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Estonia vs Latvia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 70-72
21-17 21-21 19-25 9-9
Position#18
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game98.0
vs
Latvia 🏆
Position#11
Record0-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game93.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latvia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstonia
Date
Competition
Finland
#22
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
79-78
79
78
+1
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
A27/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
65-59
65
59
+6
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 71
A21/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
86-88
86
88
-2
81avg 71
H24/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
84-65
84
65
+19
90avg 71
H21/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
67avg 71
A24/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
64-98
64
98
-34
49avg 71
A27/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
25-18
15-27
15-25
24-16
13-24
18-19
24-19
17-16
11-14
15-14
29-27
19-20
17-23
21-10
17-16
17-18
24-19
9-13
15-9
19-18
19-22
19-13
25-25
25-22
17-18
21-22
23-26
22-17
16-22
20-11
26-15
19-28
24-32
21-7
11-15
12-32
17-24
15-30
20-12
153.1Avg total
75.2Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)64.098.0162.0-34.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)64.098.0162.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)75.277.9153.1-2.760%
Last 5 (5)78.282.2160.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.180.9154.0-7.831%
vs Similar (2)79.067.0146.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker (2)84.083.0167.0+1.050%
This opponent (Latvia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatvia
Date
Competition
Germany
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
A06/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
98-63
98
63
+35
no box
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
64-52
64
52
+12
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 75
H22/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 75
A25/11
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
83-66
83
66
+17
79avg 75
H20/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
89-68
89
68
+21
86avg 75
A23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
62avg 75
H27/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
18-23
25-26
20-19
18-26
28-16
21-18
20-22
28-20
21-18
28-9
21-16
23-14
17-23
17-20
22-18
15-10
16-17
14-11
19-14
17-25
25-19
17-13
16-15
16-20
20-21
22-25
27-17
20-17
21-17
22-16
20-16
20-15
19-18
30-18
20-17
21-24
18-23
16-25
18-21
154.7Avg total
81.2Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.093.0166.0-20.00%
Season at home (1)73.093.0166.0-20.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.273.5154.7+7.780%
Last 5 (5)81.076.4157.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.097.0171.0-23.00%
vs Similar (10)84.677.8162.4+6.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.668.1151.7+15.4100%
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
EstoniaLatvia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland
#22
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A27/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A23/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H26/02
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H21/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A24/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A27/08
EuroBasket
79.7Avg total
37.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.678.4-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.639.277.8-0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.979.1-4.827%-
Last 10 (10)37.342.479.7-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.047.085.0-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.840.678.3-2.838%-
vs Similar (2)37.041.078.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker (2)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Latvia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A06/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H25/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H22/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/11
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/08
EuroBasket
77.6Avg total
39.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.736.878.5+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.135.676.7+5.479%-
Last 30 away (16)42.237.980.1+4.462%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.977.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.879.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.545.085.5-4.50%-
vs Similar (10)40.441.081.4-0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.633.676.2+8.994%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estonia: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.9 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.4
53.8%
52.4%38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.1
30.0%
33.4%24.4
🏀 Free throws17.611.6
65.9%
73.1%11.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.116.1
53.6%
52.4%32.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.4
37.4%
33.4%31.3
🏀 Free throws19.613.9
70.8%
73.1%13.9
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 29 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estonia
LLWLWWWWWL
Latvia
LWWWWWWWWL
#18
League position
#11
-1.8
Net rating
+7.5
102.6
Offensive rating
110.0
104.4
Defensive rating
102.5
50.0%
Effective FG%
54.8%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.6%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.0%
3-point %
37.4%
73.1%
Assist %
69.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 110.0Defence104.4 · 102.5Shooting50.0% · 54.8%3-point %30.0% · 37.4%Ball care19.1% · 18.6%Off. rebounds32.0% · 28.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Estonia   ■ Latvia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estonia wins
0
Latvia wins
No previous meetings.
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/25ASerbia64-98
24/02/25ALithuania75-82
21/02/25HNorth Macedonia84-65
24/11/24HPoland86-88
21/11/24APoland82-78
26/02/24HLithuania65-59
23/02/24ANorth Macedonia74-69
27/02/23ASweden72-71
24/02/23HSlovenia79-78
14/11/22AFinland71-91
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/25HTurkey73-93
23/02/25ASlovakia89-68
20/02/25HSpain83-66
25/11/24ABelgium85-83
22/11/24HBelgium75-72
25/02/24HSlovakia64-52
22/02/24ASpain79-75
09/09/23HLithuania98-63
07/09/23AItaly87-82
06/09/23AGermany79-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game64.0-64.0
Allowed / game98.0-98.0
Point differential-34.0--34.0
Avg total162.0-162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Latvia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game73.073.0-
Allowed / game93.093.0-
Point differential-20.0-20.0-
Avg total166.0166.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia110100%98.064.0+34.0
2 France110100%92.064.0+28.0
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%91.064.0+27.0
4 Germany220100%105.579.5+26.0
5 Lithuania220100%94.068.5+25.5
6 Turkey220100%92.575.5+17.0
7 Georgia110100%83.069.0+14.0
8 Israel110100%83.071.0+12.0
9 Portugal110100%62.050.0+12.0
10 Poland110100%105.095.0+10.0
11 Greece110100%75.066.0+9.0
12 Finland110100%93.090.0+3.0
13 Italy1010%66.075.0-9.0
14 Slovenia1010%95.0105.0-10.0
15 Iceland1010%71.083.0-12.0
16 Sweden2020%86.599.0-12.5
17 Czech Republic2020%64.077.0-13.0
18 Spain1010%69.083.0-14.0
19 Latvia1010%73.093.0-20.0
20 Great Britain1010%70.094.0-24.0
21 Cyprus1010%64.091.0-27.0
22 Belgium1010%64.092.0-28.0
23 Montenegro2020%71.5100.0-28.5
24 Estonia1010%64.098.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia212119970
Latvia172125972
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