Esgueira vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 May 2021

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 85-92 (OT)

24-20 18-26 21-17 14-14 8-15

Position#12

Record8-21

FormLWWLL

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game82.0

Esgueira

Ovarense 🏆

Position#10

Record11-18

FormLLLWW

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game84.1

LPBLPB - Final

Other2020-21

Meetings · Esgueira v Ovarense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ovarense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Esgueira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

75-79

-4

A07/03

LPB

Benfica

77-92

-15

H13/03

LPB

Ovarense

#10

73-85

-12

H18/03

LPB

Sporting CP

68-97

-29

A21/03

LPB

FC Porto

64-96

-32

H27/03

Taca de Portugal

Oliveirense

68-82

-14

H03/04

LPB

Galitos

#11

92-74

+18

A17/04

LPB

Ovarense

#10

82-75

A23/04

LPB

Ovarense

#10

63-73

-10

A25/04

LPB

Ovarense

#10

92-103

103

-11

H30/04

LPB

18-20

24-22

16-20

17-17

14-23

17-18

24-26

22-25

20-22

16-16

21-23

16-24

16-22

16-26

24-25

12-24

15-29

15-22

14-21

20-24

15-28

23-20

15-16

15-18

29-20

22-15

19-23

22-16

15-17

18-18

25-17

24-23

20-15

11-16

12-17

20-25

20-27

31-23

16-29

25-24

161.0Avg total

75.4Scored

85.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	76.2	82.0	158.2	-5.8	28%
Season at home (14)	75.4	80.3	155.7	-4.9	21%
Season away (15)	76.9	83.6	160.5	-6.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	85.6	161.0	-10.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	81.4	160.8	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	68.8	85.7	154.5	-16.8	0%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	80.0	79.8	159.8	+0.2	46%
vs Weaker (3)	85.7	79.0	164.7	+6.7	67%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

103-101

103

101

A05/03

LPB

Benfica

76-91

-15

H08/03

LPB

Imortal

95-76

+19

A13/03

LPB

Esgueira

#12

85-73

+12

A18/03

LPB

Academica

93-75

+18

H21/03

LPB

Sporting CP

92-97

-5

H03/04

LPB

Vitoria

108-118 OT

108

118

-10

H17/04

LPB

Esgueira

#12

75-82

-7

H23/04

LPB

Esgueira

#12

73-63

+10

H25/04

LPB

Esgueira

#12

103-92

103

+11

A30/04

LPB

18-31

27-16

29-25

29-29

22-21

20-27

22-18

12-25

24-11

32-22

22-16

17-27

22-20

16-16

23-21

24-16

30-12

15-22

19-15

29-26

16-18

19-20

30-21

27-38

15-21

21-17

23-23

22-20

17-15

18-18

17-25

23-24

15-20

16-11

17-12

25-20

27-20

23-31

29-16

24-25

177.1Avg total

90.3Scored

86.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	80.6	84.1	164.7	-3.6	38%
Season at home (15)	80.7	83.4	164.1	-2.7	33%
Season away (14)	80.5	84.9	165.4	-4.4	43%
Last 10 (10)	90.3	86.8	177.1	+3.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.2	90.4	180.6	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	71.1	86.0	157.1	-14.9	8%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	85.3	85.1	170.4	+0.2	45%
vs Weaker (6)	91.0	78.7	169.7	+12.3	83%

This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EsgueiraOvarense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	22.0	41.5	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	22.1	41.8	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	22.0	41.1	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	22.3	40.5	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.8	24.4	41.2	-7.6	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	27.3	18.7	46.0	+8.7	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.1	39.1	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	64%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.3	22.1	39.4	-4.8	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.4	20.3	38.7	-1.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	24.0	43.7	-4.3	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.9	38.9	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.9	21.5	40.4	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.9	18.7	37.6	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.3	33%	-

EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

42-42

A07/03

LPB

Benfica

31-41

-10

H13/03

LPB

Ovarense

#10

36-38

-2

H18/03

LPB

Sporting CP

32-48

-16

A21/03

LPB

FC Porto

30-51

-21

H27/03

Taca de Portugal

Oliveirense

38-48

-10

H03/04

LPB

Galitos

#11

51-35

+16

A17/04

LPB

Ovarense

#10

33-35

-2

A23/04

LPB

Ovarense

#10

31-31

A25/04

LPB

Ovarense

#10

51-50

H30/04

LPB

79.4Avg total

37.5Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	43.4	81.3	-5.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.8	43.4	82.1	-4.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	43.4	80.3	-6.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	41.9	79.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	39.8	80.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	34.1	46.5	80.5	-12.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.5	40.5	79.0	-2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.0	42.7	89.7	+4.3	100%	-

