Esgueira vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 21:00

Final 78-66

23-29 22-7 13-16 20-14

Position#7

Record-

FormLLWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Esgueira 🏆

Vitoria

Position#13

Record-

FormLWLLW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Taca de Portugal· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira

Other2024

Meetings · Esgueira v Vitoria

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vitoria winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Esgueira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEsgueira

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

62-74

-12

56avg 61

H30/09

LPB

Benfica

70-110

110

-40

62avg 61

A07/10

LPB

Galomar

87-74

+13

83avg 61

H14/10

Taca da Liga

Vitoria

66-96

-30

49avg 61

H21/10

LPB

FC Porto

82-106

106

-24

66avg 61

A27/10

LPB

Imortal

63-69

-6

50avg 61

A05/11

LPB

CD Povoa

#10

71-79

-8

57avg 61

A11/11

Taca da Liga

Galomar

#10

84-74

+10

71avg 61

H18/11

LPB

Ovarense

71-75

-4

56avg 61

A25/11

LPB

Sporting CP

68-105

105

-37

56avg 61

H02/12

LPB

17-15

13-19

13-20

19-20

15-29

25-13

10-38

20-30

22-22

24-14

16-23

25-15

17-17

13-23

22-30

14-26

15-23

21-28

15-27

31-28

15-13

13-14

13-22

22-20

21-16

20-26

13-24

17-13

28-21

24-16

16-16

16-21

20-15

15-28

19-18

17-14

18-24

9-33

21-27

20-21

158.6Avg total

72.4Scored

86.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	72.4	86.2	158.6	-13.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	80.4	151.8	-9.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	66.1	93.6	159.7	-27.4	0%
vs Similar (17)	79.6	81.4	160.9	-1.8	41%
vs Weaker (3)	83.3	78.3	161.7	+5.0	100%

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVitoria

Date

Competition

Benfica

66-107

107

-41

46avg 69

A04/10

LPB

Sporting CP

89-92

-3

75avg 69

H08/10

LPB

Lusitania

#12

90-82

85avg 69

H14/10

Taca da Liga

Esgueira

96-66

+30

93avg 69

A21/10

LPB

Lusitania

#12

75-70

66avg 69

H28/10

LPB

FC Porto

72-94

-22

60avg 69

A04/11

LPB

Portimonense

#11

82-79

76avg 69

A12/11

Taca da Liga

CD Povoa

74-83 OT

-9

no box

H18/11

LPB

Imortal

74-82

-8

62avg 69

A25/11

LPB

Portimonense

#11

72-64

65avg 69

H01/12

LPB

17-28

22-25

10-25

17-29

18-20

23-28

27-21

21-23

22-20

21-22

28-15

19-25

17-17

23-13

30-22

26-14

17-18

20-24

15-12

23-16

13-28

15-25

23-24

21-17

19-20

27-15

24-22

12-22

17-24

11-19

17-6

16-12

26-18

15-20

16-20

17-24

25-11

14-15

18-24

15-14

160.9Avg total

79.0Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	79.0	81.9	160.9	-2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	80.4	155.2	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	83.5	99.9	183.4	-16.4	12%
vs Similar (12)	90.7	89.6	180.2	+1.1	58%
vs Weaker (10)	86.4	78.5	164.9	+7.9	80%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EsgueiraVitoria

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.9	42.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	21.7	44.3	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	22.1	39.7	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.4	21.3	38.8	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	22.7	43.3	-2.0	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.5	42.1	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	22.4	41.3	-3.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.9	25.5	46.4	-4.6	12%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	21.1	40.2	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.5	40.0	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	21.7	40.7	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	21.4	39.3	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	23.4	39.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	14.9	23.7	38.6	-8.8	11%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	35%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.3	19.7	43.0	+3.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.4	44.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	22.0	46.1	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.8	41.9	+0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.8	35.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.1	24.6	44.8	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	24.5	21.1	45.6	+3.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.6	19.3	41.9	+3.3	60%	-

EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

30-34

-4

H30/09

LPB

Benfica

40-42

-2

A07/10

LPB

Galomar

46-36

+10

H14/10

Taca da Liga

Vitoria

30-40

-10

H21/10

LPB

FC Porto

36-51

-15

A27/10

LPB

Imortal

28-27

A05/11

LPB

CD Povoa

#10

41-42

-1

A11/11

Taca da Liga

Galomar

#10

52-37

+15

H18/11

LPB

Ovarense

35-43

-8

A25/11

LPB

Sporting CP

27-57

-30

H02/12

LPB

77.4Avg total

36.5Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	43.4	81.9	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	43.3	84.9	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	43.5	78.9	-8.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	40.9	77.4	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	41.2	77.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	32.3	45.0	77.3	-12.7	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	41.2	41.7	82.9	-0.5	41%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.0	42.3	86.3	+1.7	33%	-

