Esgueira vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 83-78 (OT)

13-25 21-17 16-7 14-15 19-14

Position#7

Record9-15

FormLWLWL

Points / game75.9

Allowed / game82.2

Esgueira 🏆

CD Povoa

Position#5

Record12-12

FormLLWWW

Points / game73.9

Allowed / game74.4

LPB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Esgueira v CD Povoa

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

CD Povoa winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Esgueira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

70-87

-17

H04/01

LPB

Sporting CP

42-89

-47

A07/01

LPB

Lusitania

73-85

-12

A14/01

Taca de Portugal

Lusitania

#10

84-92

-8

H21/01

LPB

FC Porto

73-94

-21

A27/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

86-87

-1

H04/02

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

87-79

A15/02

LPB

Benfica

61-93

-32

H18/02

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

80-75

H04/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

58-66

-8

A11/03

LPB

20-24

18-25

14-25

18-13

11-26

12-22

9-14

10-27

17-31

16-30

20-6

20-18

20-24

19-27

27-22

18-19

24-17

13-24

14-30

22-23

23-22

21-22

19-17

23-26

23-20

17-26

26-13

21-20

20-26

13-23

12-24

16-20

25-26

29-10

8-17

18-22

17-21

12-10

16-15

13-20

156.1Avg total

71.4Scored

84.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	75.9	82.2	158.0	-6.3	38%
Season at home (12)	78.4	80.7	159.1	-2.2	50%
Season away (12)	73.3	83.7	157.0	-10.3	25%
Last 10 (10)	71.4	84.7	156.1	-13.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	80.0	154.4	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	69.8	91.7	161.5	-21.8	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	77.4	80.5	157.9	-3.1	40%
vs Weaker (8)	76.4	68.0	144.4	+8.4	100%

This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CD Povoa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

70-63

H04/01

LPB

FC Porto

69-99

-30

A07/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

78-70

H21/01

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

94-88

A28/01

LPB

Benfica

60-59

H04/02

LPB

Sporting CP

64-89

-25

H12/02

Taca de Portugal

Imortal

80-84

-4

A15/02

LPB

Oliveirense

71-61

+10

H18/02

LPB

Imortal

91-87

A04/03

LPB

Vitoria

97-84

+13

H11/03

LPB

16-16

18-19

20-16

16-12

10-24

24-22

12-31

23-22

17-10

15-16

26-18

20-26

31-20

21-26

17-21

25-21

14-19

15-11

20-16

11-13

18-22

15-24

14-25

17-18

14-25

12-19

23-21

31-19

21-10

13-15

21-25

16-11

25-20

19-33

21-17

26-17

22-16

26-24

25-22

24-22

155.8Avg total

77.4Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	73.9	74.4	148.3	-0.5	50%
Season at home (12)	72.7	67.5	140.2	+5.2	75%
Season away (12)	75.2	81.3	156.5	-6.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	78.4	155.8	-1.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	81.0	161.6	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	68.2	82.1	150.3	-13.9	10%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	76.7	74.0	150.7	+2.7	62%
vs Weaker (6)	74.3	69.7	144.0	+4.7	67%

This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EsgueiraCD Povoa

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	21.9	44.7	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	23.7	43.7	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.0	44.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	22.2	42.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.9	20.7	43.7	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.4	16.9	37.2	+3.5	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.0	39.5	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	17.7	36.4	+1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	22.7	42.9	-2.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.2	23.9	42.1	-5.7	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	46%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.3	15.2	36.5	+6.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	20.3	37.5	-3.1	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.0	20.1	36.1	-4.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	21.9	38.9	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.2	23.5	39.7	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	16.4	20.0	36.4	-3.6	13%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.5	17.2	36.8	+2.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.9	36.8	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.9	38.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	16.5	18.4	34.8	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	33%	-

EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

38-49

-11

H04/01

LPB

Sporting CP

23-48

-25

A07/01

LPB

Lusitania

33-61

-28

A14/01

Taca de Portugal

Lusitania

#10

39-51

-12

H21/01

LPB

FC Porto

37-41

-4

A27/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

44-44

H04/02

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

40-46

-6

A15/02

LPB

Benfica

33-49

-16

H18/02

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

54-36

+18

H04/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

29-31

-2

A11/03

LPB

82.6Avg total

37.0Scored

45.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	40.6	79.4	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	42.4	83.7	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	39.1	75.6	-2.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	45.6	82.6	-8.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	41.2	81.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.7	45.7	82.3	-9.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.3	40.7	80.1	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.9	34.1	74.0	+5.8	75%	-

