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Esgueira vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-92
23-27 13-27 26-16 19-22
Position#10
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Esgueira
Portugal
vs
Ovarense 🏆
Portugal
Position#7
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalTaca de Portugal· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2025
Meetings · Esgueira v Ovarense
03 Apr 2027
ESGU v OVAR
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
ESGU76
OVAR79
26 Apr 2025
ESGU84
OVAR85
19 Jan 2025
ESGU81
OVAR92
06 Apr 2024
ESGU85
OVAR82
30 Mar 2024
ESGU81
OVAR82
04 Jan 2023
ESGU70
OVAR87
02 May 2021
ESGU85
OVAR92
30 Apr 2021
ESGU92
OVAR103
18 Mar 2021
ESGU73
OVAR85
07 Dec 2019
ESGU87
OVAR59
02 Feb 2019
ESGU75
OVAR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 66
A02/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
72avg 66
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 66
A16/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
63avg 66
A30/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
100-91
100
91
+9
102avg 66
H07/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
69avg 66
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
78avg 66
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
57avg 66
A21/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
76avg 66
A04/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
86-101
86
101
-15
75avg 66
A11/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
20-23
24-21
20-23
19-19
23-27
17-25
26-22
18-18
23-27
21-21
15-27
25-22
8-23
28-16
12-12
18-21
30-20
27-27
25-23
19-29
21-16
25-25
18-24
19-18
28-20
17-23
16-19
22-25
23-19
15-22
13-18
15-8
24-21
18-19
10-19
18-20
24-35
18-20
26-26
174.1Avg total
84.7Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.789.4174.1-4.740%
Last 5 (5)83.891.2175.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.987.1161.1-13.225%
vs Similar (10)82.982.7165.6+0.260%
vs Weaker (3)84.377.3161.7+7.033%
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#11
W
87-86
87
86
+1
76avg 76
A26/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
71avg 76
A02/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 76
H10/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
67-62
67
62
+5
55avg 76
A16/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
87-78
87
78
+9
77avg 76
H30/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
68avg 76
H07/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
73avg 76
A14/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
87-71
87
71
+16
84avg 76
H21/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
71avg 76
H04/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 76
H11/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
17-21
26-20
20-26
24-23
18-16
23-22
10-8
22-19
26-22
7-26
22-19
11-25
20-14
23-12
13-11
21-9
18-20
25-20
23-29
17-23
21-29
20-22
19-24
22-29
20-11
17-17
20-23
16-12
22-15
24-18
25-26
8-15
21-24
19-18
19-10
23-22
27-18
12-19
24-25
160.6Avg total
80.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.380.3160.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)82.084.4166.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.283.6161.8-5.440%
vs Similar (5)76.670.8147.4+5.880%
vs Weaker (10)87.178.3165.4+8.880%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
EsgueiraOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A16/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A30/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H07/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A04/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A11/01
LPB
83.8Avg total
41.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.678.8-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.239.979.1-0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)37.241.378.5-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.383.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.284.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.642.578.1-6.925%-
vs Similar (10)41.239.380.5+1.970%-
vs Weaker (3)39.736.776.3+3.067%-
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A02/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H10/11
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A16/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H30/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H07/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H21/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H04/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H11/01
LPB
78.4Avg total
39.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.278.6+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.638.377.9+1.453%-
Last 30 away (13)41.538.179.5+3.469%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.678.4+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.679.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.940.780.6-0.940%-
vs Similar (5)33.631.665.2+2.060%-
vs Weaker (10)44.737.782.4+7.090%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.7
50.9%
54.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.2
30.1%
34.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.017.5
70.0%
70.6%17.5
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.8
51.7%
54.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.6
31.9%
34.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.914.3
71.9%
70.6%14.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LWLLLWWLLW
Ovarense
WLWLLWWLWW
#10
League position
#7
-7.2
Net rating
+0.5
105.2
Offensive rating
102.6
112.4
Defensive rating
102.1
48.6%
Effective FG%
50.1%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
13.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.1%
3-point %
31.9%
52.9%
Assist %
63.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 102.6Defence112.4 · 102.1Shooting48.6% · 50.1%3-point %30.1% · 31.9%Ball care13.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds24.9% · 24.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Esgueira   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Esgueira wins
7
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
04/01/25Ovarense v Esgueira81-89 OT
06/04/24Esgueira v Ovarense85-82
30/03/24Esgueira v Ovarense81-82
25/11/23Ovarense v Esgueira75-71
04/01/23Esgueira v Ovarense70-87
15/10/22Ovarense v Esgueira94-84
02/05/21Esgueira v Ovarense85-92 OT
30/04/21Esgueira v Ovarense92-103
25/04/21Ovarense v Esgueira73-63
23/04/21Ovarense v Esgueira75-82
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AGalitos Barreiro86-101
04/01/25AOvarense89-81 OT
21/12/24AGalomar73-84
17/12/24HOliveirense88-96 OT
14/12/24AFC Porto83-94
07/12/24HImortal100-91
30/11/24ACD Povoa84-82 OT
16/11/24AOliveirense77-93
09/11/24HBenfica85-93
02/11/24AVitoria82-79
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HCA Queluz86-84
04/01/25HEsgueira81-89 OT
21/12/24HImortal87-71
14/12/24AOliveirense79-80
07/12/24HBenfica77-98
30/11/24HGalomar87-78
16/11/24AVitoria67-62
10/11/24HSporting CP77-86
02/11/24ACD Povoa75-69
26/10/24ACA Queluz87-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
Taca de Portugal 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Ovarense
Taca de Portugal 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica110100%104.055.0+49.0
2 Vitoria110100%122.088.0+34.0
3 Oliveirense110100%95.071.0+24.0
4 FC Porto110100%82.060.0+22.0
5 Galitos Barreiro110100%76.060.0+16.0
6 Galomar110100%84.069.0+15.0
7 Sporting CP110100%79.075.0+4.0
8 Imortal1010%75.079.0-4.0
9 Ginasio1010%69.084.0-15.0
10 CA Queluz1010%60.076.0-16.0
11 CD Povoa1010%60.082.0-22.0
12 Sangalhos1010%71.095.0-24.0
13 Vasco Da Gama1010%88.0122.0-34.0
14 Portimonense1010%55.0104.0-49.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira2313261981
Ovarense2727162292
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