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Esgueira vs Vitoria Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 24 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game97.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game83.9
PortugalLPBRound 22· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2026-27
Meetings · Esgueira v Vitoria
24 Apr 2027
ESGU v VITO
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
ESGU91
VITO103
15 Feb 2025
ESGU73
VITO86
09 Dec 2023
ESGU78
VITO66
21 Oct 2023
ESGU66
VITO96
25 Mar 2023
ESGU98
VITO88
28 Dec 2022
ESGU88
VITO77
13 Feb 2021
ESGU97
VITO88
19 Oct 2019
ESGU57
VITO65
29 Mar 2019
ESGU69
VITO66
20 Oct 2018
ESGU85
VITO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
86-85
86
85
+1
74avg 57
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
67-109
67
109
-42
58avg 57
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
66avg 57
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
28avg 57
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
60-88
60
88
-28
38avg 57
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
80avg 57
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
80-104
80
104
-24
40avg 57
A24/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
93-104
93
104
-11
75avg 57
H31/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
78-112
78
112
-34
no box
A07/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
16-23
26-20
23-15
21-27
20-30
9-25
17-27
18-25
18-23
21-19
16-18
25-16
7-25
20-17
12-26
17-20
8-23
18-23
17-22
27-25
19-24
14-22
31-24
24-23
8-32
20-24
28-25
24-23
29-26
13-34
27-21
20-23
14-25
28-27
16-37
21-41
25-13
14-15
27-18
175.1Avg total
78.8Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.397.7178.0-17.40%
Season at home (3)82.794.3177.0-11.70%
Season away (4)78.5100.2178.8-21.80%
Last 10 (10)78.896.3175.1-17.510%
Last 5 (5)87.6102.4190.0-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)80.192.6172.7-12.525%
vs Similar ◀ (6)88.392.8181.2-4.533%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
no box
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 62
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 62
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 62
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
72-91
72
91
-19
54avg 62
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
61avg 62
H24/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
57avg 62
H01/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
48-91
48
91
-43
no box
A07/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
H13/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
23-15
29-30
20-25
14-28
17-20
24-18
34-30
29-18
15-12
22-17
18-27
14-18
17-24
25-21
27-15
21-17
17-20
9-30
24-20
12-20
18-23
22-26
20-22
24-21
19-13
15-20
16-18
18-12
21-16
14-23
15-24
10-21
11-34
12-22
15-14
16-23
10-26
17-23
22-21
159.1Avg total
74.7Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.783.9152.6-15.129%
Season at home (4)69.581.8151.2-12.225%
Season away (3)67.786.7154.3-19.033%
Last 10 (10)74.784.4159.1-9.740%
Last 5 (5)65.484.4149.8-19.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.588.8163.3-14.425%
vs Similar ◀ (6)89.587.2176.7+2.367%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.525%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
EsgueiraVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A24/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H31/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A07/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A14/11
LPB
87.6Avg total
38.2Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.047.687.6-7.617%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.347.289.5-4.933%-
Last 30 away (15)37.748.185.7-10.40%-
Last 10 (10)38.249.487.6-11.210%-
Last 5 (5)42.251.093.2-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)39.448.287.6-8.915%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.846.787.5-5.817%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H01/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A07/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H13/11
LPB
74.5Avg total
34.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.082.6-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.339.079.3+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)38.947.586.4-8.614%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.874.5-5.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.841.873.6-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.543.080.5-5.535%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.742.787.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker (4)42.843.286.0-0.550%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.0
47.5%
51.1%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.8
32.1%
31.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.413.1
67.5%
71.1%13.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.1
46.7%
51.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.5
29.1%
31.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws26.816.4
61.2%
71.1%16.4
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLLLLLLLLW
Vitoria
LLLWLLWWLW
#12
League position
#9
-21.3
Net rating
-5.3
82.8
Offensive rating
83.7
104.1
Defensive rating
88.9
47.8%
Effective FG%
45.6%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.1%
3-point %
29.1%
57.0%
Assist %
55.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence82.8 · 83.7Defence104.1 · 88.9Shooting47.8% · 45.6%3-point %32.1% · 29.1%Ball care16.8% · 14.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Esgueira   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Esgueira wins
5
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
11/04/26Vitoria v Esgueira93-87
28/12/25Esgueira v Vitoria91-103
15/02/25Esgueira v Vitoria73-86
02/11/24Vitoria v Esgueira79-82
10/02/24Vitoria v Esgueira60-78
09/12/23Esgueira v Vitoria78-66
21/10/23Esgueira v Vitoria66-96
06/05/23Vitoria v Esgueira101-99
25/03/23Esgueira v Vitoria98-88
28/12/22Esgueira v Vitoria88-77
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APortimonense96-97 OT
07/11/26ABenfica78-112
31/10/26HCA Queluz93-104
24/10/26AOliveirense80-104
16/10/26HFC Porto91-95
10/10/26ASporting CP60-88
03/10/26HCD Povoa64-84
14/05/26HSporting CP73-85
10/05/26ASporting CP67-109
25/04/26AFC Porto86-85
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HFC Porto65-93
07/11/26ASporting CP48-91
01/11/26HCD Povoa68-75
24/10/26HPortimonense74-72
18/10/26ABraga72-91
10/10/26HOvarense71-87
03/10/26ACAB Madeira83-78
25/04/26HOliveirense84-74
18/04/26AVasco Da Gama89-96
11/04/26HEsgueira93-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.382.778.5
Allowed / game97.794.3100.2
Point differential-17.4-11.7-21.8
Avg total178.0177.0178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Vitoria
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game68.769.567.7
Allowed / game83.981.886.7
Point differential-15.1-12.2-19.0
Avg total152.6151.2154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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