Vitoria vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2020

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 99-71

27-21 30-15 26-13 16-22

Position#7

Record1-3

FormLLWLL

Points / game74.2

Allowed / game83.0

Vitoria 🏆

Esgueira

Position#12

Record0-5

FormLLLLL

Points / game70.4

Allowed / game83.6

LPBRound 5

Other2020-21

Meetings · Vitoria v Esgueira

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Esgueira winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

#15

100-69

100

+31

A09/02

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

86-99

-13

A15/02

LPB

Sporting CP

89-102

102

-13

H29/02

LPB

Esgueira

89-81

H04/03

Taca de Portugal

Illiabum

#12

77-64

+13

A07/03

LPB

Sporting CP

71-85

-14

A07/10

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

71-76

-5

A17/10

LPB

Barreirense

#14

84-63

+21

H21/10

LPB

Lusitania

71-81

-10

H24/10

LPB

Sporting CP

71-112

112

-41

A07/11

LPB

16-22

31-15

21-11

32-21

27-18

22-24

20-34

17-23

18-33

28-21

20-26

23-22

15-23

20-18

26-24

28-16

22-12

18-26

19-14

18-12

12-23

14-19

25-20

20-23

8-13

15-17

26-20

22-26

24-18

10-15

27-20

23-10

20-22

14-20

17-25

20-14

16-29

21-20

15-32

19-31

164.1Avg total

80.9Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	74.2	83.0	157.2	-8.8	25%
Season at home (2)	77.5	72.0	149.5	+5.5	50%
Season away (2)	71.0	94.0	165.0	-23.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	83.2	164.1	-2.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	83.4	157.0	-9.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	78.8	88.2	167.0	-9.5	17%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	78.4	75.6	154.0	+2.8	60%
vs Weaker (12)	82.8	72.5	155.3	+10.3	92%

This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Esgueira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Terceira

#16

101-55

101

+46

H09/02

Taca de Portugal

Sporting CP

68-86

-18

A16/02

LPB

Illiabum

#12

81-62

+19

H29/02

LPB

Vitoria

81-89

-8

A04/03

Taca de Portugal

Terceira

#14

112-80

112

+32

A07/03

LPB

Maia

#13

82-86 OT

-4

A11/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

65-66

-1

H17/10

LPB

Imortal

50-101

101

-51

A24/10

LPB

Academica

75-83

-8

H04/11

LPB

Barreirense

#14

80-82

-2

H07/11

LPB

29-22

24-13

20-12

28-8

21-24

21-26

14-17

12-19

33-7

16-12

15-16

17-27

23-15

18-20

24-26

16-28

29-20

23-13

27-24

33-23

33-24

11-25

21-12

12-16

16-15

18-31

24-12

7-8

12-30

11-29

10-27

17-15

23-12

19-23

15-22

18-26

30-23

23-23

14-17

13-19

158.5Avg total

79.5Scored

79.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	70.4	83.6	154.0	-13.2	0%
Season at home (3)	73.3	77.0	150.3	-3.7	0%
Season away (2)	66.0	93.5	159.5	-27.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	79.0	158.5	+0.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	70.4	83.6	154.0	-13.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	70.8	84.9	155.6	-14.1	0%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	70.2	75.5	145.7	-5.3	17%
vs Weaker (15)	84.1	75.9	160.1	+8.2	53%

This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VitoriaEsgueira

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	19.9	40.6	+0.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.3	39.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.8	23.1	41.9	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	22.0	16.6	38.6	+5.4	80%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.5	17.9	37.4	+1.6	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	19.2	44.1	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.5	22.6	40.1	-5.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.2	19.9	43.1	+3.3	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.6	39.2	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	18.2	33.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.7	19.2	37.8	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.5	39.9	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	26.2	42.6	-9.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.6	21.8	39.4	-4.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.5	23.3	42.8	-3.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.7	16.2	35.9	+3.5	67%	-

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

#15

47-37

+10

A09/02

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

49-42

A15/02

LPB

Sporting CP

46-54

-8

H29/02

LPB

Esgueira

35-41

-6

H04/03

Taca de Portugal

Illiabum

#12

40-38

A07/03

LPB

Sporting CP

26-42

-16

A07/10

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

23-30

-7

A17/10

LPB

Barreirense

#14

34-33

H21/10

LPB

Lusitania

34-42

-8

H24/10

LPB

Sporting CP

37-49

-12

A07/11

LPB

77.9Avg total

37.1Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	39.5	78.7	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.5	39.6	80.1	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.5	39.2	76.8	-1.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	40.8	77.9	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	39.2	70.0	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.5	42.2	79.8	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	42.2	37.0	79.2	+5.2	80%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.0	37.9	76.9	+1.1	67%	-

