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Esgueira vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 76-79
23-17 29-24 14-15 10-23
Position#8
Record5-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game90.5
vs
Position#4
Record8-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game77.1
PortugalLPBRound 12· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2025-26
Meetings · Esgueira v Ovarense
03 Apr 2027
ESGU v OVAR
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
ESGU76
OVAR79
26 Apr 2025
ESGU84
OVAR85
19 Jan 2025
ESGU81
OVAR92
06 Apr 2024
ESGU85
OVAR82
30 Mar 2024
ESGU81
OVAR82
04 Jan 2023
ESGU70
OVAR87
02 May 2021
ESGU85
OVAR92
30 Apr 2021
ESGU92
OVAR103
18 Mar 2021
ESGU73
OVAR85
07 Dec 2019
ESGU87
OVAR59
02 Feb 2019
ESGU75
OVAR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
102-92
102
92
+10
102avg 69
H11/10
LPB
Braga
#7
W
103-79
103
79
+24
99avg 69
A18/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
81-101
81
101
-20
70avg 69
H01/11
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
99avg 69
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
77-100
77
100
-23
61avg 69
A15/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
95-87
95
87
+8
91avg 69
H06/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
75avg 69
A20/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
91-103
91
103
-12
80avg 69
H28/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 69
A03/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
76-67
76
67
+9
63avg 69
H10/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
26-22
17-24
32-21
19-24
23-20
35-19
26-16
18-26
25-27
18-21
20-27
19-27
20-23
30-22
24-21
24-31
22-26
15-18
16-25
22-25
23-25
27-17
23-20
22-25
20-20
24-25
18-32
28-23
26-29
21-30
16-21
21-19
21-30
19-13
11-19
13-19
15-18
23-22
25-8
180.3Avg total
88.8Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.590.5178.1-3.045%
Season at home (6)92.092.2184.2-0.267%
Season away (5)82.288.6170.8-6.420%
Last 10 (10)88.891.5180.3-2.750%
Last 5 (5)83.688.0171.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.390.8169.1-12.521%
vs Similar (13)84.687.6172.2-3.038%
vs Weaker (2)104.597.5202.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
57avg 70
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
87-82
87
82
+5
83avg 70
H18/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
64-78
64
78
-14
42avg 70
A01/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
72-71
72
71
+1
62avg 70
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
89avg 70
A15/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
70-96
70
96
-26
67avg 70
H06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 70
A27/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
88-64
88
64
+24
79avg 70
H03/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
62-74
62
74
-12
46avg 70
A06/01
LPB
Braga
#7
W
86-74
86
74
+12
79avg 70
A11/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
21-18
23-11
23-25
20-19
27-23
25-20
15-20
13-28
21-15
14-18
16-17
21-25
12-20
21-13
18-13
25-16
18-24
25-20
26-17
16-22
23-24
11-29
20-21
23-15
16-26
26-24
19-17
19-15
25-23
25-16
19-10
23-15
11-28
17-14
11-17
25-20
32-13
19-28
10-13
156.3Avg total
79.0Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.277.1156.3+2.173%
Season at home (6)80.277.2157.3+3.083%
Season away (5)78.077.0155.0+1.060%
Last 10 (10)79.077.3156.3+1.770%
Last 5 (5)78.078.0156.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.687.5162.1-12.920%
vs Similar (6)81.576.8158.3+4.783%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.073.0158.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
EsgueiraOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/10
LPB
Braga
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H01/11
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A15/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H06/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A20/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H28/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A03/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H10/01
LPB
91.8Avg total
43.4Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.886.5-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.344.087.3-0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)41.943.685.5-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)43.448.491.8-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.688.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.843.584.3-2.736%-
vs Similar (13)44.642.787.3+1.954%-
vs Weaker (2)46.048.594.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H18/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A01/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A27/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H03/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A06/01
LPB
Braga
#7
W
57-33
57
33
+24
A11/01
LPB
81.7Avg total
40.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.279.6-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.440.177.4-2.736%-
Last 30 away (16)41.240.281.5+1.044%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.081.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.282.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.141.678.7-4.527%-
vs Similar (6)42.037.379.3+4.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.639.781.2+1.944%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.6
53.8%
52.7%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.8
30.6%
32.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws27.719.4
70.0%
70.4%19.4
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.8
53.1%
52.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.2
28.2%
32.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.512.0
68.6%
70.4%12.0
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
WLLLWLWLWW
Ovarense
WLWWLWWLWW
#8
League position
#4
-3.0
Net rating
+3.7
105.9
Offensive rating
100.8
108.9
Defensive rating
97.1
50.8%
Effective FG%
48.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.6%
3-point %
28.2%
57.6%
Assist %
61.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 100.8Defence108.9 · 97.1Shooting50.8% · 48.5%3-point %30.6% · 28.2%Ball care15.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds26.4% · 28.6%Free throws0.41 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Esgueira   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Esgueira wins
8
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Ovarense v Esgueira81-75
26/04/25Esgueira v Ovarense84-85
01/03/25Ovarense v Esgueira94-68
19/01/25Esgueira v Ovarense81-92
04/01/25Ovarense v Esgueira81-89 OT
06/04/24Esgueira v Ovarense85-82
30/03/24Esgueira v Ovarense81-82
25/11/23Ovarense v Esgueira75-71
04/01/23Esgueira v Ovarense70-87
15/10/22Ovarense v Esgueira94-84
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HFC Porto76-67
03/01/26ABenfica72-81
28/12/25HVitoria91-103
20/12/25AImortal84-102
06/12/25HSporting CP95-87
15/11/25AOliveirense77-100
09/11/25HVasco Da Gama107-103 OT
01/11/25HCA Queluz81-101
18/10/25ABraga103-79
11/10/25HGalitos Barreiro102-92
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ABraga86-74
06/01/26AFC Porto62-74
03/01/26HGalitos Barreiro88-64
27/12/25ACA Queluz84-82
06/12/25HBenfica70-96
15/11/25AVitoria94-77
08/11/25HImortal72-71
01/11/25ASporting CP64-78
18/10/25HOliveirense87-82
11/10/25HVasco Da Gama83-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW45%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game87.592.082.2
Allowed / game90.592.288.6
Point differential-3.0-0.2-6.4
Avg total178.1184.2170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %9%17%0%
Ovarense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW73%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game79.280.278.0
Allowed / game77.177.277.0
Point differential+2.1+3.0+1.0
Avg total156.3157.3155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica12120100%97.673.9+23.7
2 Sporting CP1210283%89.476.2+13.2
3 Ovarense118373%79.277.1+2.1
4 Oliveirense127558%86.882.3+4.5
5 FC Porto127558%90.786.7+4.0
6 Esgueira115645%87.590.5-3.0
7 Imortal125742%84.883.8+1.0
8 Braga125742%76.082.5-6.5
9 CA Queluz124833%81.484.4-3.0
10 Vitoria123925%81.188.9-7.8
11 Vasco Da Gama123925%82.595.4-12.9
12 Galitos Barreiro1221017%83.498.7-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira2329141076
Ovarense1724152379
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