This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

34-35

-1

H04/01

LPB

FC Porto

34-46

-12

A07/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

32-26

H21/01

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

52-46

A28/01

LPB

Benfica

29-30

-1

H04/02

LPB

Sporting CP

33-46

-13

H12/02

Taca de Portugal

Imortal

26-44

-18

A15/02

LPB

Oliveirense

34-25

H18/02

LPB

Imortal

44-53

-9

A04/03

LPB

Vitoria

48-40

H11/03

LPB

75.7Avg total

36.6Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	38.9	76.3	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.4	34.7	71.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	43.7	82.3	-5.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	39.1	75.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	41.6	78.6	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.0	43.3	80.3	-6.3	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	36.1	37.7	73.8	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.0	35.2	75.2	+4.8	67%	-

This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	18.9	35.8	-2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.5	17.9	34.4	-1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	19.9	37.1	-2.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	18.3	34.8	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.2	33.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	14.8	23.5	38.3	-8.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.3	20.7	38.1	-3.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.1	13.8	30.9	+3.4	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.1	36.9	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	18.4	35.5	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.6	21.5	38.1	-4.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (6)	15.2	17.7	32.8	-2.5	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	17.5	35.6	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	21.5	42.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.8	38.7	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.3	22.5	40.8	-4.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.3	18.5	38.9	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.4	19.8	38.1	-1.4	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	17.5	35.6	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.0	15.4	32.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.4	40.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	14.6	17.3	31.9	-2.7	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	38.6	74.8	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.6	35.4	69.9	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	41.4	79.1	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	39.1	73.5	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	38.8	73.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.2	46.0	79.2	-12.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.7	39.3	76.9	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	35.5	33.5	69.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	36.5	72.5	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.6	35.0	70.6	+0.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.5	38.3	74.8	-1.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	39.3	80.1	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	39.4	83.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	31.2	38.8	70.0	-7.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.6	36.3	76.9	+4.3	77%	-
vs Weaker (6)	34.3	34.5	68.8	-0.2	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Esgueira wins

CD Povoa wins

Date	Game	Score
22/12/22	CD Povoa v Esgueira	63-52
05/10/22	Esgueira v CD Povoa	67-66

Esgueiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/23	A	CAB Madeira	58-66
04/03/23	H	Sangalhos	80-75
18/02/23	H	Benfica	61-93
15/02/23	A	Sangalhos	87-79
04/02/23	H	CAB Madeira	86-87
27/01/23	A	FC Porto	73-94
21/01/23	H	Lusitania	84-92
14/01/23	A	Lusitania	73-85
07/01/23	A	Sporting CP	42-89
04/01/23	H	Ovarense	70-87

CD Povoalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/23	H	Vitoria	97-84
04/03/23	A	Imortal	91-87
18/02/23	H	Oliveirense	71-61
15/02/23	A	Imortal	80-84
12/02/23	H	Sporting CP	64-89
04/02/23	H	Benfica	60-59
28/01/23	A	Sangalhos	94-88
21/01/23	H	CAB Madeira	78-70
07/01/23	A	FC Porto	69-99
04/01/23	H	Lusitania	70-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	38%
Home	LLLLW	50%
Away	LLLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	38%	50%	25%
Points / game	75.9	78.4	73.3
Allowed / game	82.2	80.7	83.7
Point differential	-6.3	-2.2	-10.3
Avg total	158.0	159.1	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	60% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

CD Povoa

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	50%
Home	WWWWW	75%
Away	LLWLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	50%	75%	25%
Points / game	73.9	72.7	75.2
Allowed / game	74.4	67.5	81.3
Point differential	-0.5	+5.2	-6.2
Avg total	148.3	140.2	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	100% (2)	33% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	24	20	4	83%	91.5	78.1	+13.4
2	Benfica	25	20	5	80%	91.6	76.0	+15.6
3	FC Porto	24	19	5	79%	87.2	76.1	+11.1
4	Oliveirense	25	15	10	60%	76.6	76.0	+0.6
5	CD Povoa	24	12	12	50%	73.9	74.4	-0.5
6	Ovarense	24	12	12	50%	77.8	80.5	-2.7
7	Lusitania	24	11	13	46%	79.4	83.8	-4.4
8	Imortal	25	10	15	40%	77.5	79.8	-2.4
9	Vitoria	25	10	15	40%	87.3	89.7	-2.4
10	Esgueira	24	9	15	38%	75.9	82.2	-6.3
11	CAB Madeira	24	7	17	29%	79.4	84.9	-5.5
12	Sangalhos	24	1	23	4%	70.2	87.2	-17.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Esgueira	13	21	16	14	19	83
CD Povoa	25	17	7	15	14	78

← all games of the day

Esgueira vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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