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Esgueira vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 93-80
19-12 28-12 23-34 23-22
Position#8
Record5-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Position#10
Record3-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game79.1
PortugalLPBRound 13· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2024-25
Meetings · Esgueira v CD Povoa
03 Oct 2026
ESGU64
CD P84
25 Jan 2025
ESGU93
CD P80
28 Dec 2023
ESGU72
CD P80
18 Mar 2023
ESGU83
CD P78
05 Oct 2022
ESGU67
CD P66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
72avg 67
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 67
A16/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
63avg 67
A30/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
100-91
100
91
+9
102avg 67
H07/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
69avg 67
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
78avg 67
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
57avg 67
A21/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
76avg 67
A04/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
86-101
86
101
-15
75avg 67
A11/01
LPB
Ovarense
#7
L
81-92
81
92
-11
81avg 67
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
23-27
17-25
26-22
18-18
23-27
21-21
15-27
25-22
8-23
28-16
12-12
18-21
30-20
27-27
25-23
19-29
21-16
25-25
18-24
19-18
28-20
17-23
16-19
22-25
23-19
15-22
13-18
15-8
24-21
18-19
10-19
18-20
24-35
18-20
26-26
23-27
13-27
26-16
19-22
175.3Avg total
84.6Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.287.3170.5-4.145%
Season at home (4)85.286.5171.8-1.250%
Season away (7)82.087.7169.7-5.743%
Last 10 (10)84.690.7175.3-6.130%
Last 5 (5)83.490.8174.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.987.1161.1-13.225%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.982.7165.6+0.260%
vs Weaker (3)84.377.3161.7+7.033%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Galomar
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
82avg 66
H16/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
80avg 66
H30/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
66-68
66
68
-2
52avg 66
H07/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 66
A15/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
72-94
72
94
-22
63avg 66
A18/12
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
65avg 66
H22/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
53-92
53
92
-39
35avg 66
A29/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
66avg 66
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
53-93
53
93
-40
44avg 66
H11/01
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
60-82
60
82
-22
47avg 66
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
15-23
19-16
21-17
22-25
23-8
16-28
12-12
20-24
19-11
14-11
13-22
19-21
21-11
21-29
17-14
22-15
16-25
12-28
22-26
22-21
15-13
11-23
27-22
18-19
15-22
14-21
6-30
17-24
13-17
21-17
21-14
7-22
14-20
18-23
14-28
12-23
18-23
19-15
11-21
152.3Avg total
70.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.879.1149.8-8.325%
Season at home (7)72.379.3151.6-7.014%
Season away (5)68.678.8147.4-10.240%
Last 10 (10)70.082.3152.3-12.320%
Last 5 (5)64.286.0150.2-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.783.1156.8-9.432%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.382.7161.0-4.333%
vs Weaker (4)85.882.0167.8+3.875%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -4.2-4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -4.2-4.2
EsgueiraCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A16/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A30/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H07/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A04/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A11/01
LPB
Ovarense
#7
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
85.5Avg total
41.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.279.1-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.641.179.7-2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)37.241.378.5-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.285.5-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.085.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.642.578.1-6.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.239.380.5+1.970%-
vs Weaker (3)39.736.776.3+3.067%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H30/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/12
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H22/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A29/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
21-42
21
42
-21
H11/01
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
73.7Avg total
35.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.079.3-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.639.177.7-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.942.780.6-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)35.438.373.7-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)30.240.871.0-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.639.677.2-2.147%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.740.279.8-0.567%-
vs Weaker (4)41.247.889.0-6.50%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.6
50.5%
51.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.9
31.6%
32.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.517.7
72.2%
69.2%17.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.3
50.1%
51.2%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.2
26.7%
32.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.513.0
60.5%
69.2%13.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLWLLLWWLL
CD Povoa
LLLLLLWLLW
#8
League position
#10
-8.7
Net rating
-16.2
105.9
Offensive rating
90.9
114.7
Defensive rating
107.1
49.2%
Effective FG%
45.7%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
14.6%
Turnover %
21.3%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.6%
3-point %
26.7%
55.4%
Assist %
57.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 90.9Defence114.7 · 107.1Shooting49.2% · 45.7%3-point %31.6% · 26.7%Ball care14.6% · 21.3%Off. rebounds24.6% · 27.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Esgueira   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Esgueira wins
4
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24CD Povoa v Esgueira82-84 OT
27/04/24CD Povoa v Esgueira82-88
28/12/23Esgueira v CD Povoa72-80
11/11/23CD Povoa v Esgueira79-71
16/04/23CD Povoa v Esgueira75-60
18/03/23Esgueira v CD Povoa83-78 OT
22/12/22CD Povoa v Esgueira63-52
05/10/22Esgueira v CD Povoa67-66
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HOvarense81-92
11/01/25AGalitos Barreiro86-101
04/01/25AOvarense89-81 OT
21/12/24AGalomar73-84
17/12/24HOliveirense88-96 OT
14/12/24AFC Porto83-94
07/12/24HImortal100-91
30/11/24ACD Povoa84-82 OT
16/11/24AOliveirense77-93
09/11/24HBenfica85-93
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25AFC Porto60-82
11/01/25HFC Porto53-93
04/01/25HImortal80-84 OT
29/12/24AOliveirense53-92
22/12/24HBenfica75-79
18/12/24AVitoria72-94
15/12/24AVitoria78-75
07/12/24HSporting CP66-68
30/11/24HEsgueira82-84 OT
16/11/24HGalomar81-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%50%43%
Points / game83.285.282.0
Allowed / game87.386.587.7
Point differential-4.1-1.2-5.7
Avg total170.5171.8169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %18%0%29%
CD Povoa
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %25%14%40%
Points / game70.872.368.6
Allowed / game79.179.378.8
Point differential-8.3-7.0-10.2
Avg total149.8151.6147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %17%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica13130100%90.274.2+15.9
2 FC Porto1211192%86.975.4+11.5
3 Ovarense128467%79.477.4+2.0
4 Oliveirense138562%87.479.3+8.1
5 Sporting CP138562%82.677.3+5.3
6 Esgueira115645%83.287.3-4.1
7 Galitos Barreiro135838%77.579.1-1.5
8 Imortal135838%77.186.1-9.0
9 CA Queluz123925%81.287.8-6.5
10 Vitoria123925%77.584.0-6.5
11 CD Povoa123925%70.879.1-8.3
12 Galomar1221017%72.881.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira1928232393
CD Povoa1212342280
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