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Esgueira vs CAB Madeira Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 83-88
Projected total 171.3
Scheduled
Position#12
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game97.7
Esgueira
Portugal
Vs
34%
66%
■ ESGU 34%■ CAB 66%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.2/10
Below normal
CAB Madeira
Portugal
Position#10
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game86.4
PortugalLPBRound 8· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2026-27
Meetings · Esgueira v CAB Madeira
21 Nov 2026
ESGU v CAB
upcoming
08 Apr 2023
ESGU87
CAB 76
04 Feb 2023
ESGU86
CAB 87
17 Oct 2020
ESGU65
CAB 66
12 Oct 2019
ESGU82
CAB 85
05 Apr 2019
ESGU62
CAB 73
19 Jan 2019
ESGU66
CAB 77
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Esgueira host CAB Madeira in the LPB. Pythia makes CAB Madeira the favourite at 66% and projects 83-88, about 171 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Esgueira are 0-7 this season (80.3 scored, 97.7 allowed a game), form LLLLL; CAB Madeira are 1-6 this season (82.7 scored, 86.4 allowed a game), form WLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira win
33.7%fair 2.96
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CAB Madeira win
66.3%fair 1.51
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
86-85
86
85
+1
74avg 67
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
67-109
67
109
-42
58avg 67
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
66avg 67
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
28avg 67
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
60-88
60
88
-28
38avg 67
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
80avg 67
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
80-104
80
104
-24
40avg 67
A24/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
93-104
93
104
-11
75avg 67
H31/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
78-112
78
112
-34
no box
A07/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
16-23
26-20
23-15
21-27
20-30
9-25
17-27
18-25
18-23
21-19
16-18
25-16
7-25
20-17
12-26
17-20
8-23
18-23
17-22
27-25
19-24
14-22
31-24
24-23
8-32
20-24
28-25
24-23
29-26
13-34
27-21
20-23
14-25
28-27
16-37
21-41
25-13
14-15
27-18
175.1Avg total
78.8Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.397.7178.0-17.40%
Season at home (3)82.794.3177.0-11.70%
Season away (4)78.5100.2178.8-21.80%
Last 10 (10)78.896.3175.1-17.510%
Last 5 (5)87.6102.4190.0-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)80.192.6172.7-12.525%
vs Similar (6)88.392.8181.2-4.533%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadeira
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
90-72
90
72
+18
81avg 76
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
52avg 76
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
66avg 76
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 76
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
54avg 76
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
93-84
93
84
+9
90avg 76
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
82-93
82
93
-11
76avg 76
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
102avg 76
H31/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A07/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
28-20
18-19
23-18
26-26
11-22
17-17
7-13
13-30
18-18
27-21
14-21
18-14
24-17
21-25
15-27
20-21
12-18
20-19
17-15
23-22
26-20
25-20
19-22
15-26
20-22
21-18
26-27
20-21
25-24
25-24
20-21
18-20
18-23
30-20
20-27
18-11
13-29
14-12
17-17
164.7Avg total
80.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.786.4169.1-3.714%
Season at home (3)93.393.3186.7+0.033%
Season away (4)74.881.2156.0-6.50%
Last 10 (10)80.284.5164.7-4.320%
Last 5 (5)86.489.8176.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.983.3163.2-3.433%
vs Similar (12)78.876.2155.0+2.558%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.077.9161.9+6.178%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161
Over 161
73.1%
Under 161
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166
Over 166
62.0%
Under 166
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171
Over 171
49.7%
Under 171
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Esgueira total 81
Over 81
58.4%
Under 81
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esgueira total 85
Over 85
42.5%
Under 85
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esgueira total 89
Over 89
28.0%
Under 89
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CAB Madeira total 77.5
Over 77.5
84.7%
Under 77.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CAB Madeira total 81.5
Over 81.5
73.7%
Under 81.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CAB Madeira total 85.5
Over 85.5
59.5%
Under 85.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Esgueira -3
ESGU -3
25.6%
CAB +3
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
ESGU
No market prices yet.
CAB
No market prices yet.
Spread Esgueira 0
ESGU 0
33.7%
CAB 0
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
ESGU
No market prices yet.
CAB
No market prices yet.
Spread Esgueira +3
ESGU +3
42.1%
CAB -3
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
ESGU
No market prices yet.
CAB
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -3.0-3.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -3.0-3.0
EsgueiraCAB Madeira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A24/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H31/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A07/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A14/11
LPB
87.6Avg total
38.2Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.047.687.6-7.617%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.347.289.5-4.933%-
Last 30 away (15)37.748.185.7-10.40%-
Last 10 (10)38.249.487.6-11.210%-
Last 5 (5)42.251.093.2-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.448.287.6-8.915%-
vs Similar (6)40.846.787.5-5.817%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H31/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A14/11
LPB
80.6Avg total
38.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.779.4+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.936.177.9+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)39.741.080.7-1.331%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.980.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.682.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.942.183.0-1.233%-
vs Similar (12)37.736.874.5+0.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.637.882.3+6.878%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.0
47.5%
51.1%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.8
32.1%
31.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.413.1
67.5%
71.1%13.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CAB Madeiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.8
51.5%
51.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.4
36.1%
31.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
71.1%12.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLLLLLLLLW
CAB Madeira
LLLLWLLLLW
#12
League position
#10
-21.3
Net rating
+0.5
82.8
Offensive rating
92.5
104.1
Defensive rating
92.1
47.8%
Effective FG%
52.8%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.1%
3-point %
36.1%
57.0%
Assist %
64.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence82.8 · 92.5Defence104.1 · 92.1Shooting47.8% · 52.8%3-point %32.1% · 36.1%Ball care16.8% · 16.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Esgueira   ■ CAB Madeira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Esgueira wins
6
CAB Madeira wins
DateGameScore
08/04/23Esgueira v CAB Madeira87-76
11/03/23CAB Madeira v Esgueira66-58
04/02/23Esgueira v CAB Madeira86-87
19/11/22CAB Madeira v Esgueira90-93
17/01/21CAB Madeira v Esgueira91-97 OT
17/10/20Esgueira v CAB Madeira65-66
04/01/20CAB Madeira v Esgueira88-91
12/10/19Esgueira v CAB Madeira82-85
01/05/19CAB Madeira v Esgueira90-72
05/04/19Esgueira v CAB Madeira62-73
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APortimonense96-97 OT
07/11/26ABenfica78-112
31/10/26HCA Queluz93-104
24/10/26AOliveirense80-104
16/10/26HFC Porto91-95
10/10/26ASporting CP60-88
03/10/26HCD Povoa64-84
14/05/26HSporting CP73-85
10/05/26ASporting CP67-109
25/04/26AFC Porto86-85
CAB Madeiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABenfica62-69
07/11/26ACA Queluz86-90
31/10/26HOliveirense109-113 OT
25/10/26AFC Porto82-93
17/10/26HSporting CP93-84
10/10/26ACD Povoa69-73
03/10/26HVitoria78-83
31/05/26ACD Povoa72-90
30/05/26ACD Povoa61-78
24/05/26HCD Povoa90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.382.778.5
Allowed / game97.794.3100.2
Point differential-17.4-11.7-21.8
Avg total178.0177.0178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
CAB Madeira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game82.793.374.8
Allowed / game86.493.381.2
Point differential-3.7+0.0-6.5
Avg total169.1186.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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