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Samford vs East Tennessee St Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 73-62
39-29 34-33
Position#78
Record15-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game71.2
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Position#286
Record9-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Samford v East Tennessee St
02 Jan 2027
SAMF v EAST
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
SAMF75
EAST76
18 Jan 2025
SAMF60
EAST65
11 Mar 2024
SAMF76
EAST69
24 Feb 2024
SAMF87
EAST71
04 Feb 2023
SAMF73
EAST62
15 Jan 2022
SAMF85
EAST88
22 Feb 2020
SAMF74
EAST80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
East Tennessee St winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#330
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A31/12
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H05/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A07/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H12/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H14/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A19/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
84-91 OT
84
91
-7
A26/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A28/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-25
45-38
46-39
41-39
34-31
36-37
43-27
40-31
31-45
44-29
35-33
34-26
32-24
42-41
34-38
42-38
32-48
45-37
42-33
43-44
149.7Avg total
77.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.571.2149.8+7.362%
Season at home (12)82.666.9149.5+15.783%
Season away (12)74.575.5150.0-1.042%
Last 10 (10)77.971.8149.7+6.180%
Last 5 (5)77.875.4153.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.372.0141.3-2.733%
vs Similar (11)70.572.4142.9-1.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.668.8150.4+12.969%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#356
W
64-50
64
50
+14
A31/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H05/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
96-74
96
74
+22
A12/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H14/01
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H19/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A21/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
67-71 OT
67
71
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-25
31-25
38-38
22-33
23-37
33-33
42-28
54-46
28-31
27-37
33-35
26-34
33-42
45-20
32-27
27-32
32-33
32-40
36-26
41-26
133.6Avg total
67.6Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)69.767.8137.5+1.938%
Season at home (15)70.769.0139.7+1.733%
Season away (9)68.065.8133.8+2.244%
Last 10 (10)67.666.0133.6+1.640%
Last 5 (5)69.065.4134.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.273.2142.5-4.012%
vs Similar (16)66.168.8134.8-2.725%
vs Weaker (4)80.266.0146.2+14.2100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +1.2+1.2
SamfordEast Tennessee St
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#330
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A31/12
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H05/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A07/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H12/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H14/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A19/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H21/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A28/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A02/02
NCAA
70.2Avg total
35.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.332.970.2+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.830.770.5+9.181%-
Last 30 away (14)34.435.469.8-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)35.934.370.2+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.270.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.331.764.0+0.767%-
vs Similar (11)34.232.967.1+1.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.333.173.4+7.275%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#356
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A31/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H05/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A12/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H14/01
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H19/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A21/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A26/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H28/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H02/02
NCAA
65.2Avg total
33.0Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.168.4+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.835.269.9-0.439%-
Last 30 away (12)33.732.566.2+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)33.032.265.2+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.232.665.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.937.468.2-6.512%-
vs Similar (16)33.934.168.1-0.238%-
vs Weaker (4)39.029.868.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Samford wins
3
East Tennessee St wins
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23AWestern Carolina85-77
28/01/23AWofford77-85
26/01/23AFurman84-91 OT
21/01/23HWestern Carolina74-65
19/01/23AEast Tennessee St69-59
14/01/23HChattanooga Mocs75-74
12/01/23HWofford83-58
07/01/23ANC Greensboro70-68
05/01/23HVMI87-78
31/12/22ACitadel75-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23HWofford77-52
28/01/23HChattanooga Mocs64-73
26/01/23AMercer67-71 OT
21/01/23AChattanooga Mocs78-62
19/01/23HSamford59-69
14/01/23HMercer55-68
12/01/23ACitadel96-74
07/01/23HFurman56-70
05/01/23HWestern Carolina60-71
31/12/22AVMI64-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%83%42%
Points / game78.582.674.5
Allowed / game71.266.975.5
Point differential+7.3+15.7-1.0
Avg total149.8149.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %12%0%25%
East Tennessee St
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayWWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %38%33%44%
Points / game69.770.768.0
Allowed / game67.869.065.8
Point differential+1.9+1.7+2.2
Avg total137.5139.7133.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%27%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)0% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman2418675%82.071.7+10.3
2 NC Greensboro2516964%70.262.8+7.4
3 Samford2415962%78.571.2+7.3
4 Wofford24131154%74.170.2+4.0
5 Western Carolina25131252%75.169.8+5.3
6 Chattanooga Mocs25121348%76.871.5+5.2
7 Mercer25121348%69.867.7+2.1
8 East Tennessee St2491538%69.767.8+1.9
9 Citadel2591636%69.174.5-5.4
10 VMI2561924%69.974.4-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford393473
East Tennessee St293362
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