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Esgueira vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 81-82
13-21 25-15 19-21 24-25
Position#9
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game94.0
PortugalTaca da Liga· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2024
Meetings · Esgueira v Ovarense
03 Apr 2027
ESGU v OVAR
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
ESGU76
OVAR79
26 Apr 2025
ESGU84
OVAR85
19 Jan 2025
ESGU81
OVAR92
06 Apr 2024
ESGU85
OVAR82
30 Mar 2024
ESGU81
OVAR82
04 Jan 2023
ESGU70
OVAR87
02 May 2021
ESGU85
OVAR92
30 Apr 2021
ESGU92
OVAR103
18 Mar 2021
ESGU73
OVAR85
07 Dec 2019
ESGU87
OVAR59
02 Feb 2019
ESGU75
OVAR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#11
W
85-68
85
68
+17
84avg 61
H06/01
LPB
Imortal
#4
L
68-95
68
95
-27
51avg 61
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
60avg 61
A20/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
60avg 61
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
51avg 61
H03/02
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
78-60
78
60
+18
72avg 61
A10/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
53-77
53
77
-24
37avg 61
A14/02
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
45-104
45
104
-59
25avg 61
H02/03
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
76-92
76
92
-16
66avg 61
H09/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
75avg 61
A23/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
28-16
16-20
15-17
9-22
17-22
21-22
21-29
8-20
20-23
18-25
27-23
27-17
12-21
16-16
14-24
17-31
14-11
14-34
19-24
23-11
8-17
27-16
20-16
17-27
17-7
12-27
7-16
9-24
7-32
17-21
12-27
26-19
16-30
13-24
21-19
20-23
14-10
25-10
21-25
152.4Avg total
69.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.077.0147.0-7.025%
Season at home (2)78.076.0154.0+2.050%
Season away (2)62.078.0140.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)69.183.3152.4-14.230%
Last 5 (5)66.480.2146.6-13.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.289.4156.6-22.17%
vs Similar (13)81.279.3160.5+1.854%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)83.085.0168.0-2.050%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
W
80-78
80
78
+2
81avg 74
H30/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
91-90
91
90
+1
96avg 74
H06/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
96avg 74
A20/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
74-98
74
98
-24
62avg 74
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
99-70
99
70
+29
104avg 74
H03/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 74
A10/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 74
H17/02
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
93-66
93
66
+27
90avg 74
H02/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
76-73
76
73
+3
75avg 74
A09/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 74
H23/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
17-21
22-16
15-20
29-26
17-23
21-17
24-24
23-18
13-26
27-18
28-24
13-25
19-19
22-26
20-28
31-8
13-18
32-23
23-21
18-16
23-19
16-29
19-23
21-18
14-24
23-24
22-10
26-24
21-18
23-13
23-11
21-18
20-14
16-17
19-24
20-25
24-20
16-21
19-21
165.0Avg total
83.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.594.0170.5-17.550%
Season at home (3)82.088.3170.3-6.367%
Season away (1)60.0111.0171.0-51.00%
Last 10 (10)83.981.1165.0+2.870%
Last 5 (5)80.877.8158.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.986.8158.6-14.931%
vs Similar (4)80.580.0160.5+0.575%
vs Weaker (9)82.274.8157.0+7.478%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
EsgueiraOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#11
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H06/01
LPB
Imortal
#4
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A20/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H03/02
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A10/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A14/02
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
16-56
16
56
-40
H02/03
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H09/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A23/03
LPB
73.3Avg total
33.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.941.178.1-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.441.781.1-2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)34.540.675.1-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)33.539.873.3-6.340%-
Last 5 (5)31.440.071.4-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.942.373.2-11.414%-
vs Similar (13)42.839.582.3+3.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)36.546.583.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H06/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A20/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H03/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A10/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H17/02
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H02/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A09/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H23/03
LPB
81.0Avg total
40.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.079.2-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.242.182.3-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)36.239.976.1-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.181.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.280.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.243.178.3-7.812%-
vs Similar (4)41.840.882.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker (9)41.836.378.1+5.489%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.116.4
45.4%
51.1%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.4
30.0%
32.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.913.1
69.3%
69.0%13.1
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.0
55.4%
51.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.2
38.1%
32.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.016.5
75.0%
69.0%16.5
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
WLLLWLLLLW
Ovarense
LWWWLWLWWW
#9
League position
#6
-19.7
Net rating
+5.6
90.1
Offensive rating
108.9
109.8
Defensive rating
103.2
45.2%
Effective FG%
56.2%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
19.3%
Turnover %
22.5%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.0%
3-point %
38.1%
55.9%
Assist %
73.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 108.9Defence109.8 · 103.2Shooting45.2% · 56.2%3-point %30.0% · 38.1%Ball care19.3% · 22.5%Off. rebounds22.5% · 31.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Esgueira   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Esgueira wins
7
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
25/11/23Ovarense v Esgueira75-71
04/01/23Esgueira v Ovarense70-87
15/10/22Ovarense v Esgueira94-84
02/05/21Esgueira v Ovarense85-92 OT
30/04/21Esgueira v Ovarense92-103
25/04/21Ovarense v Esgueira73-63
23/04/21Ovarense v Esgueira75-82
18/03/21Esgueira v Ovarense73-85
13/12/20Ovarense v Esgueira71-99
07/12/19Esgueira v Ovarense87-59
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AGalomar80-68
09/03/24HImortal76-92
02/03/24HFC Porto45-104
14/02/24ABenfica53-77
10/02/24AVitoria78-60
03/02/24HBenfica64-100
27/01/24HOliveirense69-78
20/01/24AOliveirense73-91
13/01/24AImortal68-95
06/01/24HPortimonense85-68
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HBenfica79-87
09/03/24AOliveirense76-73
02/03/24HPortimonense93-66
17/02/24HGalomar80-76
10/02/24ACD Povoa76-87
03/02/24HLusitania99-70
27/01/24HBenfica74-98
20/01/24ASporting CP91-86
06/01/24HVitoria91-90
30/12/23HImortal80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game70.078.062.0
Allowed / game77.076.078.0
Point differential-7.0+2.0-16.0
Avg total147.0154.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ovarense
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game76.582.060.0
Allowed / game94.088.3111.0
Point differential-17.5-6.3-51.0
Avg total170.5170.3171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sporting CP550100%95.077.6+17.4
2 Oliveirense550100%86.469.4+17.0
3 FC Porto54180%86.870.2+16.6
4 Benfica54180%85.670.2+15.4
5 Imortal53260%80.476.8+3.6
6 Ovarense42250%76.594.0-17.5
7 Vitoria52340%81.684.0-2.4
8 Esgueira41325%70.077.0-7.0
9 Galomar51420%79.084.4-5.4
10 CD Povoa51420%81.288.6-7.4
11 Portimonense51420%70.885.8-15.0
12 Lusitania5050%76.096.2-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira1325192481
Ovarense2115212582
← all games of the day
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