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Esgueira vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 66-96
17-17 13-23 22-30 14-26
Position#9
Record0-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game89.7
Esgueira
Portugal
vs
Vitoria 🏆
Portugal
Position#7
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game91.7
PortugalLPBRound 4· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2023-24
Meetings · Esgueira v Vitoria
24 Apr 2027
ESGU v VITO
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
ESGU91
VITO103
15 Feb 2025
ESGU73
VITO86
09 Dec 2023
ESGU78
VITO66
21 Oct 2023
ESGU66
VITO96
25 Mar 2023
ESGU98
VITO88
28 Dec 2022
ESGU88
VITO77
13 Feb 2021
ESGU97
VITO88
19 Oct 2019
ESGU57
VITO65
29 Mar 2019
ESGU69
VITO66
20 Oct 2018
ESGU85
VITO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#6
W
98-88
98
88
+10
no box
H25/03
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A01/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H08/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
L
60-75
60
75
-15
no box
A16/04
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
H22/04
LPB
Vitoria
#6
L
99-101
99
101
-2
no box
A06/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 67
A23/09
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
62-74
62
74
-12
56avg 67
H30/09
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
70-110
70
110
-40
62avg 67
A07/10
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 67
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
18-26
18-21
34-25
14-22
24-23
17-19
28-17
31-16
22-27
18-13
16-20
23-32
15-6
10-18
12-19
28-25
22-19
21-23
16-15
13-22
27-27
38-28
21-24
16-20
17-22
14-15
31-28
17-15
13-19
13-20
19-20
15-29
25-13
10-38
20-30
22-22
24-14
16-23
25-15
165.7Avg total
81.1Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.089.7159.7-19.70%
Season at home (1)62.074.0136.0-12.00%
Season away (2)74.097.5171.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)81.184.6165.7-3.550%
Last 5 (5)79.288.8168.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.691.7159.3-24.10%
vs Similar (18)78.481.2159.6-2.744%
vs Weaker (4)81.074.0155.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#5
W
96-92
96
92
+4
no box
H08/04
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
A15/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
A22/04
LPB
Esgueira
#7
W
101-99
101
99
+2
no box
H06/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
82-119
82
119
-37
no box
A10/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
101-112
101
112
-11
no box
H14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
79-76
79
76
+3
66avg 68
H23/09
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
66-107
66
107
-41
46avg 68
A04/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
89-92
89
92
-3
75avg 68
H08/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 68
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
30-24
24-26
25-26
19-25
23-24
26-17
23-18
25-19
22-18
15-19
24-25
22-13
27-27
28-38
24-21
25-29
17-24
25-31
15-35
32-33
15-35
28-23
26-21
28-16
20-18
13-24
18-18
17-28
22-25
10-25
17-29
18-20
23-28
27-21
21-23
22-20
21-22
28-15
19-25
182.5Avg total
88.1Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.091.7169.7-13.733%
Season at home (2)84.084.0168.0+0.050%
Season away (1)66.0107.0173.0-41.00%
Last 10 (10)88.194.4182.5-6.360%
Last 5 (5)85.093.8178.8-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.4101.4185.8-17.012%
vs Similar (15)88.288.0176.2+0.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)93.783.3177.0+10.383%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
EsgueiraVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/03
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A01/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H08/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A16/04
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H22/04
LPB
Vitoria
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A06/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A23/09
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H30/09
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/10
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H14/10
Taca da Liga
82.9Avg total
41.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.242.982.1-3.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.642.585.1+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)35.843.379.1-7.57%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.582.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.678.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.343.177.4-8.90%-
vs Similar (18)40.242.482.6-2.233%-
vs Weaker (4)44.840.285.0+4.550%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/04
LPB
Imortal
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A15/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A22/04
LPB
Esgueira
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H06/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A10/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
47-68
47
68
-21
H14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H23/09
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A04/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H08/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/10
Taca da Liga
90.9Avg total
44.5Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.888.3+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.244.091.2+3.271%-
Last 30 away (13)41.043.584.5-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)44.546.490.9-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.649.092.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.849.091.8-6.212%-
vs Similar (15)43.840.884.6+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)49.341.590.8+7.883%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.5 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.221.2
62.0%
51.0%42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.06.0
23.1%
33.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.013.2
66.2%
69.3%13.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.2
47.2%
51.0%38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.8
33.3%
33.5%26.2
🏀 Free throws25.816.2
63.1%
69.3%16.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
WLLLLWLWWW
Vitoria
WLLWLLWWWW
#9
League position
#7
-15.4
Net rating
-9.1
99.0
Offensive rating
98.6
114.5
Defensive rating
107.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
48.3%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
20.8%
Turnover %
19.8%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
23.1%
3-point %
33.3%
56.0%
Assist %
50.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 98.6Defence114.5 · 107.7Shooting50.2% · 48.3%3-point %23.1% · 33.3%Ball care20.8% · 19.8%Off. rebounds28.4% · 29.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Esgueira   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Esgueira wins
6
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
06/05/23Vitoria v Esgueira101-99
25/03/23Esgueira v Vitoria98-88
28/12/22Esgueira v Vitoria88-77
08/10/22Vitoria v Esgueira96-95 OT
13/02/21Esgueira v Vitoria97-88 OT
11/11/20Vitoria v Esgueira99-71
04/03/20Vitoria v Esgueira89-81
11/01/20Vitoria v Esgueira85-72
19/10/19Esgueira v Vitoria57-65
26/04/19Vitoria v Esgueira73-81
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HGalomar87-74
07/10/23ABenfica70-110
30/09/23HOliveirense62-74
23/09/23APortimonense78-85
06/05/23AVitoria99-101
22/04/23HImortal87-82
16/04/23ACD Povoa60-75
08/04/23HCAB Madeira87-76
01/04/23ASangalhos83-81
25/03/23HVitoria98-88
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HLusitania90-82
08/10/23HSporting CP89-92
04/10/23ABenfica66-107
23/09/23HOvarense79-76
14/05/23HFC Porto101-112
10/05/23AFC Porto82-119
06/05/23HEsgueira101-99
22/04/23ASangalhos86-81
15/04/23AImortal91-84
08/04/23HCD Povoa96-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.062.074.0
Allowed / game89.774.097.5
Point differential-19.7-12.0-23.5
Avg total159.7136.0171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vitoria
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.084.066.0
Allowed / game91.784.0107.0
Point differential-13.7+0.0-41.0
Avg total169.7168.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto220100%85.069.0+16.0
2 Sporting CP440100%94.583.2+11.2
3 Oliveirense330100%75.766.0+9.7
4 Portimonense330100%81.076.0+5.0
5 Benfica42250%88.072.2+15.8
6 Galomar42250%82.281.5+0.8
7 Ovarense42250%84.284.8-0.5
8 Vitoria31233%78.091.7-13.7
9 Imortal41325%75.078.2-3.2
10 CD Povoa41325%82.887.0-4.2
11 Lusitania4040%77.891.5-13.8
12 Esgueira3030%70.089.7-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira1713221466
Vitoria1723302696
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