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Esgueira vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 64-100
17-31 14-11 14-34 19-24
Position#9
Record2-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record9-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game67.8
PortugalLPBRound 14· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2023-24
Meetings · Esgueira v Benfica
06 Mar 2027
ESGU v BEN
upcoming
18 Apr 2026
ESGU65
BEN107
09 Nov 2024
ESGU85
BEN93
03 Feb 2024
ESGU64
BEN100
18 Feb 2023
ESGU61
BEN93
13 Mar 2021
ESGU77
BEN92
21 Dec 2019
ESGU76
BEN84
13 Oct 2018
ESGU69
BEN89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 64
H18/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
56avg 64
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
68-105
68
105
-37
56avg 64
H02/12
LPB
Vitoria
#13
W
78-66
78
66
+12
79avg 64
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Lusitania
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 64
A16/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 64
H28/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
85-68
85
68
+17
84avg 64
H06/01
LPB
Imortal
#4
L
68-95
68
95
-27
51avg 64
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
60avg 64
A20/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
60avg 64
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
24-16
16-16
16-21
20-15
15-28
19-18
17-14
18-24
9-33
21-27
20-21
23-29
22-7
13-16
20-14
21-16
14-32
25-21
23-20
18-21
12-19
23-21
19-19
26-15
28-16
16-20
15-17
9-22
17-22
21-22
21-29
8-20
20-23
18-25
27-23
27-17
12-21
16-16
14-24
157.2Avg total
75.1Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.686.3159.9-12.715%
Season at home (6)72.882.8155.7-10.033%
Season away (7)74.389.3163.6-15.00%
Last 10 (10)75.182.1157.2-7.030%
Last 5 (5)73.482.4155.8-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)69.391.2160.5-21.90%
vs Similar (14)79.379.1158.4+0.150%
vs Weaker (4)83.281.0164.2+2.275%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#15
W
71-47
71
47
+24
no box
H08/12
Taca de Portugal
Galatasaray
#20
L
63-87
63
87
-24
50avg 81
H13/12
Champions League
CD Povoa
#6
W
83-58
83
58
+25
77avg 81
A16/12
LPB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
68-97
68
97
-29
58avg 81
A20/12
Champions League
Portimonense
#11
W
100-67
100
67
+33
109avg 81
H30/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
77-55
77
55
+22
73avg 81
A07/01
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
95-74
95
74
+21
90avg 81
A10/01
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#6
W
85-53
85
53
+32
86avg 81
H13/01
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
L
71-91
71
91
-20
56avg 81
A20/01
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
98-74
98
74
+24
88avg 81
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
17-15
20-5
22-15
16-13
18-18
19-30
10-26
18-15
20-21
22-12
23-10
24-25
9-27
20-21
15-24
22-19
28-16
35-16
15-16
17-17
22-9
22-16
16-13
22-18
31-23
19-17
23-16
16-12
24-17
29-6
16-18
18-19
15-22
14-22
24-28
25-13
19-19
26-22
28-20
151.4Avg total
81.1Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.967.8154.8+19.169%
Season at home (7)95.962.6158.4+33.386%
Season away (6)76.574.0150.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)81.170.3151.4+10.870%
Last 5 (5)85.269.4154.6+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)71.586.2157.7-14.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.868.2157.0+20.676%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
EsgueiraBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H18/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
27-57
27
57
-30
H02/12
LPB
Vitoria
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Lusitania
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A16/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H28/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H06/01
LPB
Imortal
#4
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A20/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/01
Taca da Liga
78.8Avg total
37.1Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.479.8-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.540.381.9+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)35.242.577.7-7.37%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.778.8-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.274.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.243.775.9-11.59%-
vs Similar (14)41.839.381.1+2.550%-
vs Weaker (4)41.843.885.5-2.025%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#15
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H08/12
Taca de Portugal
Galatasaray
#20
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H13/12
Champions League
CD Povoa
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A16/12
LPB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A20/12
Champions League
Portimonense
#11
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H30/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A07/01
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A10/01
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#6
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H13/01
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/01
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A27/01
Taca da Liga
74.3Avg total
39.3Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.536.477.9+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.835.278.9+8.675%-
Last 30 away (14)38.937.776.6+1.257%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.074.3+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.875.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)36.342.578.8-6.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.335.377.6+7.076%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.3
50.6%
51.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.6
30.0%
33.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.614.6
67.6%
69.3%14.6
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.9
55.9%
51.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.1
35.0%
33.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.214.4
71.3%
69.3%14.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLLWLLWLLW
Benfica
WLWWWWLWLW
#9
League position
#1
-8.7
Net rating
+15.8
97.3
Offensive rating
107.4
106.0
Defensive rating
91.6
48.6%
Effective FG%
54.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
19.2%
Turnover %
21.1%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.0%
3-point %
35.0%
52.8%
Assist %
68.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.3 · 107.4Defence106.0 · 91.6Shooting48.6% · 54.5%3-point %30.0% · 35.0%Ball care19.2% · 21.1%Off. rebounds26.1% · 31.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Esgueira   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Esgueira wins
8
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Benfica v Esgueira110-70
18/02/23Esgueira v Benfica61-93
30/11/22Benfica v Esgueira95-82
13/03/21Esgueira v Benfica77-92
09/12/20Benfica v Esgueira78-73
21/12/19Esgueira v Benfica76-84
05/01/19Benfica v Esgueira112-66
13/10/18Esgueira v Benfica69-89
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HOliveirense69-78
20/01/24AOliveirense73-91
13/01/24AImortal68-95
06/01/24HPortimonense85-68
28/12/23HCD Povoa72-80
16/12/23ALusitania83-89
09/12/23HVitoria78-66
02/12/23HSporting CP68-105
25/11/23AOvarense71-75
18/11/23HGalomar84-74
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AOvarense98-74
20/01/24AVitoria71-91
13/01/24HPortimonense85-53
10/01/24AGalomar95-74
07/01/24AOliveirense77-55
30/12/23HPortimonense100-67
20/12/23AHapoel Jerusalem68-97
16/12/23ACD Povoa83-58
13/12/23HGalatasaray63-87
08/12/23HOliveirense71-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL15%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %15%33%0%
Points / game73.672.874.3
Allowed / game86.382.889.3
Point differential-12.7-10.0-15.0
Avg total159.9155.7163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%86%50%
Points / game86.995.976.5
Allowed / game67.862.674.0
Point differential+19.1+33.3+2.5
Avg total154.8158.4150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%86%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1312192%86.873.5+13.2
2 Sporting CP1310377%93.382.8+10.5
3 Benfica139469%86.967.8+19.1
4 Oliveirense128467%78.574.8+3.7
5 Ovarense138562%78.079.3-1.3
6 Vitoria137654%81.579.4+2.2
7 Imortal136746%77.882.4-4.6
8 CD Povoa135838%81.285.9-4.8
9 Portimonense135838%71.878.5-6.6
10 Galomar134931%75.179.2-4.2
11 Esgueira1321115%73.686.3-12.7
12 Lusitania121118%73.388.7-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira1714141964
Benfica31113424100
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