Lusitania vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 60-103

17-25 14-28 13-21 16-29

Position#10

Record4-7

FormWWLLL

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game84.1

Lusitania

Benfica 🏆

Position#2

Record10-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game88.9

Allowed / game69.1

LPBRound 12

Other2019-20

Meetings · Lusitania v Benfica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

69-68

A12/10

LPB

Barreirense

#11

89-58

+31

H19/10

LPB

Oliveirense

70-92

-22

A26/10

LPB

FC Porto

75-96

-21

H02/11

LPB

Sporting CP

65-91

-26

A10/11

LPB

Illiabum

#12

106-79

106

+27

H16/11

LPB

Terceira

#14

111-88

111

+23

A23/11

LPB

Galitos

70-96

-26

A29/11

LPB

Ovarense

70-76

-6

A01/12

LPB

Maia

#13

87-90

-3

H07/12

LPB

16-11

15-16

20-22

18-19

21-15

23-16

18-18

27-9

13-27

15-13

21-29

21-23

16-30

23-26

21-22

15-18

14-21

16-23

16-28

19-19

29-22

29-17

23-18

25-22

27-16

32-29

33-26

19-17

11-31

25-24

15-24

19-17

18-19

14-27

14-13

24-17

26-18

25-14

8-35

28-23

164.6Avg total

81.2Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	79.2	84.1	163.3	-4.9	36%
Season at home (5)	83.2	82.8	166.0	+0.4	40%
Season away (6)	75.8	85.2	161.0	-9.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	83.4	164.6	-2.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	85.8	174.6	+3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	73.5	89.1	162.6	-15.6	17%
vs Similar (6)	89.2	82.0	171.2	+7.2	67%
vs Weaker (6)	91.0	77.8	168.8	+13.2	83%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barreirense

#11

95-49

+46

A12/10

LPB

Oliveirense

77-67

+10

H19/10

LPB

FC Porto

79-87

-8

A26/10

LPB

Sporting CP

85-79

H02/11

LPB

Illiabum

#12

72-63

A09/11

LPB

Terceira

#14

111-58

111

+53

H16/11

LPB

Galitos

94-83

+11

A23/11

LPB

Maia

#13

99-68

+31

A01/12

LPB

Ovarense

74-70

H04/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

114-60

114

+54

H07/12

LPB

21-8

30-10

22-18

22-13

18-14

20-21

14-18

25-14

14-16

21-26

24-30

20-15

14-21

26-17

24-16

21-25

19-15

14-12

19-15

20-21

19-15

36-11

27-11

29-21

25-22

24-17

28-19

17-25

25-12

25-14

23-16

26-26

18-19

18-16

14-15

24-20

28-11

34-18

29-13

23-18

158.4Avg total

90.0Scored

68.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	88.9	69.1	158.0	+19.8	91%
Season at home (6)	89.8	68.3	158.2	+21.5	100%
Season away (5)	87.8	70.0	157.8	+17.8	80%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	68.4	158.4	+21.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	98.4	67.8	166.2	+30.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	85.0	79.0	164.0	+6.0	100%
vs Similar (3)	79.0	83.0	162.0	-4.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	88.6	69.2	157.8	+19.4	85%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaBenfica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.1	40.8	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.6	22.6	40.1	-5.0	28%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.2	21.8	46.0	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.8	17.8	38.7	+3.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	17.1	38.7	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	17.6	40.5	+5.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	16.5	36.6	+3.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	15.3	35.4	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	15.8	38.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	21.0	35.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	22.3	43.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.9	16.3	38.3	+5.6	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.5	42.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	22.2	47.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.2	20.7	38.9	-2.5	28%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.8	19.3	37.2	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.8	17.5	42.3	+7.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	16.3	38.3	+5.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	15.4	39.0	+8.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	16.2	41.0	+8.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	15.2	42.6	+12.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	17.0	43.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.3	19.3	41.7	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.9	15.9	37.8	+6.0	65%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

31-27

A12/10

LPB

Barreirense

#11

44-31

+13

H19/10

LPB

Oliveirense

28-40

-12

A26/10

LPB

FC Porto

39-56

-17

H02/11

LPB

Sporting CP

30-44

-14

A10/11

LPB

Illiabum

#12

58-39

+19

H16/11

LPB

Terceira

#14

59-45

+14

A23/11

LPB

Galitos

36-55

-19

A29/11

LPB

Ovarense

32-46

-14

A01/12

LPB

Maia

#13

51-32

+19

H07/12

LPB

82.3Avg total

40.8Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	41.3	80.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	40.7	81.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	41.9	79.1	-4.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	41.5	82.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	43.4	90.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	35.8	43.3	79.1	-7.5	22%	-
vs Similar (6)	42.0	41.2	83.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.7	35.3	81.0	+10.3	83%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barreirense