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

45-47

-2

A05/03

LPB

Benfica

42-48

-6

H08/03

LPB

Imortal

56-33

+23

A13/03

LPB

Esgueira

#12

38-36

A18/03

LPB

Academica

45-34

+11

H21/03

LPB

Sporting CP

35-38

-3

H03/04

LPB

Vitoria

36-38

-2

H17/04

LPB

Esgueira

#12

35-33

H23/04

LPB

Esgueira

#12

31-31

H25/04

LPB

Esgueira

#12

50-51

-1

A30/04

LPB

80.2Avg total

41.3Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	40.6	80.5	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	39.1	77.9	-0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.8	42.2	83.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	38.9	80.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	38.2	75.6	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	35.9	40.5	76.4	-4.6	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	39.7	38.6	78.4	+1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	48.0	41.8	89.8	+6.2	67%	-

This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.3	37.3	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	18.0	35.1	-0.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	20.7	39.9	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.7	40.3	-3.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.2	19.7	36.8	-2.5	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.7	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	19.2	42.3	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.4	42.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.2	21.0	38.2	-3.8	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.0	17.7	39.7	+4.3	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.8	37.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	18.8	37.1	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.6	19.5	37.2	-1.9	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.6	42.7	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	22.7	43.3	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	22.6	42.1	-3.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	25.0	48.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	25.4	49.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.0	24.5	42.5	-6.5	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.8	23.1	44.9	-1.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	38.1	75.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.5	36.8	72.2	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	39.6	78.6	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	43.7	81.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	41.6	80.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	34.8	39.2	74.0	-4.5	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.7	37.5	76.2	+1.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	36.3	75.0	+2.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	42.6	82.4	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	41.9	81.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	43.3	82.9	-3.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	44.2	90.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	44.8	92.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	35.2	45.5	80.7	-10.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	43.1	43.1	86.2	+0.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.0	36.8	79.8	+6.2	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Esgueira wins

Ovarense wins

Date	Game	Score
30/04/21	Esgueira v Ovarense	92-103
25/04/21	Ovarense v Esgueira	73-63
23/04/21	Ovarense v Esgueira	75-82
18/03/21	Esgueira v Ovarense	73-85
13/12/20	Ovarense v Esgueira	71-99
07/12/19	Esgueira v Ovarense	87-59
02/02/19	Esgueira v Ovarense	75-86
10/11/18	Ovarense v Esgueira	77-85

Esgueiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/21	H	Ovarense	92-103
25/04/21	A	Ovarense	63-73
23/04/21	A	Ovarense	82-75
17/04/21	A	Galitos	92-74
03/04/21	H	Oliveirense	68-82
27/03/21	H	FC Porto	64-96
21/03/21	A	Sporting CP	68-97
18/03/21	H	Ovarense	73-85
13/03/21	H	Benfica	77-92
07/03/21	A	Lusitania	75-79

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/21	A	Esgueira	103-92
25/04/21	H	Esgueira	73-63
23/04/21	H	Esgueira	75-82
17/04/21	H	Vitoria	108-118 OT
03/04/21	H	Sporting CP	92-97
21/03/21	H	Academica	93-75
18/03/21	A	Esgueira	85-73
13/03/21	A	Imortal	95-76
08/03/21	H	Benfica	76-91
05/03/21	A	CAB Madeira	103-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira

LPB 2020-21

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	28%
Home	LLLLL	21%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	28%	21%	33%
Points / game	76.2	75.4	76.9
Allowed / game	82.0	80.3	83.6
Point differential	-5.8	-4.9	-6.7
Avg total	158.2	155.7	160.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	14%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	12% (8)	0% (3)	20% (5)
Overtime %	10%	7%	13%

Ovarense

LPB 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	38%
Home	WLLLW	33%
Away	LWWWW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	38%	33%	43%
Points / game	80.6	80.7	80.5
Allowed / game	84.1	83.4	84.9
Point differential	-3.6	-2.7	-4.4
Avg total	164.7	164.1	165.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	33%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (2)	40% (5)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	30	26	4	87%	88.5	70.4	+18.1
2	FC Porto	30	25	5	83%	83.9	68.5	+15.4
3	Imortal	29	23	6	79%	86.0	76.8	+9.2
4	Benfica	30	22	8	73%	89.8	78.3	+11.5
5	Oliveirense	30	20	10	67%	85.0	77.4	+7.6
6	Lusitania	29	17	12	59%	83.0	81.7	+1.2
7	Vitoria	30	13	17	43%	78.8	82.7	-3.9
8	CAB Madeira	30	13	17	43%	81.8	86.7	-4.9
9	Academica	29	12	17	41%	78.1	82.0	-4.0
10	Ovarense	29	11	18	38%	80.6	84.1	-3.6
11	Esgueira	29	8	21	28%	76.2	82.0	-5.8
12	Galitos	29	8	21	28%	76.1	85.5	-9.4
13	Maia	26	3	23	12%	72.3	87.2	-14.9
14	Barreirense	26	2	24	8%	70.8	92.8	-22.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Esgueira	24	18	21	14	8	85
Ovarense	20	26	17	14	15	92

← all games of the day

Esgueira vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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