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Esgueira vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 64-84
25-16 7-25 20-17 12-26
Position#12
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Esgueira
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
Position#5
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalLPBRound 1· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2026-27
Meetings · Esgueira v CD Povoa
03 Oct 2026
ESGU64
CD P84
25 Jan 2025
ESGU93
CD P80
28 Dec 2023
ESGU72
CD P80
18 Mar 2023
ESGU83
CD P78
05 Oct 2022
ESGU67
CD P66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Braga
#7
L
76-97
76
97
-21
58avg 73
H21/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
84-98
84
98
-14
69avg 73
A14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 73
H21/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
79-95
79
95
-16
72avg 73
A28/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
97-83 OT
97
83
+14
89avg 73
H04/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
76avg 73
A11/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
65-107
65
107
-42
50avg 73
H18/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
86-85
86
85
+1
74avg 73
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
67-109
67
109
-42
58avg 73
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
66avg 73
H14/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
19-19
19-26
20-21
20-23
22-19
21-35
21-21
21-25
17-24
26-25
29-14
10-27
23-23
23-21
23-24
19-21
22-15
19-22
18-20
17-21
15-23
30-29
25-20
25-25
13-31
17-31
10-20
21-27
16-23
26-20
23-15
21-27
20-30
9-25
17-27
18-25
18-23
21-19
16-18
174.7Avg total
80.7Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.794.0174.7-13.330%
Last 5 (5)75.695.8171.4-20.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.991.2170.1-12.231%
vs Similar (10)85.990.0175.9-4.130%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
87-77
87
77
+10
80avg 75
A04/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 75
H18/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 75
A25/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
71-66
71
66
+5
57avg 75
H01/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
77avg 75
A09/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
68-71 OT
68
71
-3
54avg 75
H16/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
82avg 75
H17/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
59avg 75
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
71avg 75
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
90-72
90
72
+18
77avg 75
H31/05
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
19-19
18-14
30-14
23-25
23-20
22-14
13-16
12-23
19-9
22-18
20-25
25-17
13-20
12-11
21-18
17-16
23-27
18-20
23-18
22-20
15-17
14-13
8-9
23-19
21-26
18-16
21-22
15-21
20-28
19-18
18-23
26-26
22-11
17-17
13-7
30-13
18-18
21-27
21-14
156.6Avg total
80.3Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.376.3156.6+4.070%
Last 5 (5)79.676.0155.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)82.969.6152.5+13.383%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
EsgueiraCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braga
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H21/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H21/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A28/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H18/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/05
LPB
85.7Avg total
37.5Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.246.888.0-5.623%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.447.289.6-4.938%-
Last 30 away (14)39.946.386.2-6.47%-
Last 10 (10)37.548.285.7-10.710%-
Last 5 (5)36.851.087.8-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.248.088.2-7.819%-
vs Similar (10)42.645.187.7-2.530%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A04/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H18/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A25/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H01/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A09/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H16/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H31/05
Proliga
81.1Avg total
40.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.936.077.9+5.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.435.480.9+10.075%-
Last 30 away (14)37.936.774.6+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.581.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.882.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)41.936.077.9+5.960%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.8
50.4%
51.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.7
34.4%
31.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.712.6
67.4%
71.6%12.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.4
47.3%
51.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.7
30.2%
31.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.914.3
62.4%
71.6%14.3
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLWLLWLWLL
CD Povoa
WWLWLWWLWW
#12
League position
#5
-13.5
Net rating
+3.2
86.7
Offensive rating
86.1
100.2
Defensive rating
82.9
51.0%
Effective FG%
46.5%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
13.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.4%
3-point %
30.2%
59.6%
Assist %
55.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence86.7 · 86.1Defence100.2 · 82.9Shooting51.0% · 46.5%3-point %34.4% · 30.2%Ball care17.0% · 13.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Esgueira   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Esgueira wins
4
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Esgueira v CD Povoa93-80
30/11/24CD Povoa v Esgueira82-84 OT
27/04/24CD Povoa v Esgueira82-88
28/12/23Esgueira v CD Povoa72-80
11/11/23CD Povoa v Esgueira79-71
16/04/23CD Povoa v Esgueira75-60
18/03/23Esgueira v CD Povoa83-78 OT
22/12/22CD Povoa v Esgueira63-52
05/10/22Esgueira v CD Povoa67-66
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/26HSporting CP73-85
10/05/26ASporting CP67-109
25/04/26AFC Porto86-85
18/04/26HBenfica65-107
11/04/26AVitoria87-93
04/04/26HImortal97-83 OT
28/03/26ASporting CP79-95
21/03/26HOliveirense93-88
14/03/26AVasco Da Gama84-98
21/02/26HBraga76-97
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/26HCAB Madeira90-72
30/05/26HCAB Madeira78-61
24/05/26ACAB Madeira72-90
17/05/26HPortimonense90-86 OT
16/05/26HPortimonense68-71 OT
09/05/26APortimonense93-90 OT
01/05/26HPortimonense71-66
25/04/26AMaia73-75
18/04/26HCAB Madeira81-75
04/04/26AGinasio87-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
CD Povoa
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto110100%110.093.0+17.0
2 Benfica110100%84.071.0+13.0
3 Ovarense110100%96.083.0+13.0
4 Oliveirense110100%91.082.0+9.0
5 Vitoria110100%83.078.0+5.0
6 CAB Madeira1010%78.083.0-5.0
7 Portimonense1010%82.091.0-9.0
8 Braga1010%83.096.0-13.0
9 Sporting CP1010%71.084.0-13.0
10 CA Queluz1010%93.0110.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira257201264
CD Povoa1625172684
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