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Samford vs East Tennessee St Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 60-65
29-29 31-36
Position#61
Record15-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#130
Record10-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game67.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Samford v East Tennessee St
02 Jan 2027
SAMF v EAST
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
SAMF75
EAST76
18 Jan 2025
SAMF60
EAST65
11 Mar 2024
SAMF76
EAST69
24 Feb 2024
SAMF87
EAST71
04 Feb 2023
SAMF73
EAST62
15 Jan 2022
SAMF85
EAST88
22 Feb 2020
SAMF74
EAST80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
East Tennessee St winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Georgia
#354
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H29/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A06/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
72-47
72
47
+25
H08/12
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
64-96
64
96
-32
A19/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A21/12
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
86-56
86
56
+30
H02/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A04/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-32
49-33
54-46
34-35
26-22
46-25
33-56
31-40
55-46
42-44
41-27
45-29
44-34
44-35
47-40
34-28
36-28
40-41
41-38
34-36
152.8Avg total
81.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.874.9161.7+11.983%
Season at home (10)89.367.1156.4+22.2100%
Season away (8)83.884.6168.4-0.962%
Last 10 (10)81.371.5152.8+9.890%
Last 5 (5)81.267.2148.4+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.683.2167.8+1.367%
vs Weaker (21)85.571.0156.5+14.586%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A08/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A14/12
NCAA
Elon
#174
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H19/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A21/12
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H01/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H04/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A09/01
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H11/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
34-34
37-54
50-42
24-36
28-24
44-26
40-32
33-35
33-38
38-38
46-31
39-34
39-47
40-32
30-36
36-22
34-30
36-35
34-38
142.3Avg total
72.2Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.867.7142.6+7.156%
Season at home (10)79.664.7144.3+14.980%
Season away (8)68.971.5140.4-2.625%
Last 10 (10)72.270.1142.3+2.140%
Last 5 (5)74.468.6143.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.280.2152.4-8.020%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.568.2139.6+3.346%
vs Weaker (12)78.264.4142.6+13.883%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +1.6+1.6
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +1.6+1.6
SamfordEast Tennessee St
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Georgia
#354
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H29/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A06/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A19/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A21/12
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H02/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A04/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A16/01
NCAA
78.3Avg total
41.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.535.777.2+5.877%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.031.072.0+10.094%-
Last 30 away (13)42.241.984.1+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.978.3+4.590%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.475.2+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.341.282.6+0.156%-
vs Weaker (21)41.633.475.0+8.286%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A08/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A14/12
NCAA
Elon
#174
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H19/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A21/12
NCAA
VMI
#250
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H01/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A09/01
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H11/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/01
NCAA
70.3Avg total
35.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.133.468.5+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.730.469.1+8.373%-
Last 30 away (15)31.536.467.9-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)35.434.970.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.270.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.440.270.6-9.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.331.464.7+1.962%-
vs Weaker (12)39.032.871.8+6.258%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Samford wins
3
East Tennessee St wins
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25AMercer75-74
11/01/25HNC Greensboro76-69
10/01/25HVMI81-68
04/01/25AWestern Carolina88-69
02/01/25HCitadel86-56
21/12/24AAlabama A&M Bulldogs97-90
19/12/24AArizona64-96
08/12/24HAustin Peay72-47
06/12/24ASouth Carolina St88-81
29/11/24HWest Georgia86-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25AFurman70-73
11/01/25HCitadel70-52
09/01/25AMercer70-68
04/01/25HWofford78-81
01/01/25HVMI84-69
21/12/24AUMKC66-73
19/12/24HElon84-58
14/12/24AJacksonville Dolphins52-60
08/12/24AWichita State87-96
04/12/24AJames Madison61-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %83%100%62%
Points / game86.889.383.8
Allowed / game74.967.184.6
Point differential+11.9+22.2-0.9
Avg total161.7156.4168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%70%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %11%10%12%
East Tennessee St
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game74.879.668.9
Allowed / game67.764.771.5
Point differential+7.1+14.9-2.6
Avg total142.6144.3140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford1815383%86.874.9+11.9
2 Furman1915479%76.666.5+10.1
3 NC Greensboro1912763%74.764.1+10.6
4 Chattanooga Mocs1912763%77.672.6+5.1
5 East Tennessee St1810856%74.867.7+7.1
6 Mercer189950%81.575.9+5.6
7 Wofford189950%75.471.2+4.3
8 VMI1981142%76.372.2+4.1
9 Citadel1751229%69.173.2-4.1
10 Western Carolina1751229%68.277.9-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford293160
East Tennessee St293665
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