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Esgueira vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 72-80
18-21 12-19 23-21 19-19
Position#9
Record1-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Position#6
Record4-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game86.0
PortugalLPBRound 11· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2023-24
Meetings · Esgueira v CD Povoa
03 Oct 2026
ESGU64
CD P84
25 Jan 2025
ESGU93
CD P80
28 Dec 2023
ESGU72
CD P80
18 Mar 2023
ESGU83
CD P78
05 Oct 2022
ESGU67
CD P66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Galomar
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 64
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
66-96
66
96
-30
49avg 64
H21/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
82-106
82
106
-24
66avg 64
A27/10
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
63-69
63
69
-6
50avg 64
A05/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
57avg 64
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 64
H18/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
56avg 64
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
68-105
68
105
-37
56avg 64
H02/12
LPB
Vitoria
#13
W
78-66
78
66
+12
79avg 64
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Lusitania
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 64
A16/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
24-14
16-23
25-15
17-17
13-23
22-30
14-26
15-23
21-28
15-27
31-28
15-13
13-14
13-22
22-20
21-16
20-26
13-24
17-13
28-21
24-16
16-16
16-21
20-15
15-28
19-18
17-14
18-24
9-33
21-27
20-21
23-29
22-7
13-16
20-14
21-16
14-32
25-21
23-20
158.6Avg total
75.3Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.788.3161.0-15.610%
Season at home (4)70.087.2157.2-17.225%
Season away (6)74.589.0163.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)75.383.3158.6-8.030%
Last 5 (5)76.881.8158.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.193.6159.7-27.40%
vs Similar (15)79.781.3160.9-1.640%
vs Weaker (4)83.281.0164.2+2.275%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#6
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
93-95
93
95
-2
87avg 71
A21/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
80-104
80
104
-24
65avg 71
H28/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
100-73
100
73
+27
99avg 71
A04/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 71
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
W
83-74 OT
83
74
+9
no box
A18/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
no box
H25/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
75-104
75
104
-29
59avg 71
A01/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
77avg 71
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
58-83
58
83
-25
50avg 71
H16/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
23-18
17-27
20-19
23-31
19-20
24-22
27-22
19-30
9-28
19-16
33-30
22-27
29-20
23-14
26-12
16-21
26-20
24-13
13-17
24-17
19-11
6-17
12-16
19-17
15-16
11-17
24-19
15-21
15-33
32-23
13-27
17-19
28-25
24-18
19-22
15-18
21-20
12-22
10-23
168.2Avg total
82.8Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.886.0166.8-5.240%
Season at home (5)73.886.2160.0-12.420%
Season away (5)87.885.8173.6+2.060%
Last 10 (10)82.885.4168.2-2.650%
Last 5 (5)77.083.8160.8-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.390.6159.9-21.211%
vs Similar (12)81.276.9158.2+4.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.476.2160.6+8.162%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
EsgueiraCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H21/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A27/10
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A05/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H18/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
27-57
27
57
-30
H02/12
LPB
Vitoria
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Lusitania
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A16/12
LPB
79.2Avg total
37.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.343.081.4-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.642.283.9-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)35.443.879.2-8.36%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.779.2-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.283.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.345.077.3-12.70%-
vs Similar (15)40.940.981.9+0.040%-
vs Weaker (4)41.843.885.5-2.025%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A21/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
28-58
28
58
-30
H28/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A04/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A18/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A01/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H16/12
LPB
82.4Avg total
39.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.079.6-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.938.575.4-1.638%-
Last 30 away (14)40.443.984.4-3.550%-
Last 10 (10)39.542.982.4-3.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.477.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.846.480.2-12.70%-
vs Similar (12)39.238.377.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.238.680.9+3.675%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.622.1
50.7%
51.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.1
28.8%
33.5%18.3
🏀 Free throws19.812.5
63.1%
69.3%12.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.5
52.8%
51.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.8
34.8%
33.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.614.2
62.8%
69.3%14.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LWLLWLLLLW
CD Povoa
LWLWWWWLLL
#9
League position
#6
-9.9
Net rating
-5.8
99.4
Offensive rating
101.3
109.3
Defensive rating
107.1
48.2%
Effective FG%
52.6%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
21.6%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
28.8%
3-point %
34.8%
50.4%
Assist %
46.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 101.3Defence109.3 · 107.1Shooting48.2% · 52.6%3-point %28.8% · 34.8%Ball care16.9% · 21.6%Off. rebounds27.9% · 29.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Esgueira   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Esgueira wins
3
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23CD Povoa v Esgueira79-71
16/04/23CD Povoa v Esgueira75-60
18/03/23Esgueira v CD Povoa83-78 OT
22/12/22CD Povoa v Esgueira63-52
05/10/22Esgueira v CD Povoa67-66
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ALusitania83-89
09/12/23HVitoria78-66
02/12/23HSporting CP68-105
25/11/23AOvarense71-75
18/11/23HGalomar84-74
11/11/23ACD Povoa71-79
05/11/23AImortal63-69
27/10/23AFC Porto82-106
21/10/23HVitoria66-96
14/10/23HGalomar87-74
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HBenfica58-83
10/12/23HCA Queluz88-84
01/12/23AOliveirense75-104
25/11/23HPortimonense81-74 OT
18/11/23AVitoria83-74 OT
11/11/23HEsgueira79-71
04/11/23ALusitania100-73
28/10/23HSporting CP80-104
21/10/23AOvarense93-95
14/10/23AOvarense91-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL10%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %10%25%0%
Points / game72.770.074.5
Allowed / game88.387.289.0
Point differential-15.6-17.2-14.5
Avg total161.0157.2163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%20%60%
Points / game80.873.887.8
Allowed / game86.086.285.8
Point differential-5.2-12.4+2.0
Avg total166.8160.0173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %20%20%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto109190%87.673.0+14.6
2 Sporting CP119282%94.483.2+11.2
3 Oliveirense97278%80.474.9+5.6
4 Benfica107370%88.266.9+21.3
5 Vitoria116555%79.979.1+0.8
6 Ovarense105550%75.277.7-2.5
7 Portimonense105550%72.675.4-2.8
8 CD Povoa104640%80.886.0-5.2
9 Imortal104640%74.582.6-8.1
10 Galomar113827%73.879.2-5.4
11 Lusitania101910%73.187.1-14.0
12 Esgueira101910%72.788.3-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira1812231972
CD Povoa2119211980
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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