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

39-53

-14

A04/10

LPB

Sporting CP

41-48

-7

H08/10

LPB

Lusitania

#12

43-42

H14/10

Taca da Liga

Esgueira

40-30

+10

A21/10

LPB

Lusitania

#12

37-42

-5

H28/10

LPB

FC Porto

28-53

-25

A04/11

LPB

Portimonense

#11

46-35

+11

A12/11

Taca da Liga

CD Povoa

28-43

-15

H18/11

LPB

Imortal

41-38

A25/11

LPB

Portimonense

#11

39-26

+13

H01/12

LPB

79.2Avg total

38.2Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	42.9	86.2	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.1	42.8	88.9	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	43.1	83.1	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	41.0	79.2	-2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	39.0	75.4	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	41.0	50.1	91.1	-9.1	12%	-
vs Similar (12)	43.7	42.2	85.8	+1.5	58%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.6	38.1	82.7	+6.5	80%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	20.6	37.4	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	20.2	37.5	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	20.9	37.2	-4.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	24.5	40.3	-8.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.4	37.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.0	25.3	40.3	-10.3	11%	-
vs Similar (17)	17.5	19.6	37.2	-2.1	41%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	16.3	33.3	+0.7	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.2	44.4	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	21.1	42.6	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	23.5	46.4	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.9	23.4	45.2	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.8	23.3	46.2	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.4	41.7	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.8	23.2	42.0	-4.4	22%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.8	19.2	38.9	+0.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.5	43.9	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	24.3	45.3	-3.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.8	34.0	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.6	26.4	47.0	-5.8	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	23.1	22.2	45.3	+0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	41.0	77.5	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	39.6	76.1	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	42.3	78.9	-5.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	45.3	81.2	-9.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	39.2	74.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	33.8	48.6	82.3	-14.8	11%	-
vs Similar (17)	37.3	38.8	76.1	-1.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.3	36.0	75.3	+3.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	44.7	88.3	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	42.1	85.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	47.8	91.7	-3.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	38.7	78.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	37.0	72.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	42.5	49.8	92.2	-7.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	45.9	45.6	91.5	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.5	39.7	81.2	+1.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 71.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀25%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 25% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	20.5	49.8%	53.3%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.2	6.1	27.5%	34.1%	18.3
🏀 Free throws	19.7	12.6	64.0%	69.5%	12.6

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 79.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	19.4	48.9%	53.3%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	8.9	32.5%	34.1%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	22.4	14.1	62.9%	69.5%	14.1

They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	23.1	56.9%	53.3%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	8.8	37.1%	34.1%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	20.1	12.8	63.7%	69.5%	12.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	22.4	53.1%	53.3%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	7.7	30.3%	34.1%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	18.7	12.6	67.4%	69.5%	12.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	20.6	50.8%	53.3%	41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.2	6.2	26.7%	34.1%	18.5
🏀 Free throws	19.5	12.6	65.0%	69.5%	12.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	23.1	57.5%	53.3%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	8.9	37.1%	34.1%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	19.5	12.6	64.7%	69.5%	12.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	22.4	53.1%	53.3%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	7.7	30.3%	34.1%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	18.7	12.6	67.4%	69.5%	12.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Esgueira

LLWLLLLWLL

Vitoria

WLLWLWWWLL

League position

#13

-18.0

Net rating

-1.1

95.7

Offensive rating

100.5

113.7

Defensive rating

101.7

46.8%

Effective FG%

48.8%

56.5%

Opp. effective FG%

50.2%

16.6%

Turnover %

20.1%

24.6%

Off. rebound %

32.1%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.33

27.5%

3-point %

32.5%

53.0%

Assist %

52.3%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Esgueira ■ Vitoria

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Esgueira wins

Vitoria wins

Date	Game	Score
21/10/23	Esgueira v Vitoria	66-96
06/05/23	Vitoria v Esgueira	101-99
25/03/23	Esgueira v Vitoria	98-88
28/12/22	Esgueira v Vitoria	88-77
08/10/22	Vitoria v Esgueira	96-95 OT
13/02/21	Esgueira v Vitoria	97-88 OT
11/11/20	Vitoria v Esgueira	99-71
04/03/20	Vitoria v Esgueira	89-81
11/01/20	Vitoria v Esgueira	85-72
19/10/19	Esgueira v Vitoria	57-65

Esgueiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/23	H	Sporting CP	68-105
25/11/23	A	Ovarense	71-75
18/11/23	H	Galomar	84-74
11/11/23	A	CD Povoa	71-79
05/11/23	A	Imortal	63-69
27/10/23	A	FC Porto	82-106
21/10/23	H	Vitoria	66-96
14/10/23	H	Galomar	87-74
07/10/23	A	Benfica	70-110
30/09/23	H	Oliveirense	62-74

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/23	H	Portimonense	72-64
25/11/23	A	Imortal	74-82
18/11/23	H	CD Povoa	74-83 OT
12/11/23	A	Portimonense	82-79
04/11/23	A	FC Porto	72-94
28/10/23	H	Lusitania	75-70
21/10/23	A	Esgueira	96-66
14/10/23	H	Lusitania	90-82
08/10/23	H	Sporting CP	89-92
04/10/23	A	Benfica	66-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira

Taca de Portugal 2024

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Vitoria

Taca de Portugal 2024

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	1	1	0	100%	71.0	47.0	+24.0
2	Sporting CP	1	1	0	100%	91.0	79.0	+12.0
3	Maia	1	1	0	100%	82.0	76.0	+6.0
4	Lusitania	1	0	1	0%	76.0	82.0	-6.0
5	Ovarense	1	0	1	0%	79.0	91.0	-12.0
6	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0%	47.0	71.0	-24.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Esgueira	23	22	13	20	78
Vitoria	29	7	16	14	66

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Esgueira vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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