35
39-32
39-32
40-22
29-27
47-34
50-46
152.3Avg total
78.5Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.174.9153.0+3.254%
Season at home (12)81.468.8150.2+12.675%
Season away (14)75.380.1155.4-4.936%
Last 10 (10)78.573.8152.3+4.750%
Last 5 (5)81.069.0150.0+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)63.081.8144.8-18.80%
vs Similar (15)80.280.2160.4+0.047%
vs Weaker (10)84.970.4155.3+14.580%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: +3.4+3.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: +3.4+3.4
East Tennessee StSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H10/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A14/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A17/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A22/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H24/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H30/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H05/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A07/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H12/02
NCAA
70.1Avg total
36.0Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.832.368.1+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.931.168.1+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)34.333.868.1+0.546%-
Last 10 (10)36.034.170.1+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.670.8-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)31.134.765.8-3.622%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)36.931.668.5+5.275%-
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A10/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H15/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H17/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H12/02
NCAA
73.1Avg total
37.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.337.774.0-1.433%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.433.873.2+5.638%-
Last 30 away (17)33.940.674.6-6.729%-
Last 10 (10)37.235.973.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.032.472.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)27.839.867.5-12.00%-
vs Similar (15)36.639.375.9-2.727%-
vs Weaker (10)40.533.774.2+6.860%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
East Tennessee St wins
6
Samford wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Samford v East Tennessee St75-76
08/02/25East Tennessee St v Samford66-59
18/01/25Samford v East Tennessee St60-65
11/03/24Samford v East Tennessee St76-69
24/02/24Samford v East Tennessee St87-71
27/01/24East Tennessee St v Samford72-75
04/02/23Samford v East Tennessee St73-62
19/01/23East Tennessee St v Samford59-69
12/02/22East Tennessee St v Samford73-77
15/01/22Samford v East Tennessee St85-88
East Tennessee Stlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HChattanooga Mocs73-61
07/02/26AVMI87-70
05/02/26HFurman75-71 OT
02/02/26AWofford86-72
30/01/26HWestern Carolina88-90
24/01/26HCitadel84-55
22/01/26AChattanooga Mocs67-66
17/01/26ASamford76-75
14/01/26AWestern Carolina68-72
10/01/26HNC Greensboro86-60
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HWofford97-80
07/02/26HMercer69-49
06/02/26HCitadel78-64
01/02/26AWestern Carolina88-74
29/01/26AFurman73-78
24/01/26HChattanooga Mocs75-64
21/01/26AWofford78-88
17/01/26HEast Tennessee St75-76
15/01/26HFurman73-77
10/01/26AChattanooga Mocs79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Tennessee St
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWLWW87%
AwayLWWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %73%87%55%
Points / game78.682.673.1
Allowed / game67.664.771.5
Point differential+11.0+17.9+1.5
Avg total146.2147.3144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%73%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW54%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %54%75%36%
Points / game78.181.475.3
Allowed / game74.968.880.1
Point differential+3.2+12.6-4.9
Avg total153.0150.2155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%58%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St2619773%78.667.6+11.0
2 Wofford2617965%78.876.2+2.6
3 Mercer26161062%83.475.0+8.3
4 Furman26161062%76.370.2+6.0
5 Samford26141254%78.174.9+3.2
6 NC Greensboro26111542%77.980.0-2.1
7 Chattanooga Mocs26101638%74.673.6+1.0
8 Citadel26101638%70.875.3-4.5
9 Western Carolina2491538%78.079.1-1.2
10 VMI2662023%72.479.1-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
East Tennessee St3731472
Samford38301482
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