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Esgueira vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 73-86
17-22 25-23 19-19 12-22
Position#8
Record6-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Vitoria 🏆
Portugal
Position#9
Record4-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game85.0
PortugalLPBRound 15· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2024-25
Meetings · Esgueira v Vitoria
24 Apr 2027
ESGU v VITO
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
ESGU91
VITO103
15 Feb 2025
ESGU73
VITO86
09 Dec 2023
ESGU78
VITO66
21 Oct 2023
ESGU66
VITO96
25 Mar 2023
ESGU98
VITO88
28 Dec 2022
ESGU88
VITO77
13 Feb 2021
ESGU97
VITO88
19 Oct 2019
ESGU57
VITO65
29 Mar 2019
ESGU69
VITO66
20 Oct 2018
ESGU85
VITO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#10
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
63avg 70
A30/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
100-91
100
91
+9
102avg 70
H07/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
69avg 70
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
78avg 70
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
57avg 70
A21/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
76avg 70
A04/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
86-101
86
101
-15
75avg 70
A11/01
LPB
Ovarense
#7
L
81-92
81
92
-11
81avg 70
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
83avg 70
H25/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
76avg 70
A02/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
8-23
28-16
12-12
18-21
30-20
27-27
25-23
19-29
21-16
25-25
18-24
19-18
28-20
17-23
16-19
22-25
23-19
15-22
13-18
15-8
24-21
18-19
10-19
18-20
24-35
18-20
26-26
23-27
13-27
26-16
19-22
19-12
28-12
23-34
23-22
18-15
21-14
25-27
15-23
175.8Avg total
86.4Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.287.2171.4-2.946%
Season at home (5)86.885.2172.0+1.660%
Season away (8)82.688.4171.0-5.838%
Last 10 (10)86.489.4175.8-3.040%
Last 5 (5)87.289.4176.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.987.9162.8-13.125%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.882.5166.3+1.464%
vs Weaker (2)85.071.5156.5+13.550%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
71-70
71
70
+1
62avg 73
A07/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
62avg 73
H15/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#11
W
94-72
94
72
+22
90avg 73
H18/12
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
90-92
90
92
-2
88avg 73
A21/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
69-89
69
89
-20
53avg 73
H04/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
74-92
74
92
-18
62avg 73
H11/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#15
W
122-88
122
88
+34
116avg 73
A18/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#7
L
82-105
82
105
-23
70avg 73
A25/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
85avg 73
H02/02
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
90-95
90
95
-5
91avg 73
H08/02
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
20-22
17-18
15-16
21-19
11-21
29-21
14-17
15-22
25-16
28-12
26-22
17-23
30-20
31-16
12-33
18-21
14-20
17-30
20-18
14-24
25-20
17-21
18-27
29-20
38-20
28-25
27-23
18-20
22-26
22-32
20-27
23-21
17-20
20-20
18-17
21-26
27-20
20-17
22-32
174.5Avg total
86.7Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.285.0164.2-5.831%
Season at home (7)77.982.6160.4-4.729%
Season away (6)80.887.8168.7-7.033%
Last 10 (10)86.787.8174.5-1.140%
Last 5 (5)93.695.4189.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.390.8168.2-13.58%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.982.3159.2-5.422%
vs Weaker (8)84.173.9158.0+10.275%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -4.0-4.0
EsgueiraVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A30/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H07/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A04/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A11/01
LPB
Ovarense
#7
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H25/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A02/02
LPB
82.0Avg total
41.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.178.7-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.740.179.8-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.177.5-2.647%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.482.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.278.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.241.878.0-5.631%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.737.979.6+3.873%-
vs Weaker (2)42.031.073.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/12
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H11/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#15
W
67-40
67
40
+27
A18/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H02/02
LPB
Benfica
#3
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/02
Taca de Portugal
83.9Avg total
42.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.880.3-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.641.277.8-4.631%-
Last 30 away (14)42.840.483.1+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.583.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.843.490.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.743.881.4-6.117%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.939.876.7-2.944%-
vs Weaker (8)41.837.679.4+4.175%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.4
50.7%
51.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.2
31.7%
32.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.017.0
73.9%
69.2%17.0
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.5
50.1%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.012.3
36.2%
32.7%36.9
🏀 Free throws21.314.5
68.1%
69.2%14.5
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LWLLWLLLWW
Vitoria
LWLWLLLWLW
#8
League position
#9
-4.5
Net rating
-0.8
107.6
Offensive rating
108.2
112.2
Defensive rating
108.9
49.4%
Effective FG%
52.2%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
14.3%
Turnover %
18.8%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.7%
3-point %
36.2%
59.8%
Assist %
60.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 108.2Defence112.2 · 108.9Shooting49.4% · 52.2%3-point %31.7% · 36.2%Ball care14.3% · 18.8%Off. rebounds25.8% · 31.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Esgueira   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Esgueira wins
4
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24Vitoria v Esgueira79-82
10/02/24Vitoria v Esgueira60-78
09/12/23Esgueira v Vitoria78-66
21/10/23Esgueira v Vitoria66-96
06/05/23Vitoria v Esgueira101-99
25/03/23Esgueira v Vitoria98-88
28/12/22Esgueira v Vitoria88-77
08/10/22Vitoria v Esgueira96-95 OT
13/02/21Esgueira v Vitoria97-88 OT
11/11/20Vitoria v Esgueira99-71
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25ASporting CP87-93 OT
25/01/25HCD Povoa93-80
19/01/25HOvarense81-92
11/01/25AGalitos Barreiro86-101
04/01/25AOvarense89-81 OT
21/12/24AGalomar73-84
17/12/24HOliveirense88-96 OT
14/12/24AFC Porto83-94
07/12/24HImortal100-91
30/11/24ACD Povoa84-82 OT
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HBenfica90-95
02/02/25HFC Porto100-97 OT
25/01/25AImortal82-105
18/01/25AVasco Da Gama122-88
11/01/25HOliveirense74-92
04/01/25HBenfica69-89
21/12/24ASporting CP90-92
18/12/24HCD Povoa94-72
15/12/24HCD Povoa75-78
07/12/24AGalitos Barreiro71-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL46%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %46%60%38%
Points / game84.286.882.6
Allowed / game87.285.288.4
Point differential-2.9+1.6-5.8
Avg total171.4172.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %23%0%38%
Vitoria
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeWLLLW29%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game79.277.980.8
Allowed / game85.082.687.8
Point differential-5.8-4.7-7.0
Avg total164.2160.4168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1514193%89.876.3+13.5
2 FC Porto1412286%88.878.1+10.6
3 Sporting CP1510567%84.778.0+6.7
4 Ovarense149564%79.477.3+2.1
5 Oliveirense159660%86.479.6+6.8
6 Galitos Barreiro157847%77.977.9-0.1
7 Esgueira136746%84.287.2-2.9
8 Imortal156940%77.485.5-8.1
9 Vitoria134931%79.285.0-5.8
10 CA Queluz1441029%82.589.6-7.1
11 CD Povoa1531220%73.281.8-8.6
12 Galomar1421214%72.881.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira1725191273
Vitoria2223192286
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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