This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Terceira

#16

53-35

+18

H09/02

Taca de Portugal

Sporting CP

42-50

-8

A16/02

LPB

Illiabum

#12

49-19

+30

H29/02

LPB

Vitoria

41-35

A04/03

Taca de Portugal

Terceira

#14

52-33

+19

A07/03

LPB

Maia

#13

44-49

-5

A11/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

34-46

-12

H17/10

LPB

Imortal

23-59

-36

A24/10

LPB

Academica

42-35

H04/11

LPB

Barreirense

#14

53-46

H07/11

LPB

84.0Avg total

43.3Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	39.3	79.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	38.4	77.9	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.8	40.4	81.2	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	40.7	84.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	47.0	86.2	-7.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.1	44.4	79.5	-9.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	37.7	41.3	79.0	-3.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.9	36.1	79.1	+6.8	67%	-

This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	20.9	42.2	+0.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.4	45.4	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.8	24.2	44.0	-4.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.0	16.9	39.9	+6.1	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	17.8	36.2	+0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.1	39.8	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.3	19.5	38.9	-0.2	27%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	19.1	40.5	+2.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.5	21.8	43.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	16.4	20.0	36.4	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.8	17.7	38.5	+3.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.0	38.0	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	17.9	36.2	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.9	36.2	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	16.8	30.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.8	21.4	38.1	-4.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	14.2	16.2	30.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.9	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	39.7	81.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.4	38.2	80.6	+4.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.1	41.7	82.8	-0.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	42.4	86.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	44.2	87.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	41.2	46.0	87.2	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	36.2	38.6	74.8	-2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	43.8	34.6	78.4	+9.2	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	37.9	75.9	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.8	35.7	72.5	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	40.4	79.9	-1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	37.4	73.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	34.8	65.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.6	40.5	76.1	-4.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	32.5	34.2	66.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.9	39.2	80.1	+1.7	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vitoria wins

Esgueira wins

Date	Game	Score
04/03/20	Vitoria v Esgueira	89-81
11/01/20	Vitoria v Esgueira	85-72
19/10/19	Esgueira v Vitoria	57-65
26/04/19	Vitoria v Esgueira	73-81
29/03/19	Esgueira v Vitoria	69-66
12/01/19	Vitoria v Esgueira	99-88 OT
20/10/18	Esgueira v Vitoria	85-77

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/20	A	Sporting CP	71-112
24/10/20	H	Lusitania	71-81
21/10/20	H	Barreirense	84-63
17/10/20	A	FC Porto	71-76
07/10/20	A	Sporting CP	71-85
07/03/20	A	Illiabum	77-64
04/03/20	H	Esgueira	89-81
29/02/20	H	Sporting CP	89-102
15/02/20	A	FC Porto	86-99
09/02/20	A	Maia	100-69

Esgueiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/20	H	Barreirense	80-82
04/11/20	H	Academica	75-83
24/10/20	A	Imortal	50-101
17/10/20	H	CAB Madeira	65-66
11/10/20	A	Maia	82-86 OT
07/03/20	A	Terceira	112-80
04/03/20	A	Vitoria	81-89
29/02/20	H	Illiabum	81-62
16/02/20	A	Sporting CP	68-86
09/02/20	H	Terceira	101-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria

LPB 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLL	25%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	25%	50%	0%
Points / game	74.2	77.5	71.0
Allowed / game	83.0	72.0	94.0
Point differential	-8.8	+5.5	-23.0
Avg total	157.2	149.5	165.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Esgueira

LPB 2020-21

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	70.4	73.3	66.0
Allowed / game	83.6	77.0	93.5
Point differential	-13.2	-3.7	-27.5
Avg total	154.0	150.3	159.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	20%	0%	50%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	5	5	0	100%	93.8	66.8	+27.0
2	FC Porto	4	4	0	100%	80.2	65.0	+15.2
3	Oliveirense	5	5	0	100%	83.2	69.0	+14.2
4	Benfica	5	4	1	80%	90.6	78.2	+12.4
5	Lusitania	5	4	1	80%	81.6	74.2	+7.4
6	Imortal	5	3	2	60%	82.8	76.4	+6.4
7	CAB Madeira	5	2	3	40%	73.6	80.8	-7.2
8	Ovarense	5	2	3	40%	67.2	77.2	-10.0
9	Vitoria	4	1	3	25%	74.2	83.0	-8.8
10	Maia	4	1	3	25%	73.2	85.8	-12.5
11	Academica	5	1	4	20%	76.0	82.2	-6.2
12	Barreirense	5	1	4	20%	72.2	83.2	-11.0
13	Esgueira	5	0	5	0%	70.4	83.6	-13.2
14	Galitos	4	0	4	0%	61.2	80.0	-18.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vitoria	27	30	26	16	99
Esgueira	21	15	13	22	71

← all games of the day

Vitoria vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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