#11

51-18

+33

A12/10

LPB

Oliveirense

38-35

H19/10

LPB

FC Porto

35-42

-7

A26/10

LPB

Sporting CP

40-38

H02/11

LPB

Illiabum

#12

33-27

A09/11

LPB

Terceira

#14

55-26

+29

H16/11

LPB

Galitos

49-39

+10

A23/11

LPB

Maia

#13

50-26

+24

A01/12

LPB

Ovarense

36-35

H04/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

62-29

+33

H07/12

LPB

76.4Avg total

44.9Scored

31.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	33.4	77.0	+10.3	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.4	33.1	79.5	+13.4	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	33.7	74.1	+6.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	31.5	76.4	+13.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.4	31.0	81.4	+19.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	40.0	38.0	78.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	43.3	41.7	85.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.8	32.2	76.0	+11.6	81%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.6	42.2	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	21.9	41.3	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	23.3	43.0	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	23.5	42.4	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.2	41.8	-4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.5	23.3	41.8	-4.8	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.3	39.9	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	16.8	38.2	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	19.9	41.9	+2.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	17.1	39.5	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	14.8	39.0	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	16.0	40.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.9	18.0	39.9	+3.9	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.4	39.9	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.8	21.7	40.6	-2.9	28%	-
vs Similar (6)	25.7	20.8	46.5	+4.8	83%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	17.0	38.8	+4.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	19.6	42.1	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.0	45.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.3	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	43.2	83.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	42.7	83.5	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	43.7	83.7	-3.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	41.9	82.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	42.4	84.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	37.3	45.1	82.4	-7.7	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	47.2	40.8	88.0	+6.3	83%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.7	40.0	82.7	+2.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	37.4	80.7	+5.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.0	36.4	80.4	+7.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	38.6	81.0	+3.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	36.9	82.0	+8.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	36.8	84.8	+11.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	45.0	41.0	86.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	35.7	41.3	77.0	-5.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	44.1	36.8	80.9	+7.3	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Benfica wins

Date	Game	Score
02/05/19	Benfica v Lusitania	113-76
04/04/19	Lusitania v Benfica	76-91
12/01/19	Lusitania v Benfica	76-88
20/10/18	Benfica v Lusitania	89-69
04/02/18	Benfica v Lusitania	97-100 OT
15/10/17	Lusitania v Benfica	89-95
18/02/17	Benfica v Lusitania	100-65
03/12/16	Lusitania v Benfica	82-91
30/04/16	Lusitania v Benfica	62-84
24/04/16	Benfica v Lusitania	92-64

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/19	H	Maia	87-90
01/12/19	A	Ovarense	70-76
29/11/19	A	Galitos	70-96
23/11/19	A	Terceira	111-88
16/11/19	H	Illiabum	106-79
10/11/19	A	Sporting CP	65-91
02/11/19	H	FC Porto	75-96
26/10/19	A	Oliveirense	70-92
19/10/19	H	Barreirense	89-58
12/10/19	A	Vitoria	69-68

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/19	H	CAB Madeira	114-60
04/12/19	H	Ovarense	74-70
01/12/19	A	Maia	99-68
23/11/19	A	Galitos	94-83
16/11/19	H	Terceira	111-58
09/11/19	A	Illiabum	72-63
02/11/19	H	Sporting CP	85-79
26/10/19	A	FC Porto	79-87
19/10/19	H	Oliveirense	77-67
12/10/19	A	Barreirense	95-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	36%
Home	LWLWL	40%
Away	LLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	36%	40%	33%
Points / game	79.2	83.2	75.8
Allowed / game	84.1	82.8	85.2
Point differential	-4.9	+0.4	-9.3
Avg total	163.3	166.0	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	40%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Benfica

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	91%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	91%	100%	80%
Points / game	88.9	89.8	87.8
Allowed / game	69.1	68.3	70.0
Point differential	+19.8	+21.5	+17.8
Avg total	158.0	158.2	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	50%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	12	11	1	92%	87.6	73.1	+14.5
2	Sporting CP	11	10	1	91%	92.5	70.6	+21.8
3	Benfica	11	10	1	91%	88.9	69.1	+19.8
4	Oliveirense	11	7	4	64%	81.5	73.8	+7.7
5	Vitoria	12	7	5	58%	78.8	76.7	+2.2
6	Esgueira	11	6	5	55%	77.7	72.5	+5.3
7	Galitos	11	6	5	55%	83.7	80.3	+3.5
8	Lusitania	11	4	7	36%	79.2	84.1	-4.9
9	Maia	11	4	7	36%	75.2	83.9	-8.7
10	CAB Madeira	11	4	7	36%	77.2	86.5	-9.3
11	Illiabum	12	4	8	33%	74.9	79.3	-4.4
12	Barreirense	11	3	8	27%	71.3	86.5	-15.2
13	Ovarense	12	3	9	25%	72.3	78.8	-6.4
14	Terceira	11	0	11	0%	69.8	96.2	-26.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	17	14	13	16	60
Benfica	25	28	21	29	103

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Benfica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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