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Estonia vs Great Britain Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 62-72
19-18 8-21 18-13 17-20
Position-
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International· Tondiraba Ice Hall
Other2025
Meetings · Estonia v Great Britain
22 Aug 2025
ESTO62
GREA72
06 Sep 2022
ESTO94
GREA62
27 Nov 2017
ESTO73
GREA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Great Britain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstonia
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
79-78
79
78
+1
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
A27/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
65-59
65
59
+6
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 79
A21/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
86-88
86
88
-2
81avg 79
H24/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
84-65
84
65
+19
90avg 79
H21/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
67avg 79
A24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
24-12
24-20
21-28
16-21
25-18
15-27
15-25
24-16
13-24
18-19
24-19
17-16
11-14
15-14
29-27
19-20
17-23
21-10
17-16
17-18
24-19
9-13
15-9
19-18
19-22
19-13
25-25
25-22
17-18
21-22
23-26
22-17
16-22
20-11
26-15
19-28
24-32
21-7
11-15
153.8Avg total
77.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.076.8153.8+0.260%
Last 5 (5)78.474.4152.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)73.580.2153.7-6.732%
vs Similar (3)80.770.3151.0+10.3100%
vs Weaker (2)84.083.0167.0+1.050%
Great BritainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBritain
Date
Competition
Serbia
#13
L
68-74
68
74
-6
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Belgium
#35
L
59-88
59
88
-29
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
83-101
83
101
-18
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#37
W
98-94
98
94
+4
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
82-90
82
90
-8
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
W
73-72
73
72
+1
69avg 70
H21/11
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
60avg 70
A24/11
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
73-69
73
69
+4
58avg 70
A21/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
96-75
96
75
+21
93avg 70
H24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
14-17
17-19
17-17
17-22
11-18
12-18
23-21
16-19
10-23
13-20
20-26
20-28
21-18
19-28
23-27
28-23
27-18
16-25
27-28
25-24
22-25
15-19
20-22
16-26
17-15
18-10
22-21
15-17
17-23
18-17
17-20
20-14
11-15
18-21
24-19
23-15
17-20
32-18
24-22
158.1Avg total
76.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.281.9158.1-5.740%
Last 5 (5)78.276.6154.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)69.183.9153.1-14.812%
vs Similar (8)78.876.0154.8+2.862%
vs Weaker (6)83.075.8158.8+7.283%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
EstoniaGreat Britain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A27/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A23/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H26/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H21/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A24/02
EuroBasket
78.8Avg total
38.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.178.6-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.639.277.8-0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)38.441.079.4-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.778.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.283.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)38.140.078.1-1.840%-
vs Similar (3)40.741.382.0-0.733%-
vs Weaker (2)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
Great BritainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#13
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H11/11
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A14/11
World Cup
Belgium
#35
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H24/02
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#37
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H23/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A26/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H21/11
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A24/11
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A21/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H24/02
EuroBasket
76.8Avg total
36.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.376.8-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.739.476.1-2.738%-
Last 30 away (14)38.339.377.6-1.029%-
Last 10 (10)36.740.176.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.875.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.240.474.6-6.16%-
vs Similar (8)39.641.080.6-1.450%-
vs Weaker (6)43.034.377.3+8.783%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estonia: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.8
54.8%
55.4%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.2
31.8%
34.4%24.5
🏀 Free throws19.512.8
65.8%
74.1%12.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Great Britaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Great Britain: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.516.7
48.3%
55.4%33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.3
39.2%
34.4%28.0
🏀 Free throws25.019.2
76.7%
74.1%19.2
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 22 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estonia
LWLWWWWWLL
Great Britain
WWLWLWLLLL
+6.2
Net rating
+2.6
106.2
Offensive rating
104.7
99.9
Defensive rating
102.1
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.6%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
22.1%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.43
31.8%
3-point %
39.2%
71.4%
Assist %
69.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 104.7Defence99.9 · 102.1Shooting51.9% · 52.6%3-point %31.8% · 39.2%Ball care19.7% · 22.1%Off. rebounds33.8% · 28.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Estonia   ■ Great Britain
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Estonia wins
1
Great Britain wins
DateGameScore
06/09/22Estonia v Great Britain94-62
29/06/18Great Britain v Estonia74-65
27/11/17Estonia v Great Britain73-70
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25ALithuania75-82
21/02/25HNorth Macedonia84-65
24/11/24HPoland86-88
21/11/24APoland82-78
26/02/24HLithuania65-59
23/02/24ANorth Macedonia74-69
27/02/23ASweden72-71
24/02/23HSlovenia79-78
14/11/22AFinland71-91
11/11/22HSweden82-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HCzech Republic96-75
21/02/25ANetherlands73-69
24/11/24AGreece67-77
21/11/24HGreece73-72
26/02/24ACzech Republic82-90
23/02/24HNetherlands98-94
27/02/23ASerbia83-101
24/02/23HBelgium59-88
14/11/22ALatvia63-79
11/11/22HSerbia68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Great Britain
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia198181762
Great Britain1821132072
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